Abe's political career review: those highlights, gray and dark moments

08.07.2022

Number of this text: 3141, the reading time is about 5 minutes older

Guide: On August 24, 2020, Shinzo Abe surpassed his uncle's former Prime Minister Sato Sato, and became Japan's longest prime minister.

Author | First Finance Pan Yinru

When Abe was also the Prime Minister of Japan, there were media reports that he loved the movie "Dark Moment".

On the 8th local time, a common street speech was unexpected, but he accidentally encountered the "dark moment" in his life.

According to CCTV news reports, on the 8th, Abe died due to his injuries after being shot.

Several Japanese people told First Financial through social media that they felt "too surprised" about this emergency, and "the voice of news anchors was trembling."

Chen Zilei, vice chairman of the National Japanese Economic Society and director of the Japanese Economic Center of Shanghai University of Foreign Economics and Trade, told the First Financial Report His grandfather Kishimo also assassinated, and his leg was injured.

"One door and three prime ministers"

Abe, 67, was born in Japan's political family. His father, Abe, was an old Japanese politician and was the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Japan. His grandfather Kishimo and Uncle Sato Sato were all the Prime Minister of Japan.

In 1982, Shinzo Abe was in politics at the beginning of the third, and was selected as members of the House of House of Representatives of Yamaguchi County since 1993. Since then, the career has been smooth, and has successively served as the Democratic Democratic Party's Director and Cabinet Governor's House Chief. In 2006, he briefly served as the Prime Minister of Japan, but only one year later, he was forced to resign the position of Prime Minister in 2007 for physical reasons and a series of scandals.

Until 2012, Abe Cai Dongshan resumed, and once again served as Prime Minister of Japan, and was re -elected until the end of August 2020. On August 28 of that year, Abe officially announced his resignation at a press conference, saying that the recurrence of ulcerative colorectal inflammation needs to be treated and apologized for his resignation in his term.

Subsequently, the head of the officer of Abe's cabinet, the head of the house, took over as the Prime Minister. One year later, Tan Yiwei announced that he would not participate in the first election of the Liberal Party. In the subsequent elections of the Liberal Democratic Party, Kishida wins and became the new Prime Minister of Japan.

Japan's longest time for office

August 24, 2020 is a historic moment for Abe Jinsan. On this day, his time to serve as the Prime Minister of Japan surpassed his uncle and former Japanese Prime Minister Sato, and became Japan's longest prime minister.

Before Abe became the Prime Minister for the second time, the Japanese political scene had been chaotic, and replacing the Prime Minister was like a horse lamp. At one time, the situation of "changing seven phases in six years" appeared.

So, why can Abe hold the Japanese political scene for 8 years after 2012? Chen Zilei told the First Financial reporter that the reason why Abe could become the "longest term" prime minister was inseparable from the multiple factors of the time, geographical interests and people.

"First of all, due to the weakening of the internal reform of the Liberal Democratic Party, the Director of President's right to appoint and removal of personnel has unprecedentedly strengthened the way for Abe to stabilize the governance." Chen Zilei said, "Second The status quo, coupled with Abe's lack of competitors in Japanese politics at that time, whether it is within the political party or the Japanese nationals are eager to stabilize. These factors have created favorable conditions for Abe's continuous governance. "

At the same time, Chen Zilei believes that the external environment at that time was also conducive to Abe's political stability. "The global economy has recovered since 2008, and the Japanese economy has also treated. Japan's capital market has developed well in these years, covering up the lack of aging in the real economy, such as young children. It also supported the previous economic growth, and the import and export performance was good. Investment was weak due to the constraints of public debt, but the overall performance was good. "He said.

At the beginning of his 2012, Abe shot three "arrows" aimed at boosting economic vitality. Koichi Hamada, an economist, known as the "Godfather of Abe's Economic Policy", once commented on "Abe Economics": "Three Arrows" initially achieved some of them to help Japanese society get rid of shrinkage and restore economic vitality. The effectiveness has increased the growth rate of GDP (GDP), improved employment, and the prices get rid of negative growth. In addition, the weak yen also benefited the exporters, and the Japanese stock index also touched the high position in the past three decades.

Chen Zilei commented that Abe has adopted a policy that is more consistent with the hearts of the people in the 8 -year administration, in addition to increasing the main controversy of consumption tax. In 8 years, Japan's consumption tax has been increased twice. In 2014, the Abe regime adjusted the previous 5%consumption tax to 8%, and in 2019, the 8%consumption tax was adjusted to 10%. In order to identify the true willingness of the Japanese people to consumption tax, Abe once disbanded the House of Representatives and elected in advance. However, the dissolution of the House of Representatives is a strategy of Japan's Prime Minister in responding to complex situations, getting rid of unfavorable difficulties, and striving for initiative.

