What does oil price exceed 10 yuan?
Author:China Economic Network Time:2022.06.23
High oil prices will be replaced by accelerated renewable energy, and the role of coal will be recognized again. While promoting the reduction of coal consumption, the flexibility transformation of coal motor units should be accelerated.
At 24:00 on June 14, domestic refined oils ushered in the 11th round of this year. After the adjustment, the domestic No. 92 gasoline entered the "9 yuan era", and the No. 95 gasoline in some areas officially entered the "10 yuan era", which refreshed the historical record of domestic refined oil prices. Judging from the current intense international crude oil supply and demand situation and historical experience, oil prices will still maintain high operation in a short period of time.
Petroleum is the mother of modern industry and the number one energy sources in the world today. In addition to refining refined oil as a wide range of fuel, oil is also the basis of the chemical industry, providing raw materials for plastic, fertilizer, cosmetics, medicines and textiles. It can be said that oil has penetrated all aspects of economic life, and its price fluctuations will inevitably have an impact on life. How will high oil prices change our lives and reshape related industries?
High oil prices have further accelerated the electrification of the car, thereby promoting low -carbon life. The most closely related to oil prices and the common people are passenger cars. Since this year, every time the oil price is raised, it often takes more than ten yuan to fill a box of oil. Faced with rising prices of gasoline diesel, netizens have said, "I dare not step on the throttle." High oil prices will directly inhibit the demand for gasoline vehicles. During the three oil crises in history, global automobile sales have fallen sharply, and the sales of high fuel -saving cars will be pushed.
With the rapid progress and production capacity of electric vehicle technology, people have new choices. The high price of oil further increases the gap between the cost of use of fuel vehicles and electric vehicles, allowing more consumers who were originally in a swinging state to stand for electric vehicles. The continuous and rapid growth of new energy vehicles is the biggest highlight of my country's auto market. According to the statistics of the China Automobile Industry Association, in the first five months of this year, the production and sales of pure electric vehicles have doubled year -on -year, and they continue to maintain a high -speed growth momentum. The market share of new energy passenger cars is 26.3%, a record high. If the price of oil is high, electric vehicles will continue to eat the market share of fuel vehicles.
High oil prices will be replaced by accelerated renewable energy. History has repeatedly proved that every time oil prices have risen, which will accelerate the development of alternative energy and reduce the excessive dependence of socio -economy on oil. Under high oil prices, in order to reduce excessive dependence on single energy varieties, the world's major oil consumer countries have implemented new energy policies, strive to develop different energy varieties, and enrich domestic energy consumption structures. According to the BP Energy Statistics Yearbook, in 1973, the first oil crisis occurred, and oil accounted for about 50%of the world's once energy consumption structure. After several increased oil prices, this ratio gradually reduced to nearly 30%in 2020. This round of oil prices rose again to force major countries to accelerate the pace of energy transformation. Recently, the European Commission announced a new action plan that increased the EU's 2030 renewable energy development target from 40%to 45%of the energy supply, and accelerated the approval process of renewable energy projects.
"Lack of oil and less gas" is the basic national conditions of my country. my country ’s oil depends on the exterior is as high as 70%, and the space increase in future production is limited. To resolve the key constraints of this energy security, we must attach great importance to the development of renewable energy. The "14th Five -Year Plan" period is the critical period and tackling period of energy transformation of energy in energy. It is necessary to formulate a more active new energy development goal, and vigorously promote the large -scale, high proportion, high -quality, and market -oriented development of renewable energy in the new era, and focus on improving improvement. New energy consumption and storage capabilities, actively build new power systems with new energy as the main body, improve and improve the system and mechanism and policy system that is conducive to the development of renewable energy for the whole society. Provide strong protection. Based on the clean energy system, it guides the industry to develop in low energy consumption and high -tech directions, and gradually reduce the proportion of oil in the industrial economy.
High oil prices will be re -recognized by the role of coal. There is a general point of view that coal combustion is one of the most important sources of atmospheric pollution. The carbon dioxide emissions generated by coal use 30%higher than oil and 70%higher than natural gas. It is called "demon's feces" by Europeans. But it is interesting that when humans transformed from the firewood era to the coal era, coal was once considered a clean energy, because less pollution brought by coal than the burning of wood. Under the current technical conditions, coal has proven to be an energy product that can be cleaned and utilized. Under high oil prices, many European countries restarted coal power generation to cope with energy shortage. The European Commission stated that "some existing coal production capacity may be longer than the initial expectations."
Coal is the main energy source of my country. The speed of coal reduction is too fast and excessive. It will weaken the "support" effect of coal on ensuring the safe operation of the energy system. While reasonable and orderly promoting the reduction of coal consumption, the energy conservation, efficiency and upgrading of coal electrical units should be promoted, and the heating transformation of coal electrical units should be carried out, and the flexibility transformation of the coal electrical crew is accelerated. At the same time, the development of modern coal chemicals represented by coal -making oil and coal -to -olefins is appropriately promoted, and coal chemical products are gradually promoted to high -end and high -value. In a sense, this is also a hedge of high oil prices.
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