NATO refuses to provide offensive weapons to Ukraine!Is it just to "protect the body"?
Author:Military secondary surface Time:2022.07.11
[Military Bills Plane] Author: Leon
Recently, according to the analysis of the Spanish media, in order to prevent its conventional military power from being involved in the Russian -Ukraine conflict, in order to avoid excessive stimulation of the Russian army, Western countries will never provide a patriotic air defense system and advanced fighter like Ukraine. Such weapons. So, for Ukraine, Western countries are really just to prevent the situation from being too large to prevent the situation from being excessive and prevent the Ukraine from obtaining advanced weapons? To understand this problem, we have to start with the strategic purpose of NATO and Ukraine.
▲ Like other types of assistance to the Ukraine, the number of "Hamas" rockets in Ukraine has recently aid very small, and its combat performance is still weakened. It is difficult to meet the actual combat needs of the Ukraine
First of all, for NATO, it is different from the national interests facing Ukraine. First of all, Ukraine seek NATO weapons, and hopes to use NATO to drive the Russian army out of the eastern part of the Ukraine and let the country's government re -control the eastern part of Ukraine. Therefore, for the Ukrainian army, the overall goal they want to achieve is to quickly "remove" the Russian and its local and Russian forces to ensure re -control of the Wudong region.
After all, for Ukraine, because its comprehensive national strength and Russia are not at the same magnitude, a long -term consumption war is very uncomfortable for Ukraine and has no advantage. The army's re -controlling the Wudong region is not a consideration to maximize interests for NATO. You must know that for NATO, one of the most significance of this organization is against Russia.
▲ It is one of the basis for the existence of Russia as the biggest imaginary enemy in Russia.
Therefore, as to whether Ukraine can maintain domestic stability, or how much can Ukraine be played after joining NATO, or how to develop the domestic economy in Ukraine, these issues related to Ukraine people's livelihood are not the focus of NATO consideration. Therefore, for the current government of Ukraine and NATO, in fact, the two seemingly "indestructible" "ally" consensus consensus is different.
Presumably everyone can guess that for NATO, Ukraine is a real tool. NATO aid Ukraine's weapons. It may not support Ukraine for some so -called reasons. Consumption of Russia's strength, and the better this process is better, so as to achieve the purpose of "bleeding" to Russia and re -acting for history.
▲ The most important purpose of NATO's current stage is to continue to weaken Russia through Ukraine. If the Russian -Ukraine conflict ended quickly, it contrary to its interests. Therefore, NATO aid Ukrainian weapons for many soldiers. In order to consume Russian conventional military power
Therefore, for the patriot's air defense system like Western media analysis, according to this logical analysis, NATO is almost impossible to provide a large number of equipment to Ukraine that allows the Ukraine to regain air control. After all, if NATO provides a large number of Patriot air defense systems Ukraine's land air defense system will be re -established. This type of weapon does have a deterrent that cannot be ignored for the Russian army that lacks the five generations of combat advantages.
At that time, if the Ukraine has obtained the air control system of some airspace with the patriot's air defense system, and relieves some of the current air control advantages of the Russian army, the Ukraine may have a certain counterattack ability. The weakening of strength may be that the two sides of the battle will fear each other, so that the military confrontation that is more biased towards their respective occupation areas is the result of the hope of seeking to see in NATO? I'm afraid not.
▲ Even though NATO is cautious on the issue of U -military aid, but even so, some weapons of the aid against the Ukraine have flowed into the black market.
Therefore, as for the advanced fighter aircraft provided by Ukraine, the probability of NATO is even more likely to provide it. After all, the current situation of Russia and Ukraine is carried out on land, and the Russian army also uses to "save money" and also uses it. The very "traditional" play is to fight against the Ukraine. Therefore, if the Ukraine has obtained a large number of US-made F-16 fighters, the Ukraine may use an air strike to push the Russian army's current land combat forces.
Of course, in this case, the Russian army will not have the probability that the Russian army will send its air combat forces to meet these F-16, and in the Donbas area, the Russian army also has a deep nominal foundation. Even if the Russian army is difficult to fight these Western aid advanced fighters in areas near Wuxi, it is more than enough to deploy Russian -style air defense missiles in Donbas and play an air -ground combination in cooperation with their own air fighters.
▲ The Russian army now also has currently the world's first -class land air defense system. If Western advanced fighter formations want to attack, the probability will pay a larger price
In this case, if the Ukraine chooses to attack, the result of a large war loss will probably occur. At that time, NATO may need to continue to provide advanced fighters like F-16 from Ukraine. The military conflict between the two parties will also evolve into the consumption of the conventional military resources of NATO. In this case, even if the Russian army has a large amount of loss, NATO itself will also consume a lot of conventional arms resources. NATO is also unfavorable. ▲ Even if Ukraine can get some advanced Western fighters, in the face of the Russian offensive, I am afraid that a considerable number of Western fighters can be required to have some possibilities to fundamentally reversing the war situation.
Therefore, for NATO, through this kind of aid Ukraine's small -scale defense weapon, it can ensure that Ukraine will not be "disrupted" by the Russian army, and then the NATO can consume Russia's military resources in a certain period of time. It is the most in line with the current NATO's interests. As for the peaceful matters of Ukraine, I am afraid that this is not related to the strategic goal of NATO. Therefore, it is not difficult to understand why NATO will not provide Ukraine's urgent offensive weapons to Ukraine.
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