House prices in first -tier cities have gently risen sales indicators and housing enterprises' in place.
Author:Securities daily Time:2022.07.16
Reporter Meng Ke
On July 15th, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that in June, the sales prices of 70 large and medium -sized cities have stabilized in the same month. In addition, real estate sales and investment data also showed a momentum, further showing signs of stability in the real estate market.
Beijing gains leading the first -tier cities
Data show that in June, the sales prices of new commercial housing in first -tier cities rose 0.5%month -on -month, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month; the sales price of second -hand housing turned from the previous month to 0.1%.
Among them, in terms of new commercial housing, the price of new houses in Beijing rose 0.8%month -on -month and led the first -tier cities. Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen rose 0.5%, 0.3%, and 0.2%month -on -month. In terms of second -hand residential sales, the prices of Beijing and Guangzhou have increased by 0.5%month -on -month, and Shanghai rose 0.2%month -on -month. Shenzhen's price performance was relatively dull, down 1%month -on -month.
"The rise in housing prices in first -tier cities has continued to increase, and the increase in house prices in one and second -hand houses has expanded." Zhang Bo, Dean of the 58 Anju House Research Institute, told the Securities Daily reporter that the price of new houses in first -tier cities rose from the month of the board. Among them, Beijing The performance of Shanghai is the most obvious, which shows that the demand for first -tier cities is strong, and the existence of price limit factors in new houses has led to the long -term high level of market attention. It is expected that this trend will continue.
In June, of the 70 large and medium -sized cities, the sales prices of new commercial housing and second -hand housing rose 31 and 21 cities, respectively, an increase of 6 over the previous month.
"On the whole, as the property market policy is loosening, the first -tier cities have recovered, and the current rotation has begun to a strong second -tier city." Chen Xiao, a senior analyst of Zhuge Housing Data Research Center, told the Securities Daily reporter, " In June, the number of new houses and second -hand housing prices increased both, and the price declines narrowed, and the signs of recovery became more obvious. The real estate market has gradually become consensus, and the market is expected to improve significantly by the fourth quarter.
The stability of the market at the bottom of the market is getting up
Data show that from January to June, the national real estate development investment was 6831.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.4%; of which, residential investment was 5180.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5%.
In terms of market sales indicators, from January to June, the sales area of commercial housing was 689.23 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 22.2%(the previous value was 23.6%year-on-year); of which, the residential sales area decreased by 26.6%. The sales of commercial houses were 6607.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 28.9%(the previous value decreased by 31.5%); of which, residential sales fell by 31.8%.
According to data from the middle finger research institute, the sales area and amount of commercial housing were eased year-on-year, and the year-on-year decrease in January to June narrowed 1.4 and 2.6 percentage points from January to May, respectively. The narrow 13.5 and 16.9 percentage points, the stability of the market at the bottom of the market gradually appeared.
Chen Wenjing, director of market research director of the Index Division of the Medium Finger Research Institute, said that in the short term, there are signs of stability in the national real estate market, but stable recovery still faces certain pressure.
In terms of funds in place, from January to June, real estate development enterprises were in place of 7684.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.3%(the previous value was 25.8%year-on-year). Among them, domestic loans were 980.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.2%; 5.5 billion yuan of foreign capital was used, an increase of 30.7%; self -raised funds of 2722.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.7%; deposit and pre -collection of 2460.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 37.9%; personal mortgage loans 1215.8 billion yuan Yuan, a decrease of 25.7%.
"As the sales side shows signs of improvement, the funds of real estate companies will improve in synchronization." Wang Xiaoyu, chief analyst of the Zhuge Housing Data Research Center, said that next, the capital indicators of housing companies are more important. Mortgage loans still account for a high proportion of housing companies' in place. Therefore, the short -term increase in sales money is still the top priority of housing companies and industries.
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