In the first half of the year, China's economy increased by 2.5%year -on -year. How to get the economy in the second half of the year?Authoritative response hotspots!

The National Bureau of Statistics released data on July 15th

Preliminary accounting, in the first half of 2022

China's GDP 56264.2 billion yuan

Calculate by constant price

A year -on -year increase of 2.5%

since this year

The international environment is more complicated and severe, and the domestic epidemic is more exuded

The unfavorable effect is significantly increased

Economic development is extremely unusual

Excellent unexpected sudden impact brings serious impact

Effective coordination of epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development in various regions and regions

Effectively implement a policy of stabilizing the economy

The national economy is steadily recovered

High -quality development situation continues

The overall social situation remains stable

On July 14, the National Development and Reform Commission held a media blowing meeting to respond to hot issues such as macroeconomic operations, energy security and stable supply, price situation and trend. The reporter learned from the conference that from the perspective of economic trends, various policies of the economy have been further effective, and the economy is expected to continue to rise and run in a reasonable range in the second half of the year.

1

Toughness and potential appear

The economy is expected to continue to rise in the second half of the year

"Since the beginning of this year, the internal and external environment of my country's economic development has become more complicated and severe. Demand shrinkage, supply impact, expected weak triple pressure continued to appear, the impact of domestic epidemic rebound, Ukraine crisis and other super -expected factors have increased sharply. Economic operation in March in March Fluctuations occurred from late to mid -May. "Yuan Da, director of the General Division of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that with the efficient and effective advancement of the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development, the prevention and control of the key regional epidemic has achieved positive results, the effect of stabilizing the economic policy effects Gradually released, the economic realization in June has risen rapidly.

Photo by Xinhua News Agency reporter Chen Xinbo

From the perspective of industrial operation, summer grains have been harvested again, and the industry and service industries have improved significantly. Among them, after the industrial operation declined in April, it returned to the positive growth in May. The production continued to accelerate in June.

From the perspective of market demand, investment and exports have obvious role, and residents' consumption continues to rise. From the perspective of investment advance indicators, the number of new projects in the first five months increased by 26.1%year -on -year, and the total investment of new project planned projects increased by 23.3%. As the epidemic was effectively controlled, residents' consumption recovered steadily, market consumption was significantly warmed during the Dragon Boat Festival, and online retail sales increased rapidly. In June, the national film box office increased significantly by 1.7 times over the previous month.

From the perspective of key areas, positive changes have continued to increase, and the economic market has remained stable. Twelve provinces that stabilize and stabilize market entities to maintain employment, the total economic amount accounts for about 2/3 of the country. At present, it is expected to maintain positive growth and growth in most provinces, such as Fujian, Shandong, Hubei, Hunan Such provinces can better play the role of support. The province's economy, which has a greater impact on the impact of the epidemic, has improved significantly. Shanghai, Jilin and other regions are "full of energy" to accelerate the "gap" in the early stage. The electricity consumption of key companies in Shanghai is more than double the same period last year.

From the perspective of economic trends, the various policies of the economy have further effective, and the economy is expected to continue to rise in the second half of the year. "Facing the impact of the internal and external stages and sudden factors, my country's economy has achieved a stable recovery in a short period of time, showing the strong toughness and huge potential of my country's economy, which fully shows that the good trend of the sustainable and healthy development of my country's economy has not changed. , The production factor conditions that support high -quality development have not changed, and the long -term good fundamentals have not changed. With the continuous emergence of high -efficiency coordination of epidemic prevention and control and the effectiveness of economic and social development, the effect of macro policy effects is further released. The economy is expected to continue to rise and run in the second half of the year. In a reasonable range, Yuan Da said.

2

Industrial economy has risen steadily

Highlights of the automotive industry

Industry is the main body of the national economy, and the industry is stable. Huo Fupeng, deputy director of the Industry Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, introduced that with the joint efforts of various localities and departments, the series of policy effects of industrial stability growth have gradually emerged. According to preliminary understanding of key areas, industrial production, investment, and expectations have improved, and the industrial economy generally shows a stable recovery trend, creating good conditions for the steady growth of the industrial economy in the second half of the year. The special automotive industry, production and sales also achieved rapid recovery in the first half of the year.

Xinhua News Agency reporter Luo Xuefeng

"The automotive industry is an important pillar industry in the national economy. The added value of the automobile manufacturing industry accounts for about 7%of the total industrial added value. Strong, it plays an important role in promoting economic development and driving social employment. "Huo Fupeng said that my country's automotive industry has a large -scale market advantage and the advantages of the entire industry chain, and the automotive industry has a good foundation for maintaining smooth and rapid growth. According to the China Automobile Industry Association's forecast, the annual automobile sales will be expected to exceed 27 million, a year -on -year increase of about 3%. Among them, the sales of new energy vehicles are expected to reach 5.5 million units, a record high.

