Germany's inflation is high, the natural gas crisis is still difficult to resolve

[Reporter connection · Russia and Ukraine's conflict influence of the world]

Since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Germany's inflation and energy crisis have been increasing. At present, various foods and daily necessities in Germany are increasing prices, and the call for state subsidies is getting higher and higher. Various programs such as tax cuts and wages are arguing in different interest groups. In an interview with German media, German Prime Minister Tsurtz called for people to unite and respond to price increases. Recently, Tsumers invited employers and senior representatives of unions to discuss and coordinate response in the Prime Minister's Palace. However, before the meeting, he settled: "The current crisis will not end within a few months."

Some time ago, the worry about food price increases was a bit calm, and the new wave of price increases and panic followed, mainly from worrying about natural gas supply. The German Federal Network Administration, which is responsible for the supply of natural gas pipelines, issued a warning that Russia may completely interrupted the natural gas transportation to Germany. This is because Russia has recently gradually reduced the natural gas supply through the "Beixi-1" gas transmission pipeline for technical reasons. In a few days, the pipeline will usher in the annual maintenance period. The annual maintenance work will start from July 11, usually about 10 days. At this time, the natural gas flowing through the "Beixi-1" will be interrupted. At present, the Germans are very worried that Russia will not open the leading natural gas pipeline after repair. Economic Minister of Economic Minister Habeck also repeatedly expressed such concerns.

Germany has always been dependent on the low price of Russia. In order to alleviate the pressure of gas supply and ensure supply, with the efforts of the German government in previous sessions, the second gas transmission pipe "Beixi-2" built between Germany and Russia has just been completed shortly ago. But under the opposition from the United States and some European countries, Germany had to give up using the pipeline. Since taking office, Habeck has resolutely opposed Germany's energy dependence on Russia. After taking office, the most important job is to find a supplier that can replace Russian natural gas in the world, but the effect is not obvious. The proportion of expensive American liquefied natural gas in Germany has increased significantly.

Germany originally wanted to fill the gas storage tanks when the amount of natural gas was not large in summer, and at least a few months later, Germany could have a normal warm winter. But the situation is changing rapidly, and no one can guarantee that this plan can be realized. German politicians have no better way for this. In addition to "preventing needles" to the public and warning in advance, calling on people to save energy to become the preferred plan.

Claus Mueller, chairman of the Federal Network Administration, who is responsible for the gas pipeline gas transmission work, worried that the regular maintenance of the upcoming "Beixi-1" natural gas pipeline may "become more persistent political maintenance." The meaning of Russia is unknown if Russia can get angry. Mueller called on all houses and apartment owners to quickly inspect and repair gas boilers and radiator, and adjust the settings. He said that doing so can reduce gas consumption by 10%to 15%. Haber's suggestion is more specific. He proposed to people to reduce the bath time. He said that his shower time has never exceeded 5 minutes, and he mainly washed the three parts of the key points.

The Germans are also worried that this winter will be "legally" frozen. Because of the German political circles, if the energy is insufficient, the legal temperature in winter heating will be reduced and heating time will be reduced. Hamburg Minister of Environment, Kelstan, said that the supply of hot water in the family may decrease. He told the World News: "If there is a severe natural gas shortage, it can only supply hot water in some periods of the day in emergency situations." This is for most Germans who lack the family's independent hot water supply equipment , Can't help but say a bad news.

The current German energy supply company is still suffering, in order to ensure that supply has to buy expensive energy sources everywhere. The German government is amending the Energy Security Law. If the parliament passes through this modification, the energy supply company will be allowed to pass the high cost of energy imports to consumers, but this will lead to greater social problems.

Of the 40 million families in Germany, more than 55%of families use natural gas to cook and warm up. At the Institute of International Economics at the Institute of Economics of Dusseldorf and a member of the Scientific Advisory Committee of the Federal Economic Affairs of the Federal Economic Affairs of Economics, Yanz Sustecum told German media that if energy tensions occur, ordinary families have a gasoline fee of 100 euros per month. Rising to 500 ~ 600 euros, ordinary families will spend 3,000 to 4,000 euros a year to pay extra natural gas costs, which will be a problem of survival for them.

Energy issues and natural gas crisis will also directly affect the foundation of the wealthy life after the war of Germany. Family gas can quickly turn into other energy sources, but the German industry is difficult to leave at the same time as a natural gas for energy and raw materials. One -third of German industrial products need stable natural gas supply support. 37%were directly used in industrial production in the import of natural gas in Germany before the epidemic. The important chemical production of Germany used more than 15%of German natural gas imports, and 4%of the imported natural gas gave the chemical enterprise BASF.

Experts believe that if the third stage of the Minister of Economic Minister, the highest tension stage of natural gas, Germany will have to supply natural gas to restrict private and enterprises to use natural gas. ~ 7 times. Sodcum said that this may mean that some factories had to stop working and stop production, shortening workers, or even layoffs. Most economists' predictions are not optimistic, and believe that the German economy may decline 3.2%to 8%. The unemployment rate, poverty rate and national bond scale will increase significantly therefore. Although the German economy will not collapse, it will obviously falter. Recently, UNIPER, Germany's largest natural gas importer, for help with the government for help. People's concerns about the natural gas crisis in Germany have become more and more obvious. At first, the approval process of the "Beixi-2" natural gas pipeline was interrupted, and Habeck, who called on the German people to "freeze freely", does not seem to be preparing for the current situation. Experts here believe that only the people of German people can reduce the use of natural gas and not fundamentally solve the problem. At present, the most important thing is to quickly find alternative energy. Today, the Green Party leaders who have always opposed the use of coal have to support the start of coal power generation. Some people have speculated that the Green Party leaders may change their position on the issue of nuclear power in Germany in the future.

(Our newspaper Berlin, July 8th. The newspaper in Berlin reporter Wang Huaicheng)

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