In June, the total investment of the project in the first 5 months of the economic realization of the economy in June increased by 23.3% year -on -year.

Author:Securities daily Time:2022.07.15

"Although my country's economic operation fluctuates from late March to mid -May, with the efficient and effectively promoting and effectively promoting efficient and effective advancement of the prevention and control of the epidemic, the prevention and control of the key areas has achieved positive results. The monthly economy has been rising rapidly. "On July 14th, Yuan Da, director of the General Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said at the first half of the economic situation media blowing of the National Development and Reform Commission.

From the perspective of industrial operations, the industry and service industries have improved significantly. According to data from the National Development and Reform Commission, after the short -term decline of industry operations in April, industry operation returned to positive growth in May. Production continued to accelerate in June. 50.2%, 0.6 percentage points from last month.

"With the joint efforts of various localities and departments, the effects of industrial steady growth have gradually emerged." Huo Fupeng, deputy director of the Industrial Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that through preliminary understanding of industrial production, investment, and expectations, it has improved. The industrial economy generally showed a stable recovery trend, creating good conditions for the steady growth of the industrial economy in the second half of the year. Especially in the automotive industry, its production and sales have achieved rapid recovery in the first half of the year.

Specifically, in June, my country's automobile production and sales were 2.499 million and 2.52 million, respectively, with a month -on -month increase of 29.7%and 34.4%, respectively, an increase of 28.2%and 23.8%year -on -year. In the first half of this year, the production and sales of automobiles were 12.117 million and 12.057 million, respectively. In addition, the cumulative export of cars in the first half of the year was 1.218 million, a year -on -year increase of 47.1%.

"As an important pillar industry in the national economy, the added value of the automobile manufacturing industry accounts for about 7%of the added value of all industries, and the retail sales of automobiles account for about 10%of the total retail sales of consumer goods. It plays an important role in promoting economic development and driving social employment. "Huo Fupeng said that my country's automotive industry has a large -scale market advantage and the advantages of the entire industry chain, and the automotive industry has a good foundation for maintaining smooth and rapid growth. In the next step, the National Development and Reform Commission will do a good job in the implementation of policies, coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and the production of manufacturing enterprises, open up the point card point of the industrial chain supply chain, expand effective demand, strengthen the help of small and medium -sized enterprises, and coordinate and solve the industrial economy. Difficulties in operation consolidate the momentum of the industrial economy.

In terms of service industry, the operation has improved. According to data from the National Development and Reform Commission, the service industry business activity index in June was 54.3%, an increase of 7.2 percentage points from the previous month, and the expected index of service industry business activities rose by 5.8 percentage points to 61%.

In addition, from the perspective of market demand, the role of investment and exports has been obvious, and consumption of residents continues to rise. From the perspective of investment advance indicators, the number of new projects in the first five months increased by 26.1%year -on -year, and the total investment of new project planned projects increased by 23.3%. Recently, the credit quota of policy banks has recently added 800 billion yuan, creating a policy and developmental financial instrument of 300 billion yuan. The project construction guarantee has increased, and the key support role of investment has been further prominent. The growth rate of foreign trade has accelerated. In June, the import and export, exports, and imports of renminbi were increased by 14.3%, 22%, and 4.8%year -on -year, respectively. The growth rates accelerated by 4.7 percentage points, 6.7 percentage points, and 2 percentage points from May. As the epidemic was effectively controlled, residents' consumption recovered steadily, market consumption was significantly warmed during the Dragon Boat Festival, and online retail sales increased rapidly. In June, the national film box office increased significantly by 1.7 times over the previous month.

"From the perspective of the economic trend, the policy of stabilizing the economy has been further effective, and the economy is expected to continue to rise in the second half of the year." Yuan Da said.

It is worth mentioning that at the meeting, Wan Jinsong, director of the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that in the second half of this year, due to factors such as high international inflation and epidemic conditions, there are still many factors that my country's prices are running. With confidence, confidence, and the ability to continue to maintain prices in a reasonable range, the expected goal of about 3%of the year can be achieved.

Shen Xinfeng, general manager of the Northeast Securities Institute, said in an interview with a reporter from the Securities Daily that in general, the biggest challenge facing China's economy in the second half of the year still comes from the epidemic and "triple pressure" Under the annual economic growth goal, the policy side is expected to continue to increase, and the current milder CPI environment also gives the policy side room. The monetary policy is expected to be stable and loose in the second half of the year, and more incremental fiscal policies will be implemented.

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