Overseas online review: The Middle East is not a "temporary gas station" that meets the private self -private in the United States

Data Map: US President Biden (Figure/Agence France -Presse)

On July 11, local time, the US President's National Security Assistant Salvin announced at the White House Briefing on the day that US President Biden will go to Israel, the west bank of Jordan and Saudi Arabia on the 12th. This is the first visit to the Middle East as the US President. As international oil prices and US inflation have continued to rise, and their own support rates have fallen, Biden's trip to the Middle East may be difficult to achieve breakthrough results.

This is a long -delayed visit. According to US media reports, as early as April of this year, then Israel Prime Minister Bernet had invited Bayeng to visit Israel, but until the Bunine government stepped down, Washington failed to finalize the final schedule. Biden visited the Middle East after 18 months of President. Compared with former Trump or a former President Obama, he seemed too late. Trump visited the Middle East 4 months after he took office. Obama's first visit to the Middle East was June 2009, that is, 4 months after he took office; in March 2013, he arranged the first visit to the Middle East for the first time. Obviously, no matter how worshipegen emphasizes "his trip will promote the important interests of the United States," Washington no longer regards the Middle East as a priority.

The main goal that Biden wanted to achieve was facing many difficulties. The White House has long confirmed that one of the highlights of Bayeng's trip is to persuade Saudi Arabia to increase the production of oil production significantly, in order to restrain international oil prices, thereby curbing the recorded oil prices and continuous high inflation in the United States. Affected by Russia and Ukraine's conflict and the United States' implementation of unilateral sanctions on Russia, international oil prices have continued to rise in the past few months. Affected by this, the average price of domestic refined oil products in the United States has also risen sharply, and the level of inflation has risen. Inflation rises, the support rates of Biden and the Democratic Party have fallen endlessly. According to data from the comprehensive poll website "538", as of June 11, Biden's average support rate was only 38.5%, a new low. Agence France -Presse said that if Biden was unable to change international oil prices, he and the Democratic Party may become the "outlet" of voters, and the Democratic Party is likely to encounter a "defeat" in the midterm elections.

Obviously it is impossible to relax the sanctions against Russia, it is unlikely to give another large oil -producing country in the Middle East, and Iran, which is also regarded by the United States as a "dead opponent", Saudi Arabia with 12 million barrels/day crude oil has become Biden's "life -saving straw". Analysis of the United States CNN (CNN) analyzes that if it is not the disturbance of the Russian and Ukraine conflict on the global oil market, "Biden is now impossible to go to Saudi Arabia." But the problem is that, on the one hand, after Biden claims to make Saudi Arabia a "pariah" on the international stage, how much is Saudi Arabia to help him get rid of the current economic and political dilemma? On the other hand, even if Saudi Arabia is really willing to increase output, to to how much can it alleviate the problem of rising commodity prices caused by various factors such as geopolitical tension, global inflation, and supply chain imbalance?

In addition, Biden wants to repair the relationship with the allies through this trip. This trip will visit Israel, the west bank of the Jordan and Saudi Arabia. But it is quite embarrassing that Israel is facing the fifth election in three years. In this case, Biden not only should be careful to avoid intervention in the internal affairs of Israel, but also may face the former Prime Minister of Republican Prime Minister Neitanahu again again. In charge of the prospects of Israel, because of the Iranian nuclear issue, Pakistani and Israeli issues, I have stumbled for several years, and I am afraid I will continue to stumble in a short time.

Biden may not be able to find much benefits in the Arab world. In addition to Saudi Arabia, the relationship between the United States and other Bay Arab countries is not hot. From the perspective of the Gulf Arab country, whether it is in the past few years, the U.S. government has continuously implemented a strategic austerity policy in the Middle East, or in the past two years, key facilities such as US -made equipment in big cities such as Abu Dhabi and Lidy have been armed in the Hascean armed forces. Poor performance when drone air strikes have weakened confidence in the United States to continue to provide them with security. The U.S. government has continued to "turn the cake" policy on hot issues such as Palestine, Iran, Syria, and Yemen, and has already tossed these Middle East countries to be physically and mentally exhausted.

At the same time, the geopolitical situation within the Middle East has also undergone profound changes, such as the UAE, Barin and other countries to achieve normalization of relationships with Israel; Turkey's tensions with Saudi Arabia, Egypt and other countries have eased; Syria returns to the Arab world. It has also ended the tension with Iran. Various changes have shown that after years of war conflict, ideological hostility, and camp fragments, the Middle East began to return to real politics, and more and more the Middle East countries have developed foreign policies from their own interests. This point, after the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, many Middle East countries, including Israel, still refuse to "choose the border station" to evidence.

The New York Times said that in the Middle East trip, "Biden will find that the Middle East has changed." If the Middle East is "important", the United States should not consider it as a "temporary gas station" that meets the private private in the United States. The United States should abandon all kinds of actions to play with geopolitics and maintain its own hegemony, and cooperate with regional countries to promote the realization of peace and stability and prosperity in the Middle East. (Nie Shi)

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