Adjust the Beijing nucleic acid chronograph rules on the other side: alert to the third type of error

Ma Piao/Wen Beijing's new coronal virus pneumonia epidemic has achieved "three none" -none -free local cases, suspected cases, and asymptomatic infections. At the same time as good news came out, health treasures also ushered in a revision. The Beijing Health Pokémon Status inspection has taken voice broadcasts, and the display interface has also been optimized. Among them, an important content of the revision is the adjustment of the time rules, that is, the nucleic acid test results before 6 am on the day. It was 0 days before.

This adjustment triggers a certain degree of confusion. The airport also specifically explained the related issues -the nucleic acid will check the sampling time for 4 days, and then the relevant departments have issued a description of the transition period to eliminate relevant secondary problems.

The aforementioned adjustment of the rules of health treasure chronograph is to solve the problem of chaotic time to detect nucleic acid testing. According to the relevant person in charge quoted by the Beijing Evening News, this is mainly to consider that the test results of this time period are sampled by the previous day to avoid samples on the same day. The effective time is "more" for a day. After this adjustment, the effective number of nucleic acid detection will not be consistent due to the rapid and slow results of the testing agency, and consistency is maintained.

Indeed, due to the problem of detection capabilities, there were many number of nucleic acid sampling delay in the past. A few weeks ago, a security guard in a community in the International Trade Area once told me such a "cheat" -the last later, and the number of valid days of nucleic acids can be one day.

There are indeed a considerable number of people, especially many people who sample the late sampling on the day. When the results come out, it may have been in the early morning of the next day. Under the original timing rules, the phenomenon of the 0th day is formed, which is objective. It took a day to go "nucleic acid life".

But what is the essence of this problem?

The realization of the "Three Nothing" in the Beijing epidemic shows that this difference does not cause serious consequences, and it is not a major issue that must be solved. We need to admit a reality: in the past for a long time, there are many people who have "nuclear acid life" for a day. A considerable number of people are still using such "loopholes", but the existence of these people does not affect the existence of people. To the realization of dynamic clearing the target.

The revelation that this phenomenon actually gives us may be: the scale of 72 hours of nucleic acid negatives that we require entering public places may be further enlarged. "Nucleic acid Life" may not affect the realization of dynamic zero targets.

If we will enter the relevant rules in public places, that is, nucleic acid negative certification time, extended from 72 hours to 96 hours, may not be hindered to epidemic prevention while significantly reduced the detection cost.

Back to the revision of Health Bao, such as typesetting, voice broadcasting, rules adjustment, etc., it will indeed make the relevant inspection operations more convenient and accurate, and the data results are more accurate. Very limited.

There are often three reasons why many problems exist for a long time: one is the problem of solutions, the solution is wrong, and the problem cannot be solved; the second is to execute the problem, the plan is right, but the implementation of the way; the third category; the third category; the third category; The problem is often easy to be ignored, and it is more hidden, which is "solving the problem that does not exist."

Public policy theory is actually highly vigilant about this: when a problem should be correctly explained, it makes an error interpretation of the essence of the problem or specification. It did not really solve the problem, but brought people astray.

The wrong plan and error execution have caused the problem to be solved and easily discovered, but the third type of problem is more hidden, and it is often easy to be ignored. The mistakes we often make are to "solve the problem that there is no existence."

In reality, we should attach great importance to the third type of errors. Regarding the problem of inaccurate data results of health treasure nucleic acid, we need to question the essence of this problem: the essence of the problem is that the data is inaccurate, or it actually reflects other aspects. Obviously, different answers will give different solutions.

To reduce or avoid the emergence of third types of errors, we should always think about: what is the essence of related issues, whether it is a real problem, and whether related measures are truly conducive to the continuous expansion of the welfare of the general public.

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