Economic Half -year News 丨 [Poster] Pioneer indicators look at a number of data from the economy to stop falling and return to expand space

Guangming.com (Reporter Zhao Yanyan) In the first half of the year, core economic data such as China's GDP (GDP) will be announced soon. Under the impact of multiple rounds of epidemic, can the economic growth rate in the first half of the year be stabilized? Some indicators that have been released in the near future reveal positive signals.

Purchasing manager index (PMI) is an index that summarizes and prepared the monthly survey statistics of the purchasing manager. This predecessor reflecting the trend of economic changes is considered to have a high degree of correlation with GDP.

In June, the PMI of China's manufacturing industry rose to 50.2%, returning to the expansion range after a three -month contraction. Of the 21 industries surveyed, 13 industries PMI is located in the expansion range. The manufacturing prosperity continues to expand, and positive factors continue to accumulate.

With the continuous advancement of resumption of work and re -production, the inhibitory demand for manufacturing enterprises in the early stage is accelerating, and enterprises have also improved. In June, the production and business activities in the manufacturing PMI expected index of 55.2%, which was higher than 1.3 percentage points of last month, rose to nearly three months high.

Zhao Qinghe, a senior statistician of the Service Industry Investigation Center of the National Bureau of Statistics, believes that this means that as the domestic epidemic prevention and control situation continues to improve, a policy of stabilizing the economy will accelerate the effectiveness of implementation, and my country's economic recovery has accelerated.

In June, China SME Development Index (SMEDI) was 88.4, an increase of 0.2 points month -on -month, and the decline and rebounded after falling for 4 consecutive months. Among them, the industry index is fully improved. All 8 sub -industry indexes have risen. Industry, construction industry, transportation and postal storage industry, real estate industry, wholesale and retail industry, social service industry, information transmission computer software industry and accommodation and catering industry index increased by 0.2, 0.1, 0.1, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5 0.5, respectively from the previous month. And 0.6 points; Among them, the accommodation and catering industry index rose the largest. The construction industry, transport postal storage and retail industry index has risen for two consecutive months.

In June, with the gradual improvement of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the order of production and life gradually recovered, and the continuous development of a package of steady growth policies, the company's operating rate has steadily rebounded, the industrial chain supply chain card has continued to dredge, and the economic operation is stabilizing and rebounding. The situation of small and medium -sized enterprises has improved.

Ma Shuping, a researcher at the Enterprise Research Institute of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said that the reform of the "decentralization of service" has continued to optimize the business environment, implemented the policy of stabilizing the economic market, and played an important role in stabilizing market players.

In June, the China Express Development Index was 289.4, an increase of 7.5%month -on -month. The industry scale recovery process accelerated, the basic capabilities improved significantly, and the development situation was better.

Wang Yuehan, deputy director of the Business Research Center of the Development and Research Center of the State Post Bureau, said that in the first half of the year, global inflation remained high, and the new crown epidemic continued to be popular worldwide, and domestic epidemic occasionally distributed. Express re -production and re -production are facing great pressure, and development is once blocked. However, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee, under the command and scheduling of the leading group of the State Council ’s Logistics Insurance Shopping Substitute, and the active efforts of the entire industry, the industry has quickly built the bottom repair, the market size has achieved positive growth, the quality and quality of the capacity have improved, and the quality and efficiency have improved. The strategic basic role of the stable of the economic cycle and the stability of the supply chain of the industrial chain is further emerged.

According to data on July 4th, the China Logistics and Purchasing Federation showed that the Chinese logistics industry prosperity index in June 2022 was 52.1%, a 2.8 percentage point from May; the Chinese warehousing index was 53.9%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points from May. After three consecutive months of contraction interval running below 50%, the Chinese logistics industry prosperity index rose to the expansion range again in June.

Hu Yan, a researcher at the China Logistics Information Center, said that in June, the industrial chain continued to be repaired, and the demand of upstream and downstream of the supply chain was released. Index, new order index, capital turnover index, equipment utilization index, and employee indexes have increased significantly.