Oil price welcomes the "two consecutive declines", full box 92 gasoline province 14 yuan
Author:Securities daily Time:2022.07.12
Our reporter Bao Xing'an has recently fallen first and then rising, but the average period of cyclical crude oil has fallen month -on -month. As a result, the decline in the change rate of crude oil is mainly declined. On July 12, the National Development and Reform Commission released news that according to the recent changes in oil prices in the international market, in accordance with the current mechanism for oil prices of refined oil products, from 24:00 on July 12, 2022, domestic auto, diesel prices (standard products, the same below) each each each time Tons decreased by 360 yuan and 345 yuan, respectively. This round is the thirteenth price adjustment this year, and it is also the third time in the year. After the price adjustment, this year, the price of refined oil products showed a "ten rise and three declines" pattern. According to Zhuochuang Information, after the implementation of the price adjustment policy, consumers' oil costs have been reduced again. According to the home car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L as an example, the full box of 92 gasoline saves 14 yuan and the No. 95 gasoline saves 15 yuan. In terms of fuel consumption, a small private car with a monthly run of 2,000 kilometers and a fuel consumption of 8L per 100 kilometers is an example. By the time before the next price adjustment window is opened (24:00 on July 26, 2022), the cost of consumer oil use will be reduced by 22 About yuan. The logistics industry takes a monthly running of 10,000 kilometers a month, and a Steyle heavy truck with a fuel consumption of 38L per 100 kilometers. Before the next price adjustment window is opened, the fuel cost of a single car will be reduced by about 551 yuan. Wang Luqing, an analyst of Zhuochuang News Oil Oil, told the Securities Daily that in the early stage of this pricing cycle, international crude oil prices have fallen significantly, falling at $ 100/barrel. From the fundamental perspective, there is no significant change, crude oil inventory remains low, and the risk of supply interruption has always existed. However, from a macro perspective, the economic data of the market closely tracking show signs of recession. In the market, the market is worried that almost all commodities are under pressure. "At the same time, the European and American stock markets also continue to be adjusted, and the Federal Reserve’ s interest rate hike expects to drive the US dollar to strengthen, which has increased the speed of crude oil. " International oil prices rebounded, and US crude oil once rose to nearly $ 105/barrel, but the rebound was still limited. International crude oil still declined significantly from the previous month, resulting in the decline in the change rate of crude oil in this cycle. Looking forward to the market outlook, Zhao Xilong, a senior investment consultant in Jufeng Investment Consultant, told the Securities Daily that the poor economic data has exacerbated the economic recession concerns. The possibility of the price continues to fall. Zhao Xilong believes that recently, international crude oil prices have fallen, and Brent crude oil and New York crude oil have fallen below $ 100/barrel. Although they rebounded another $ 100 mark again. From a macro perspective, the market's decline in the global economy is expected to rise, and the US dollar index continues to rise, which has put pressure on crude oil prices. "The rebound of international oil prices is not continuous, and there will be a large fluctuations, and the probability of decline will increase. In summary, the row of crude oil changes at the beginning of the cycle will be in the negative value range. According to calculations, the retail price of refined oil may be limited to the price or there is. 'Three consecutive falls' possibilities. "Wang Luqing said.
Picture | Site Cool Hero Bao Map Network Review | Editor of Yan Liliang | Sun Qian's final review | Dong Shaopeng
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