If you can't play the US Open, Djokovic may miss the year -end finals?
Author:Tennis house Time:2022.07.14
For tennis, 2020 and 2021 are magical years. The reason for this is that the new crown epidemic in 2020 has led many tennis events to be canceled and disrupted, and ATP has to adjust the rules of points for many years.
The global epidemic has improved significantly in 2022, or most countries have canceled past epidemic prevention control measures, and tennis events have gradually returned to the right track. In February, the Russian -Ukraine conflict broke out, and everyone did not expect that the conflict would actually affect tennis. When Wimbledon announced the ban on Russian players, ATP and WTA immediately canceled Wimbledon points to counter. As a result, the score ranking that had just returned to normal and was disrupted again.
An example of a reality is that Djokovic successfully defended the title on Wimbledon, but was deducted from 2,000 points last year. He just won the Wimbledon Championship, his latest points were not rising, and the world rankings followed. Four places came to the seventh position in the world.
The magical things have not ended. The United States currently requires immigration foreigners to hold a vaccination certificate. Therefore, Djokovic, who insisted on not being vaccinated, will not be able to participate in the US Open. 1200 points.
Considering that the US Open had two Masters of the Rogers Cup and Cincinnati 1,000 points, if Djokovic did not participate in the US Open, the probability of these two Masters would not participate. In other words, Djokovic not only has no room for rising points, but also may be deducted from 1200 points. If this is calculated, the world ranking before the end of the year will probably fall into the top 10 in the world.
So, the next question is -will Djokovic lose the qualifications of the ATP year -end finals?
According to the official website of ATP, Djokovic has participated in the 14th year finals since 2007. The only interruption occurred in 2017. The absence of the cause of elbow injury caused the state of the game and the world ranking. Many people are worried that after the absence of this year's Australian Open and the US Open, will Djokovic miss the ATP year -end finals due to insufficient ranking?
Djokovic himself thinks that this will not happen. More specifically, Djokovic believes that as long as he keeps his ranking in the top 20 before the end of the year, he will have the ATP year -end finals. qualifications.
We all know that there are eight single seats in the ATP annual finals, usually the top eight players. If someone retires for reasons for injuries, it will be supplemented by subsequent players. However, the determination of the qualifications does not exactly depends on the ranking of the player. ATP also formulates a special policy to protect the influence of other factors without entering the top eight in the world. Rank protection rules.
For example, the player was absent from some major events due to injuries. He could use the ranking of ranking protection rules to sign up for some events. This year's Wimbledon, the runner -up Boshar had no single points and rankings in the previous game, but she could still use the ranking protection rules to register to participate in Wimbledon. However, the use of ranking protection rules has strict number and procedure restrictions. After weighing, Buchar decides that this rule is not used for the time being, but will be used to use it at the beginning of the Australian Open at the beginning of next year.
Similarly, female players are alienated for a period of time due to pregnancy and production. In order to make female players qualify for the participation due to production, the WTA has also formulated corresponding ranking protection rules. Humanized care and warmth.
It should be specifically explained that the player's participation in the year -end finals is not determined based on the 52 -week rolling points ranking, but is calculated based on the points of the year. In fact, there are two single -score lists of ATP. We most often mentioned the 52 -week rolling points ranking (Singles), and the other is the championship points ranking (Singles Race). The latter points only calculated the competition points of the year, and the candidates for the year -end finals were determined before the end of the year finals.
On the latest champion points rankings, Nadal topped the list with 5620 points, and the subsequent 2-8 were: Sicipas (3965 points), Alcalas (3820 points), Ruder (3065 points (3065 points) ), Zovrev (2700 points), Medvedev (2575 points), Ariacim (2365 points), Rubilev (2280 points), Djokovic ranked tenth in 1970 points in 1970 points. Essence
After the Wimbledon ended, there were many opportunities and room for the championship standings, and if Djokovic could not participate in the North American hard ground season, his champion points will be thrown behind more people behind them. Essence So why do he think he can be shortlisted for the ATP year -end finals?
"Honestly, I will not deliberately chase points and rankings now. I learned from the agent that I may lose the qualifications of the final finals, but if I can maintain the top 20, I can enter the year -end finals. At present, I don't think it is difficult.
"I really don't think there is any pressure or it is necessary to participate in a specific event. I have experienced a lot in the past year. Now, my first week in the world is ranked first, I will give priority to the Grand Slam and me The game I want to participate, such as the Lavor Cup. In addition, the Davis Cup is coming. I will try to become a member of the Davis Cup. I like to play for my country. "Djokovic said. However, after careful review of the ATP rules manual (2022), I found that Djokovic may still lose the qualifications of the year -end finals this year.
On page 53 of this rules manual, ATP specifies the requirements and procedures for the participating candidates for the year -end finals. Simply put, the eight participants are divided into direct finalists and bench finalists. The order determined by the players directly is: first, the top seven players on the champion standings after the Paris Masters; secondly, the top players ranked among the two Grand Slam champions this year, and His ranking is the top 20; once again the players who rank 8th and later.
Therefore, if Djokovic can win the Paris Masters in early November, his champion points this year will rise by 1,000 points, which is likely to be shortlisted for the year -end finals.
In addition to directly shortlisted players, there are substitute players. The ATP rules manual says that if there are players retired before the first press conference of the year -end finals, the candidate players determined by the direct finalist method will be replaced in order (for example, one person retires, then the 9th player is shortlisted for shortlisted. ; If two people retire, the 9th and 10th players will be shortlisted.) If there are players who retire due to injuries and other reasons during the group cycle, they will also determine the players according to the above methods.
If this is calculated, if Djokovic does not participate in the US Open, and his performance in the Paris Masters is not ideal, and the US Open appears in a big dark horse, then he may be elected to the end of the year -end finals. At present, this possibility is relatively small, but it cannot be completely ruled out.
If you have different opinions and evidence about this, please leave a message at the end of the article. (Source: Tennis Home Author: Yunjuan Yunshu)
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