Weighing: Shanghai's short -term "non -economic disturbance" effect is unprecedented, but the structural advantageous power conditions have not changed

The short -term difficulty of economic growth is obvious

Reporter: What impact did this year's new crown pneumonia's epidemic on Shanghai's economic growth?

Weighing: As an external variable, the epidemic has a strong impact effect on the Shanghai economy in a short period of time. Shanghai is an economic central city. In the past few months, the supply, demand, investment and consumption of the epidemic on economic activities, investment and consumption, including people's travel and life, have brought great impact. Affected by the impact of the epidemic, the Shanghai economy will definitely decline in investment growth, consumption growth, and trade growth in the short term. The challenges are also very large in the short term.

But in the long run, we should have confidence in economic recovery, because this is not a systemic financial crisis or the periodic impact of the financial crisis, and it is a non -economic disturbance effect. In addition, it is important to note that Shanghai's economy is impacted by the epidemic in the short term, and in the middle and long term, it will also be affected by the "long -term stagnation" of the world economy, and it will be affected by the contraction of domestic economic demand, impact supply, and weakening the triple pressure. Therefore, this year's difficulties facing Shanghai's economic growth should have reasonable expectations and proper ideology.

Reporter: Compared with the twists and turns in history in history, what are the same and different from this epidemic impact?

Weighing: In the past two or three decades, our economy has actually encountered the impact of two crises. One was the Asian financial crisis in 1997, and the other was the global financial crisis in 2008. These two crises should be said to have a very large impact on Shanghai as an export -oriented economic development; after the impact of the financial crisis, we have gradually moved towards normal track through macroeconomic regulation policies. , Slowly, in comparison, the epidemic impacts quickly and go fast, especially once the epidemic is controlled, the non -economic "disturbance" factors gradually disappear. At the same time Several policies help companies get out of difficulties as soon as possible and stabilize market confidence and expectations. It should be said that economic operations will soon enter the normal track.

The kinetic energy and momentum still exist

Reporter: In the long run, what traits of Shanghai's economic development have not changed?

Weighing: First, we must see that the core function of Shanghai City has basically maintained normal operation during the epidemic. Shanghai is an international shipping center, international financial center, and international trade center. The highly open economic development advantages are connected to the international market and driven the domestic economy. This important international resource allocation function and factor gathering radiation function have not stopped. The big impact also laid the foundation for Shanghai's economic recovery and revitalization after the epidemic.

Second, the fundamentals of Shanghai's economic growth are good. The basic framework of the "five centers" construction has a solid foundation. Although the epidemic has a certain impact on economic growth, including investment, etc. The face is still better.

Third, the quality and competitiveness of Shanghai's economic development are strong, especially in recent years, Shanghai has more focused on promoting the revival of the economic structure upgrade and transformation and innovation -driven kinetic energy, which has created it for the achievement of high efficiency, high efficiency and high -quality development in the Shanghai economy. Solid material foundation. Although the epidemic has impacted investment and consumption in the short term, the quality and foundation of economic development have not been shaken, and the new momentum of economic development is still happy.

Fourth, Shanghai's business environment continues to optimize, and foreign investment is still optimistic about the development environment of Shanghai's development and entrepreneurial creation. In the short term, due to the impact of the epidemic, the stability of the industrial chain and supply chain will be affected to a certain extent, but in the long run, Shanghai's continuously improving market -oriented international business environment allows foreign investment to see that Shanghai still invests in hot land, and it is still still investing in hot land, and it is still still investing in hot land, still Hope and confidence in Shanghai. Especially after the epidemic turns to normalization prevention and control, we will efficiently coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development. This will also create a good development environment for foreign trade enterprises. Shanghai landed.

Fifth, the momentum and momentum of Shanghai's economic innovation and development still exist. In the past few years, Shanghai has continuously strengthened high -end industry leadership functions and continuously cultivated high -end manufacturing and service industries. The new kinetic energy and new formats and new models of Shanghai's economic development are still the inherent motivation for high -quality economic development. There was no fundamental change in this short term. Therefore, we have to see that the toughness and space of Shanghai's economy are still relatively large, especially the integration of Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta is very high. After fully restoring the order of production and living, it will also drive the entire Yangtze River Delta economy to quickly move towards normal. In the long run, the structural advantages, power support, and open trend of Shanghai's economic development are still there. The momentum of high -quality economic development will not change, and the momentum of high -level reform and opening up will not change. Shanghai will continue to work hard to do a good job of national reform and opening up. And the vanguard of modernization.

Stabilize market confidence and expectations

Reporter: What are the growth points in the future of Shanghai Economic Development?

Weighing: From the perspective of space, Shanghai actually has many national strategic resource platforms. For example, the new area of ​​Lingang has driven the open function upgrade; after the epidemic is effectively controlled, it will continue to walk along the road of high levels, and will release more institutional open bonus. For example, Hongqiao International Open Hub is a platform for internal open space for the Yangtze River Delta, and of course it is also a large platform for international development. For example, the Expo will give full play to the central node and strategic link function in the construction of a new development pattern throughout Shanghai, especially the strategic link function of the domestic and international dual -cycle, including exhibition links, investment links, technical links, market links; this link function formed In the future, there will be huge overflow and driving effects. For another example, the five new cities are also a new growth point in Shanghai in the future. Five new cities do not simply build a few cities in space, but to gather high -start layouts and high -end production factors; It means that the allocation of urban space resources will be more balanced and more reasonable, which will drive a new round of development in the future. Therefore, in the long run, give full play to and make good use of these national strategic resource platforms, which is the new growth point of Shanghai's future development. Reporter: What role can the government play in the revitalization of the economy?

Weighing: In order to help various market players get out of the predicament as soon as possible, at the end of May, Shanghai issued the "Shanghai Municipality to Accelerate Economic Recovery and Revitalize Action Plan", with a total of 50 policies and measures and superimposed the country's 33 policies and measures. Use these aspects of policies to combine boxing well to help companies get out of difficulties and restore them to normal. This plays an important role in restoring market confidence and stabilizing market entities. Therefore, at the moment, the government needs to focus on how to better stabilize market confidence and stabilize market expectations. In this way, I believe that the Shanghai economy will return to the track of high -quality development as soon as possible.

Liberation Daily · Shangguan News Original manuscript, reprinting without permission

Author: Zai Fei

WeChat Editor: Nano School Division: Antong

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