How to coordinate the epidemic prevention and control and economic growth
Author:China Economic Network Time:2022.07.12
In the first half of this year, the international environment became more complicated and severe. The domestic epidemic impact was significant, and the downward pressure on my country's economy increased. Facing the challenges of difficulties, all regions and departments have efficiently coordinating the prevention and control of the epidemic and the development of economic and social development, and strive to stabilize the macroeconomic market. Economic operations have increased positively since May.
Experts believe that my country's economy is expected to accelerate recovery in the second half of the year, but still faces many difficulties. To promote economic operation to return to normal track as soon as possible, we must continue to efficiently coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development, and put steady growth in a more prominent position.
Economy is expected to recover recovery
The average daily business volume of express delivery in June resumed more than 300 million pieces, exceeding the same period last year; in the first June, the national railway sent a total of 1.946 billion tons of goods, an increase of 5.5%year -on -year. ; July China's retail industry boom index is 50.2, returning to the expansion range in the traditional retail season; in June, manufacturing PMI and non -manufacturing PMI double rebates to the expansion range, the market expects to improve ... Many data show that my country's economy is steadily steadily. recover.
"Economic operation in June showed marginal improvement, indicating that the effect of stabilizing the economic market for the stability of the economic market has begun to appear." Wei Qijia, director and researcher of the Industrial Office of the National Information Center's Forecast Department, said that production in the Yangtze River Delta region and the Northeast region that had been impacted by the epidemic was significantly improved. , Economic stability and improvement. This is due to my country's efficient overall overall epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, continuously increases macro -policy regulation, and strives to stabilize the macroeconomic market to ensure and improve people's livelihood.
The Research Group of the China Macroeconomic Forum of Renmin University of China recently issued a report that my country's economy has begun to bottom out. The existing policy is full of prefix, incremental policies are continuously introduced, the central government has strong supervision, and the implementation of government departments at all levels. The short -term policy goals with positive economic growth and decline in unemployment rate in the second quarter are expected to be achieved.
Wang Yiming, deputy director of the China International Economic Exchange Center, said that there are many favorable conditions for economic recovery in the second half of the year. First of all, the most difficult period for the economy has passed, and it has entered a stage of recovery. With the decline of the impact of the epidemic, steady growth becomes the main foundation of macro policies, and the comprehensive advancement of the resumption of production and resumption of business, the resumption of the market, and the economic recovery situation basically formed. Growth lays a better foundation. In addition, my country has also accumulated more experience in the prevention and control of epidemics and economic and social development.
"Looking forward to the second half of the year, in the case of policy implementation and demand recovery, the economy is expected to achieve recovery back; with the support of strong policy, it is expected to approach and achieve the expected goal." It is believed that with the improvement of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the investment will remain steadily and rapid, and the export growth rate may be further accelerated.
To maximize the impact of the epidemic
"The epidemic should be defended, the economy must be stabilized, and the development is safe." This is the clear requirement of the Party Central Committee. Ou Hong, deputy secretary -general of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that the current situation of the epidemic situation is still severe and complicated, and must not shake the overall strategy of "external defense input, internal prevention and rebound" and the general policy of "dynamic clearing zero". Prevent and control measures, resolutely avoid simplification, one -size -fits -all, and layer by layer. At the same time, grab the time window, further unblock transportation and logistics, accelerate the realization of re -production and production, effectively strengthen the bottom line of people's livelihood protection, and minimize the impact of epidemic situation on economic and social development.
Yang Weimin, member of the Standing Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and the Deputy Director of the Economic Committee, said that the current stability, employment, and stable prices are facing many new challenges. According to the situation, according to the principles of focusing, intensity, and longevity to further introduce incremental policies.
Yang Weimin said that the epidemic may have repeatedly occurred, and the epidemic prevention and control measures should be more scientific and accurate, further clarify the refinement of the epidemic prevention and control policies, and stabilize the enterprise and residents.
