New house transactions fell more than 30 %, and second -hand houses fell more than 40 %!In the first half of the year, the Guangzhou property market gradually recovered, and the policy or difficulty in loosening

Although the transactions in June brought a bright color to the property market, it was still difficult to change the overall weak situation in the first half of the year. However, the market is generally expected that the core cities represented by first -tier cities are in recovery, and the second half of the year may be stabilized.

According to statistics from the Central Plains Research and Development Department of Guangzhou, Guangzhou has traded 39,618 new houses in the first half of the year, down 35%year -on -year; a total of 4,2002 second -hand transactions (intermediary online signing+self -service network visa), a year -on -year decrease of 44.2%. "At present, the property market is justified. The first reform is to look at. The luxury home transactions fail to support the property market, which leads to the second lowest in Guangzhou's second -hand housing transactions in the first half of the year."

A number of people in Guangzhou said in an interview with the "Daily Economic News" reporter on July 12 that in the first half of the year, the buyer's real estate was still cautious, and this trend was expected to continue in the later period. At present, the trend of the gradual recovery of the Guangzhou property market has been formed, and the market may be out of slump in the second half of the year, and the policy is difficult to loosen the space.

In the first half of the year, luxury homes and just needed continuous differentiation

According to the data of Hefu Research Institute, the city's sales in the city in the first half of the year rose. In early June, the inventory volume was 15.58 million square meters, an increase of 17%year -on -year. In the first half of the year, the city's supply was 4.07 million square meters, a 51%decrease from the previous month and a decrease of 10%year -on -year; the online signing transaction was 4.39 million square meters, a decrease of 24%month -on -month, and a decrease of 35%year -on -year.

It is worth noting that in the first half of the year, there were about 1,500 units of the ten million yuan luxury home network, which was about the annual transaction level of the year before the epidemic (2019). This phenomenon is obviously displayed in the first -hand and second -hand market.

According to the transaction of the Central Plains, the average price of second -hand residential networks in Guangzhou in the first half of the year was 27,468 yuan/square meter, a decrease of 2.2%from the second half of 2021, and a sharp decline of 11.2%year -on -year. However, the price of Panyuan's price rose and decline was significantly differentiated. Instead, the price of ten million yuan of luxury projects rose against the market. The overall second -hand price (74819 yuan/square meter) rose 6.1%.

The same is true of the new house market. On July 12, the relevant person in charge of Hejingtai Fu said in an interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" through WeChat that in June, in high -end projects, Hejing Taifu used the 6.18th nodes to actively launch brand promotion activities. Among them, Tianhe High -end House Zhenyi Mansion New Building has been pushed, with a sales performance of about 1 billion yuan in the past two weeks.

In fact, this year Guangzhou real estate enterprises are not concentrated in "red May" but June. According to the statistics of Guangzhou Central Plains Research and Development Department, Guangzhou Xinfang.com signed 7,776 in June, an increase of 26%month -on -month, an increase of 10%year -on -year, and the only transaction volume in the first half of this year exceeded the month of the same period last year. At the same time, the transaction in June exceeding the traditional peak season "Red May" is also a rare phenomenon in recent years, indicating that the Guangzhou market is gradually getting out of the 2021 regulatory policy digestive period.

While the transaction performance of luxury homes above the tens of millions of yuan is remarkable, the buyers who need to be buying houses are not optimistic due to factors such as the decline in purchasing power and confidence to be rebuilt. Settlement.

On July 12, Xie Jingyu, the head of the Market Research Department of the South Davis Davis South District, said in an interview with a reporter from the Daily Economic News that although the macro policy and the personal purchase financing environment continued to benefit the buyers in the second quarter, However, the buyer's real estate industry is still cautious. Trading activities are mainly concentrated in some projects with strong location advantages, mature living facilities, and excellent educational resources.

Since 2018, Guangzhou's first -hand residential residential transactions

The policy in the second half of the year is difficult to loosen the space

In July, there are still signs of recovery in the Guangzhou market. According to data from the Ministry of Research and Development of Guangzhou Central Plains, in the first week of July (June 27th-July 3rd), there were 1828 first-hand residential houses in the city, a slight decline of 4.1%month-on-month. The Guangzhou market has improved significantly, and the transaction has gone from the downturn that has continued to linger in the low position in the past two months, and has been promoted to nearly 2,000/weekly barriers.

It is worth noting that the long -lost increase in the region Zengcheng and Nansha have also appeared. Among them, Zengcheng sold 419, an increase of 33%month -on -month; Nansha transactions were 187, an increase of 27%month -on -month. Due to the diversion of the first -hand market, second -hand houses are basically adjusted at 450 up and down low positions.

On July 12, Xiao Wenxiao, the chief analyst of the region of Keguang Buddhist area, pointed out in an interview with the reporter of "Daily Economic News" through WeChat that since the second quarter, the transactions in Guangzhou in Guangzhou The transaction volume of new houses is the highest level of the year, and the transaction volume of second -hand housing is secondary high, and the trend of the gradual recovery of the Guangzhou property market has been formed.

In terms of policy, Xiao Wenxiao believes, "At present, it is different from many cities to introduce the loosening policy that breaks through the five -limit in half year. The regulation policies of Guangzhou and several first -tier cities are still stable. There is a large loosening space, so the Guangzhou property market will also continue this mild recovery situation in the first half of the year.

The Central Plains Research and Development Department of Guangzhou also believes that the possibility of Guangzhou's promulgation policy in the second half of the year is unlikely, but as the economy is better, the official optimization of the management of the real estate market is expected to accelerate the return of the market and drive the market to get out of a state of downturn. At present, the demand for improvement and mid -to -high -end demand in Guangzhou has gradually returned. In the first half of the year, the first half of the demand passengers was overwhelmed by expecting "policy loosening". It is expected that it will re -enter the market in the second half of the year.

Specifically, the real estate project, such as the high popularity of the newly -needed New Pan Huangpu New Town in Guangzhou, originally planned to enter the market in June, but it has not yet opened, and maybe it is also waiting for more buyers' mentality to change and the demand rebound in the second half of the year.However, Xie Jingyu added that the mood of home buyers is expected to continue to be cautious in the second half of the year. In addition to strict investigations on project location and supporting facilities, the attention of the background of the project developer and its operating conditions will also increase.

In addition, the second batch of concentrated land supply in Guangzhou this year is intended to bid in July. There are also land supply in the central urban areas such as Tianhe and Haizhu.supply.

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Daily Economic News

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