Inner Mongolia Climate Center Joint Meteorological Service Center releases climate trend forecast products

Since May of this year, the Inner Mongolia Climate Center Joint Meteorological Service Center released the climate trend forecast product of the WeChat public account "Inner Mongolia Weather". The release content mainly includes the trend of monthly and seasonal precipitation, the average temperature trend, the trend of precipitation in the basin in the autonomous region. The prediction content of the starting and ending time of the rainy season, and proposed the disaster weather that focusing on in the future or seasonal demand and the adverse effects of its may have on the production of people's lives, agriculture and animal husbandry. Development provides climate service information.

Due to the extremely complicated factors that affect my country's climate abnormalities, and factors such as limited awareness of related mechanisms and uncertainty methods in prediction methods, the difficulty and uncertainty of climate predictions are great, so it is impossible to reach 100 % accurate. In addition, climate prediction products are not a certain weather situation in the prediction time, but to show the trend and degree of the factor deviation from the climate. Essence The public needs to objectively understand the uncertainty of the climate prediction conclusion, pay attention to the rolling update of the conclusion, and use the prediction results reasonably. (Text/Liu Wei, review/high crystal)

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