There must be smooth logistics in the open economic cycle. Cai Tuanli, director of the Transportation Services Department of the Ministry of Transport, said that it will continue to consolidate the effectiveness of expanding and expanding the effectiveness of the protection of logistics insurance, providing strong logistics guarantee for the stability of the industrial chain supply chain and effectively stabilizing the economic market.
"Epidemic prevention and control, normal production and life, economic and social development are by no means a" single -choice question ", but that complement each other, dialectical and uniform." Wei Qijia believes that the key to "efficient coordination" is to adhere to systemic concepts and use dialectical dialectics. Thinking, while grasping the various outbreaks to prevent and control various tasks, we will make every effort to promote the stable and healthy development of the economy. From the point of view, we must continue to do a good job of people's livelihood protection, strengthen the construction of the public health emergency system, ensure that the supply chain of the industrial chain is smooth and stable, increase the efforts of helping enterprises' rescue policies, and respond to social concerns in a timely manner.
Digging new momentum of economic growth
At present, the foundation of my country's economic recovery is still unstable. It is necessary to focus on solving outstanding problems in economic operations, efficiently coordinate epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development, coordinate growth, regulate structure, and promote reforms, and promote sustainable and healthy economic development.
Ou Hong said that it is necessary to accelerate the implementation of the established policies, open up the card point blocking point that restricts the economic cycle, expand effective demand, increase the efforts to help enterprises, take multiple measures to stabilize employment, do a good job of maintaining stable prices for important people's livelihood commodities to ensure stable prices. Further release the policy effects, stabilize the economic market, and maintain economic operation in a reasonable range.
Wei Qijia believes that in terms of investment, it is necessary to continue to expand effective investment, accurately grasp the direction and focus of effective investment, and effectively play a key role in investment. Coordinate the investment funds of various types of government, and play its role of traction and leverage to expand effective investment; in terms of consumption, actively carry out consumer activities and drive consumption in all aspects; in terms of exports Financial and tax finance support, help enterprises focus on the market expansion, and stabilize the supply chain of the foreign trade industry chain to continue to make efforts, and continue to support enterprises to use relevant policies and measures to help foreign trade enterprises stable and healthy development. "With the adjustment of macroeconomic policies, consumption may be heated in the second half of this year." Liu Wei, president of Renmin University of China, suggested that in the future, we must firmly grasp the strategic base point of expanding consumption in the future. Institutional arrangement. The demand side should strengthen institutional arrangements from the aspects of promoting employment, strengthening vocational skills training, improving resource allocation, improving the tax system, expanding middle -income groups, reasonable adjustment of house prices, and rationally improving social public services. The supply side should actively promote the supply -side structural reform, improve the quality of supply, strengthen the protection of intellectual property rights, improve the market transaction environment, eliminate the asymmetric information of the transaction, and reduce transaction costs.
The China Economic and Financial Research Group of the Bank of China believes that in the second half of the year, the external environment is more severe and complicated, and domestic demand is the key to stabilizing the macroeconomic market. It is necessary to implement a policy of stabilizing the economy and stability, and strive to stabilize, stabilize employment, stabilize expectations, and protect people's livelihood. Optimize the prevention and control measures of the epidemic, minimize the impact of the epidemic on the economy; actively help enterprises to relieve and expand effective investment, better monetary policy to better play structural functions; further give full play to the role of investment in the economic bottom, "more arrows," more arrows "Qi Fa" helps consumption recovery; supports reasonable demand from both ends of supply and demand, and promote the stable development of the real estate market.
Wang Yiming believes that in the long run, the key is to tap new economic growth. Last year, my country's per capita GDP reached US $ 12,500, which is still a large gap with developed countries. However, the space for cultivating new kinetic energy is also very large. It can promote economic growth from the aspects of strengthening the construction of original innovation capabilities, promoting the digital transformation of the manufacturing industry and the upgrading of the industrial chain, expanding the middle -income group, and the promotion of citizenship of agricultural population.
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