Huo Fupeng said that in the next step, it will be effective in the implementation of policies, coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and the production of manufacturing enterprises, open up the point card point of the industrial chain supply chain, expand effective demand, strengthen the help of small and medium -sized enterprises, coordinate and solve the industry Difficulties in economic operation, consolidate the momentum of the industrial economy, strive to maintain the stability of the industrial basic disk, and provide solid support for the stability of the economic market.

3

Energy supply overall smooth and orderly

Comprehensively coordinate the peak summer

Safe protection in energy and stable supply is essential for steady growth, employment, and stable prices. Li Yunqing, director of the National Development and Reform Commission's Operation Bureau, said that since the beginning of this year, energy supply and demand has been stable, affected by factors such as electricity growth and rise in key industries. Since the summer, daily power generation has risen rapidly. With 100 million kilowatt -hours, the maximum scheduling load reached 12.22 billion kilowatts, all of which hit a record high, and the demand for use has rebounded significantly. The National Development and Reform Commission and relevant parties have strengthened comprehensive coordination, strengthened dispatching and balance, paid close attention to the implementation of measures, and made every effort to fulfill their peaks of energy guarantee. Continue to improve resource protection capabilities. As of now, the national power generation capacity has reached 2.44 billion kilowatts, and the scale of non -planned suspension of coal power has fallen to the lowest level in many years, and the peak of gas power generation has increased significantly; In the first half of the year, Guo Railway and Electric Coal transported 690 million tons, an increase of 9.1%year -on -year. At present, the unified power plant has 170 million tons of coal, an increase of nearly 60 million tons year -on -year, which can be used for 26 days; accelerate the development of renewable energy. Vigorously promote the construction of the key large -scale wind power photovoltaic bases with deserts, Gobi, and desert areas. At present, the first batch of projects have started more than 95 million kilowatts; the energy reserve capacity building has been accelerated. At present, 60%of the progress of the annual gas injection plan has been completed.

Xinhua News Agency reporter Xu Yu Photo

"Through the above measures, the foundation of energy protection has been further consolidated. Since the summer, the energy supply has been smoothly and orderly, and the demand for economic and social development can be effectively met." Li Yunqing said that the next step will be with the coal, electric oil and gas transportation guarantee work department. Member units of the inter -coordination mechanism, based on the current, focus on the long -term, continue to strengthen the construction of the energy production, supply and storage system, closely keep the target of stable price, grasp the implementation of policies and measures, do a good job of energy guarantee for various tasks to ensure the welcome peaks to welcome the peaks Du Xia's energy supply is safe and stable to ensure the demand for people's livelihood and economic and social development.

4

Steady prices have confidence

The annual CPI expected goal can be achieved

"In the second half of this year, affected by factors such as high international inflation, Ukraine crisis, and new crown pneumonia epidemic, there are still many factors for the operation of prices and unstable prices in my country, but we have confidence, confidence, and ability to continue to maintain prices to run in the operation. In reasonable range, the expected goal of about 3%of the year's CPI is achieved. "Said Wan Jinsong, director of the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission.

Xinhua News Agency (Photo by Chen Xi)

Since the beginning of this year, international energy and food prices have risen sharply, and its inflation has been high. In my country, the prices continued to run in a reasonable range. In the first half of the year, the CPI rose by an average of 1.7%, which was significantly lower than that of other major economies, which was in sharp contrast to the international high inflation.

Specifically, since the crisis of Ukraine, my country's food prices have risen by about 1.4%, far lower than the increase of 7.5%-9.5%of the US and European countries. In terms of energy, my country has continued to increase coal production and increase confession, improve the coal market price formation mechanism, and guide coal prices to operate in a reasonable range. Through stable coal prices to stabilize electricity prices, stable energy use costs. Basically stable.

Wan Jinsong said that in the second half of the year, it will continue to closely track the level of total price and the price trend of important commodities, continue to strengthen market regulation, and implement various policies and measures for stability and price stability. Stabilize the production of grain, further compact the "vegetable basket" mayor's responsibility system, ensure that the supply of important people's livelihood goods and the basically stable price, and timely put in time to put the central pork reserves in time, guide the local linkage to the reserves, and give full play to the stable price of pork reserves. The role of stable price. Taking coal as the "anchor" continues to do a good job of energy guarantee and stable prices. By improving measures such as coal production and storage and sales systems, and strengthening market expectations management, coal prices are guided to operate in a reasonable range. At the same time, guide localities to conscientiously implement the linkage mechanism of price subsidies, timely issue temporary subsidies in full and timely, effectively ensure the basic lives of people in the difficulties, and firmly live in the bottom line of the people.

Source: Xinhua News Agency, Economic Reference Network

Responsible editor: Guo Yanhui

School pair: Zhang Ziqing Meng Yahe (intern)

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