"In the end, Abe still crossed this hurdle. After several delay, he still adjusted the consumption tax to 10%and spent a major difficulty in ruling." Chen Zilei said.

Visit China twice

Talking about the most impressive incident in Abe's term, Chen Youjun, a professor at the Shanghai International Institute, felt that it was Abe's two visits to China. From October 8th to 9th, 2006, Abe opened his first prime minister to visit China quickly. This visit to China is known as the "ice -breaking journey" of Sino -Japanese relations. Chen Youjun said: "At that time, Abe opened a visit to China as soon as he took office, a bit of a disruptive effect. Because the first visit of the Japanese Prime Minister after World War II chose the United States. Of course, the objective background at the time, such as the former Prime Minister Koi Koi Koi, on historical issues on historical issues Repeated mistakes, etc., so that Sino -Japanese relations at that time were embarrassed. Abe showed the determination and will to improve Sino -Japanese relations after taking office. "Chen Zilei also believed that the most impressive incident in Abe was the improvement of Sino -Japanese relations. Essence On October 25, 2018, Abe visited China, which was also the first visit to China after 7 years, which set off a small climax for Sino -Japanese relations at the time. Before the trip, Abe also updated his Twitter before boarding: "The blue sky of Haneda Airport. It has not been officially visited in China for seven years. Although there are various problems, it is because of this. Speaking of my heart. Taking this opportunity, I want to advance Japanese -China relations to a new stage. "

"In fact, at the beginning of the term of office, Abe's attitude towards China was relatively tough, but later, Abe slowly lowered his posture and chose to ease Chinese and Japanese relations." Chen Youjun said, "Chen Youjun said. "Later, the honeymoon period was opened from 2015 to before the epidemic.

At that time, China and Japan held the first third -party market cooperation forum, and the China -Japan -Japan currency swap agreement was restarted. More than a year later, Abe attended the China -Japan -Korea Leadership Conference held in Sichuan, and expressed his willingness to promote the implementation of the China -Japan -Korea Free Trade Agreement with China.

Chen Zilei said that the positive interaction between China and Japan is not only conducive to the long -term development of relations between the two countries, but also for Abe's governance at that time.

Shortly after Abe resigned, China and Japan reached a bilateral tariff reduction arrangement for the first time through the "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" (RCEP), achieving historic breakthroughs. In short, RCEP will cancel about 91.5%of export goods in Japan and 98.6%of imported goods tariffs, which helps Sino -Japanese bilateral trade.

In addition, Abe also supported multi -side free trade during his tenure. In recent years, the Japanese government has been actively promoting the strategic layout of the free trade zone. At the beginning of 2017, after the United States announced his withdrawal from the Cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP), the Abe government led 11 countries other than the United States to sign a comprehensive and progressive cross -Pacific Partnership Agreement (CPTPP). "The negotiations and signed the" Mini Edition "" Japan -US Trade Agreement ", which is regarded as a" bonus item "in Abe. Although this "rapid" free trade agreement does not cover all areas of Japan -US trade. In addition, Japan has reached an economic partnership agreement with the European Union and the United Kingdom, and the Japan -English comprehensive economic partnership agreement.

There are these regrets

Abe once said that the constitutional amendment, the "four islands in the north" and the hostage problem failed to promote the three regrets during the term of office. Among them, the constitutional amendment is regarded as Abe's wish to start the second prime minister since 2012. Chen Zilei believes that Abe has not been able to do so, mainly because Japan has no corresponding atmosphere. In his opinion, the possibility of Abe's successor in the future is also very small.

At the same time, Abe has always returned to Japan after half a century after a period of half a century, and is regarded as "a sign of Japan's rejuvenation again." At the completion ceremony of the main venue of the Tokyo Olympic Games held on December 15, 2019, Abe stated that this Tokyo Olympic Games will be held into a "conference to show the world to the world." However, with the spread of the new crown epidemic in the world, the Tokyo Olympic Games helplessly extended one year. Under the epidemic, the Tokyo Olympic Games was obviously unable to compare with Abe's ambition.

Abe's sudden resignation also left the economic difficulties to the epidemic. In Chen Zilei's view, after the three arrows of "Abe Economics" were shot from 2013, the monetary policy actually produced a certain effect, but it was not as expected because it still did not reach the 2%inflation target, but the rebound on the stock market rebounded The increase in profit after taxation after tax in Japanese companies still play a role in a certain role; in terms of fiscal policy, public debt has not decreased, and the investment and public investment of fixed assets have basically not increased. A national and active "100 million active society" goal in the family and workplace can still have a distance.

Because the people were dissatisfied with the way of the Abe government on the epidemic, especially the impact of the epidemic on the economy, almost eliminated the past achievements of "Abe Economics". Low.

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