Ukraine: It is not easy to form a "million army" counterattack: the number of people to get together is not easy, and the lack of ammunition is also a problem.
Author:Red Star News Time:2022.07.12
Recently, Ukraine Minister of Defense Lezonikov said Ukraine hopes to form a "million army" to try to recapture the territory controlled by Russia. According to reports, at the beginning of the conflict, Wu Fang's troops were about 220,000. Minister of Wudang said last week that the total scale of the Ukraine, police and border defense forces can reach one million.
Analysts believe that the remarks of the National Defense Minister are more like a "combat slogan", not a statement of precise planning. It is reported that the Ukrainian army has been hit hard since conflict. Today, the number of soldiers per month is more than 20,000, and most of the casualties come from the most experienced troops in Ukraine. Therefore, it is one aspect whether it can be recruited to recruit more soldiers to reverse the situation, and on the other hand, the key to the progress of counter -attack is the quality of the army instead of quantity.
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According to reports, counterattack ideas have always been very popular in Ukraine to persuade the West to provide more weapons and equipment. Military analysis said that the United States and West promised to provide more advanced heavy weapons for Ukrai, but they could not provide sufficient artillery shells. The problem of cannonball shortage may be affecting Ukraine's combat capabilities.
The Wu Plan gathers the "Million Army", and the army has been severely damaged and recruited to cause the people to anger
A few days ago, Ukraine Minister of Defense Lezonikov said Ukraine hopes to form a "million army" to try to recapture territories occupied by Russia. He said, "We have about 700,000 armed forces, coupled with the National Guard, Police, Border Guard, etc., we have about 1 million troops."
Lezonikov also said that more than 400,000 veterans in Ukraine, these veterans and their relatives may also join in the battle. According to data from the Institute of International Strategy (IISS), at the beginning of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, there were about 125,000 soldiers and 100,000 national guards and border guards in Ukraine.
Analysts believe that Leznikov's statement is more like a "combat slogan" rather than a precise plan. Olysia Lubetich, a researcher at the Chartham Research Institute of London Think Tank, said the idea of counterattacks was "very popular within Ukraine", and Kyiv also needed to let the West believe that the Ukrainian army had the opportunity to win with their continued help.
Jack Waterlin, a senior researcher at the Royal Institute of National Defense (Rusi), said that Ukraine would not use the "Million Army" to fight back. Waterlin said, "Under normal circumstances, the" action surprise "is often created when launching a counterattack, and the public claims are to force Russia to invest more military resources to prevent threats."
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In addition, Ukraine had to face the seriously created army. According to reports, about 7,200 soldiers have disappeared since the conflict. In the fierce battle in Untonton Bas, the Ukraine lost up to 100 to 200 people per day, and at least 20,000 soldiers were casualties per month. It is reported that in order to maintain morale, Ukrainian officials may underestimate the scale of troops.
In order to make up for the loss of the frontline troops, the Ukrainian military has also recently launched a large -scale recruitment operation in the country, looking for appropriate personnel registration in various places such as bars, beaches, inspection stations, and shopping malls. It is said that Zalu, the commander -in -chief of the Ukrainian armed forces, announced a new rule last week that men who requested the conditions for military troops must obtain a license from the local recruitment office to leave their registered areas. This caused people's anger, and Ukraine President Zelene had to cancel the order the next day.
Military analysts pointed out that the key to counterattack lies in the quality of the army rather than quantity. However, most of the losses of the Ukraine come from the most experienced troops. Therefore, the key issues facing Ukraine are not the overall military shortage, but the lack of training and well -equipped troops.
Ukraine urges the West to provide artillery shells, insufficient ammunition inventory in Western countries
Reznikov recently stated that the Usbing has "passed the test" and successfully used the recently delivered US long -range artillery system. He also emphasized that because the conflict between the two parties has mainly shifted to the artillery, Ukraine's demand for remote weapons has exceeded short -range weapons. In addition, due to the high loss of frontline weapons, Ukraine urgently needs more arms supplies, such as armored vehicles and drones.
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It is reported that Ukraine has also vigorously lobbying the West to provide NATO standard ammunition because it is gradually exhausting its own Soviet ammunition inventory. However, the analysis states that Western countries are also facing insufficient supply of shells, and the shortage of ammunition may affect the combat capability of the Ukraine.
According to analysts, assuming that the total annual output of the 155mm shells produced by the United States to the front line of the Ukraine is maintained for less than 2 weeks. In addition, taking France as an example, the country sent 18 "Caesar" self -propelled howitzers to Kyiv -account for about a quarter of all its high -tech artillery inventory, but the French arms manufacturer "Nexter" needs about 18 months. Only the time can create a new batch of howitzers to supplement the inventory.
Defense officials and analysts said that the Russian -Ukraine conflict exposed the lack of attention to basic military reserve such as ammunition in Western countries, but was too "obsessed" to high -tech weapons.British Defense Minister Ben Wallace mentioned that the West is trying to help Ukraine to respond to a long -term war, but ammunition inventory is not enough to cope with potential threats.And low inventory countries like Britain will have to turn to third -party purchase of ammunition.Jack Waterlin said that the first lesson brought by the Russian conflict to the West is to recognize the importance of maintaining basic military reserve inventory."This is not a new thing, but a problem that we have ignored for a long time. It is absolutely important for low -cost cheap ammunition for large -scale use."
Red Star News reporter Ding Wen
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