Xinhua Full Media+丨 Manufacturing PMI back to the expansion range to release an active signal of economic operation

Author:Xinhuanet Time:2022.06.30

Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, June 30th.

Xinhua News Agency reporters Wei Yukun and Dong Xue

After shrinkage for 3 consecutive months, the China Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI), which was released on June 30, rose to 50.2%, and returned to the expansion range. This leading indicator is better, indicating that the series of policy effects of efficient overall overall epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development continue to appear, and economic operations have shown positive changes.

"As the domestic epidemic prevention and control situation continues to improve, and the economic package policy and measures to accelerate the effectiveness of landing and take effect, my country's overall economic recovery has accelerated." In the industry, 13 industries PMI is located in the expansion range. The manufacturing prosperity continues to expand, and positive factors continue to accumulate.

The demand for production is accelerated. With the continuous advancement of resumption of work and re -production, the production demand for the early stage of the enterprise was accelerated. In June, the production index and the new order index were 52.8%and 50.4%, respectively. Essence

Important raw materials and primary products have continued to contribute to the stability and price policy. The rise in commodity prices that rose rapidly in the early stage slowed down, and the cost pressure of manufacturing enterprises relieved. In June, the purchase price index of the main raw materials was 52%, a decrease of 3.8 percentage points from the previous month, the lowest level since this year.

Freight logistics further allowed the cost of streaming to decline. Investigation showed that in June, the proportion of enterprises with high logistics costs was 46.8%, a decrease of 4.4 percentage points from the previous month, and decreased for 2 consecutive months.

"The market supply and demand ends continue to recover, and the stable economic policy has continued to land, and companies are expected to rise in the market outlook." Wen Tao, an expert in China Logistics Information Center, said that in June, the expected index of production and operation activities was 55.2%, which was higher than 1.3 last month. A percentage point, rising to nearly 3 months high.

It is worth noting that with the rapid recovery of the domestic industrial chain supply chain, the new kinetic energy is quickly recovered in the short term, showing strong vitality and toughness. In June, the PMI and high -tech manufacturing PMIs of the equipment manufacturing industry were 52.2%and 52.8%, respectively, an increase of 3.3 and 2.3 percentage points from the previous month, and the production indexes and new order indexes of the two industries increased sharply, significantly higher than that The overall supply and demand index of manufacturing rises.

"Our order amount is 680 million yuan, and we are negotiating new orders with many important customers in China." The relevant person in charge of Shanghai Kai Shitong Semiconductor Co., Ltd. said that the company is currently full of labor and full production. The device to be delivered.

The non -manufacturing industry has accelerated recovery and shows a normal return. In June, the non -manufacturing business activity index was 54.7%, which was higher than 6.9 percentage points last month and returned to the expansion range. Among them, the industry's business activities indexes that were severely impacted by the epidemic in the early stage have picked up, such as road transportation, accommodation, catering, cultural and sports entertainment and other industries rose above the critical point, and the total business volume rose from decline.

According to expert analysis, judging from the changes in the PMI split index in June, the market expects to improve, the cost pressure of corporate costs further alleviates, and the economic operation continues the recovery trend.

"In June, the PMI index continued to rise and returned to the Rongku line, indicating that the economic recovery trend was more obvious. As the impact of the epidemic decreased, the abundant growth momentum of China's economy was quickly revealed." Researcher Zhang Liqun said.

Wen Tao said that overall, in June, my country's economy bottomed out and rebounded, and the recovery trend was basically established, but the imbalance in the process of economic recovery still needs to be paid attention to.

Supply and demand is unbalanced. Enterprise surveys show that the proportion of manufacturing companies that reflect the insufficient market demand in June were 49.3%, which was at a high level; the proportion of non -manufacturing enterprises that reflected the lack of market demand rose to 51.6%, which rose for 5 consecutive months. This shows that from the perspective of corporate feelings, compared with the rate of recovery of capacity, market demand is relatively lagging behind.

Industry recovery is also unbalanced. In June, 9 of the 21 sub -sectoral PMIs in the manufacturing industry decreased from the previous month, and the PMI of the 8 sub -section industry was less than 50%.

Zhao Qinghe said that in June, the factory price index fell to 46.3%, and it was located in the contraction range for 2 consecutive months. Some enterprises were squeezed to a certain extent and operating pressure.

"In summary, the current economic recovery foundation still needs to be further consolidated. It is necessary to further expand effective demand, implement important raw materials and basic products to maintain stable prices, and consolidate the power of economic recovery." Wen Tao said.

[Editor in charge: Zhou Chuqing]

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