The economy is expected to continue to rise in the second half of the year

How to look at the current economic situation and future trends? What is the price situation in my country? On July 14, the National Development and Reform Commission held a blower and responded to the current economic hotspot issues.

The economy achieved faster and stabilized and rebounded in June

At the meeting, Yuan Da, director of the Comprehensive Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, introduced that since this year, the internal and external environment of my country's economic development has become more complicated and severe, and the demand shrinkage, supply impact, and the weakened triple pressure continue to appear. The domestic epidemic rebound, the Ukraine crisis The impact of the impact of the super -expected factors suddenly increased, and the economic operation fluctuated from late March to mid -May. With the efficient and effective advancement of the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development, the prevention and control of the epidemic in key areas has achieved positive results, and the effect of stabilizing the economic policy has gradually released.

From the perspective of industrial operation, summer grains have been harvested again, and the industry and service industries have improved significantly. The total output of summer grain was 294.8 billion kilograms, an increase of 2.87 billion kg. After the short -term decline in the industrial operation experience in April, it returned to positive growth in May, and production continued to accelerate in June. The service industry has improved. In June, the service industry business activity index was 54.3%, an increase of 7.2 percentage points from the previous month, and the expected index of service industry business activities rose 5.8 percentage points to 61%.

From the perspective of market demand, investment and exports have obvious role, and residents' consumption continues to rise. From the perspective of investment advance indicators, the number of new projects in the first five months increased by 26.1%year -on -year. The growth rate of foreign trade has accelerated. In June, the import and export, exports, and imports of renminbi were increased by 14.3%, 22%, and 4.8%year -on -year, respectively. The growth rates accelerated by 4.7, 6.7, and 2 percentage points from the previous month. During the Dragon Boat Festival, the market consumption was significantly warmed up, and online retail sales increased rapidly. In June, the national film box office increased by 1.7 times compared with the previous month.

From the perspective of key areas, positive changes have continued to increase, and the economic market has remained stable. Twelve provinces that stabilize and stabilize market entities to maintain employment special inspections. At present, most provinces are expected to maintain positive growth and growth rates from the country, such as Fujian, Shandong, Hubei, Hunan and other provinces to better play the role of support. The economic growth rate of the central and western regions is better than the overall level of the country. The province's economy, which is affected by the impact of the epidemic, has improved significantly.

Yuan Da said that in the face of the internal and external stages and sudden factors, the Chinese economy has achieved a stable recovery in a short period of time, showing the strong toughness and huge potential of my country's economy, which fully illustrates the good and healthy development of my country's economy. The situation has not changed, the production factor conditions that support high -quality development have not changed, and the long -term good fundamentals have not changed. With the continuous emergence of high -efficiency overall epidemic prevention and control and the effectiveness of economic and social development, the effect of macro policy effects is further released, and the economy is expected to continue to rise and operate in a reasonable range in the second half of the year.

About 3%of the CPI expected goal of the year can be achieved

Wan Jinsong, director of the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that since this year, international energy and grain prices have risen sharply, and the inflation of major economies such as the United States and Europe has remained high. In recent months Essence In my country, the prices continued to run in a reasonable range. In the first half of the year, the CPI rose by an average of 1.7%, which was significantly lower than that of other major economies, which was in sharp contrast to the international high inflation.

"In the second half of this year, affected by factors such as high international inflation, Ukraine crisis, and epidemic, there are still many factors that prices are facing prices and unstable factors. , About 3%of CPI expected goals throughout the year can be achieved. "Wan Jinsong said.

According to Wan Jinsong, at present, my country's goods and service market supply capacity is generally abundant, high -quality coal production capacity continues to release, and grain production has achieved "eighteen consecutive Feng". This year's summer harvest wheat production is high and good quality. The sow memory column is still increasing, and the production of cattle and sheep poultry eggs and vegetables and fruits is normal and sufficient. It has a solid material foundation for maintaining stable prices. In recent years, the work system for maintaining a stable price in various places has gradually improved, the plan has gradually matured, the regulation methods have been richer, and the emergency regulation capacity has increased significantly.

"We will continue to closely follow the level of total price and important commodity price trends, continue to strengthen market regulation, and do a good job in the implementation of various policies and measures for supply stability." Wan Jinsong said that it will stabilize the production of food and further compact the "vegetable basket" city. The long -term responsibility system ensures that the supply of important people's livelihood products is sufficient and the price is basically stable. By improving measures such as coal production supply storage and sales system and strengthening market expectations, coal prices are guided in a reasonable range.

Industrial chain supply chain generally runs stable operation

Since March of this year, affected by the multi -point domestic epidemic, problems such as restricted flow of personnel and obstruction of personnel in some areas have caused a certain impact on the stable operation of the industrial chain supply chain in some regions and key areas.

"After the joint efforts of various departments, local and related parties, the overall stable operation of my country's industrial chain supply chain." Zhao Zhidan, deputy director of the High Technology Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the value -added value of industries above the national designated size or above was year -on -year year -on -year year -on -year Increasing 3.3%. Among them, the value -added value of high -tech manufacturing has increased by 9.9%year -on -year, which has exceeded the same period in 2019. The key industries have developed steadily, and computers, communications and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries have increased by 9.9%year -on -year. my country's orderly and powerful promotion of large -scale prices such as commodities and key raw materials, which effectively prevent the systemic impact of supply and price excessive fluctuations that may bring to the industrial chain supply chain. "A group of major innovation achievements made breakthroughs, and many areas have achieved major leaps from scratch and never available." Zhao Zhidan said that a group of major powers have become national business cards. Accelerate the development of "special specialty". At the same time, a group of strategic emerging industrial clusters with its own characteristics and complementary advantages have become the development of new highlands, a new highland, a regional economic engine, and a new carrier of the security chain.

According to statistics, from January to May, the investment in high -tech industries increased by 20.5%year -on -year, and the investment in the technical reform of manufacturing enterprises increased by 15.7%year -on -year, which was higher than the national fixed asset investment of 14.3 and 9.5 percentage points. Zhao Zhidan believes that the increasing investment will gradually appear and will inject strong impetus into the optimization of the industrial chain supply chain.

"my country's long -board industry advantages have continued to increase, and the position in the global industrial chain supply chain has continued to rise." Zhao Zhidan said that the National Development and Reform Commission will continue to strengthen coordination and coordination, and continue to solidly promote the work chain and stabilizer work together to make up for the work. The weaknesses of shortcomings, removing bottleneck constraints, strengthening risk prevention, promoting the stability and smoothing of the industrial chain supply chain, and providing strong support for the stable and healthy development of the economy.

(Reporter Liu Kun)

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