In June, the average precipitation of the province broke through the history of the same period of rain!The latest prediction of weather in July ...

On July 4, the Provincial Meteorological Bureau invited the Provincial Meteorological Observatory, the Provincial Climate Center, the Provincial Meteorological Service Center, the Agricultural Meteorological Room and experts and experts of the Institute of Meteorological Sciences to analyze the characteristics of weather and climate last month, predict the weather and climate this month trend.

According to Yang Xueyan, director of the Provincial Climate Center, the total climatic characteristics of the province in June were slightly low temperature, and the precipitation was significantly too much. The average temperature in the province is 19.4 ° C, which is 0.7 ° C lower than usual. The temperature is low before and after, the temperature is 2.1 ° C than usual, and the temperature of the 18-30 days is 1.1 ° C.

The average precipitation in the province in June was 200.1 mm, nearly 1.1 times more than usual, and broke through the history of the same period of history. Songyuan, Siping, Liaoyuan, Baishan, and Tonghua precipitation are 1 to 2 times more than usual, and 5-90 % of other cities and states. Da'an, Siping, Yongji, Meihekou and other 15 counties and cities including 15 counties and cities exceeded the extreme value of the same period of history.

This year's flood in the province, the flood on June 4, 14 days earlier than usual. Three obvious precipitation weather in the month of the month is June 3-5, 22-24, and 27-28.

It is expected that the average temperature in the province in July is 23-24 ° C, which is slightly higher than the same period of the year. The average precipitation of the province is 150 to 180 mm, which is slightly more than the same period of the year, and the distribution of precipitation space and space is unevenly distributed. Among them, Tonghua and Baishan areas are 20 % to 30 % more than usual, and about 10 % more in other areas.

It is expected that the main precipitation weather is expected to be 5 times during the month: 7-10, 12-13, 19-21, 23-25, 28-30. During the month, there will be strong convective weather such as lightning, short -term precipitation, and wind hail. In the central and southern regions, there will be disasters such as heavy precipitation or regional heavy rainfall, and local floods and urban waterlogging. There are high temperatures and rain in the middle and in the middle and in the western region.

According to Mu Xiuxiang, deputy director of the Provincial Meteorological Observatory, the average temperature of the province is 23.5 ° C in the next ten days (July 5-14), which is higher than 22.2 ° C; many. On the 5-6, most of the province had shower or thunderstorms. On the 7th, there were heavy rain in the central and western regions, and there were medium rain in other areas. On 8-9, there were small rain in the middle of the central part, and there were heavy rain in some places. There were showers or thunderstorms in other areas. From 11-13, most of the province had shower or thunderous, and there were heavy thunder showers in part of the southeast.

Affected by the deputy Gaobei on the 5-6, high temperature weather will occur in the province.

On the 6th, most of the central and western regions had about 4 southwest winds, and the instantaneous wind could reach level 6 or more. On the 7th, there were about 5 southwinds in the central region, and the instantaneous wind could reach level 7 or more.

Since the flood in the flood this year, the rainfall has been frequent. In June, there have been precipitation in the province every day. Mu Xiuxiang believes that the cause of frequent precipitation is that since June, the Northeast Cold Vortex System has frequently "patronized" Jilin Province. Northeast cold vortex system is a deep weather. The system, the system is "huge in physical fitness", and the slow maintenance time is relatively long. Generally, it is 3-5 days. It can be seen throughout the year, especially the most active in May-June, and often brings low temperature and rainy weather for several consecutive days. From June 1-25 this year, the northeast cold vortex system of Jilin Province dominated. There are 3 Northeast cold vortex impacts. The duration is also relatively long. Different from the large-scale thunderstorms in July to August, the Northeast cold vortex in June The rainfall is strong and the rain is strong. It usually appears in the form of decentralized showers or thunderstorms. It is often accompanied by strong convective weather such as lightning, heavy wind, short -term heavy precipitation, and hail. After the 27th, the subtropical high-voltage was obviously lift north (in the past year, the ridge line will jump north to 25-30 ° n in mid-to-late July, and the ridge line has reached 30 ° N on the 29th of this year). In the northwest, there are abundant water vapor conditions in the deputy Gao West side, affected by high-altitude grooves and low-altitude cuts. On the 27-30, the province's continuous precipitation process occurred in the province, and there were local heavy rains every day.

According to Wang Dongni, director of the Agricultural Guideline Room of the Provincial Institute of Meteorological Science, the overall temperature in June was slightly lower, the precipitation was significantly too much, and there were advantages and disadvantages of agricultural production. There are many crops in the province, sufficient moisture, and unlimited growth in the seedling stage. Low -temperature widow photos have slightly influenced crop growth and development. At the same time, the situation is frequent in precipitation and rainstorms, and low -lying farmland is prone to cause waterlogging hazards. In July, the temperature was slightly higher and the precipitation was slightly much. The province's grain crops entered the stage of reproductive growth from nutritional growth. High temperature can compensate the influence of low temperature photos in the early stage of compensation and accelerate the process of cropay. The temperature is high and the precipitation is high. Although it can meet the growth requirements of food crops, it is still necessary to pay attention to heavy rain, hail disasters, and high temperature period effects, and the risk of staged disasters is not ruled out.

Author: Jilin Daily All Media Reporter Zeng Qingwei

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