"Qi" in the Middle East is hard to save Europe's "urgent"

German Chancellor Tsutz has recently visited Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Qatar. The main purpose is to seek energy cooperation and alleviate the energy crisis facing Germany. At the same time, the French oil giant Dadar Energy Corporation has recently reached a liquefied natural gas production agreement with Qatar.

European countries such as Germany and France have deteriorated with Russia due to the deterioration of Ukraine issues, and conduct a comprehensive sanctions on Russia and try to reduce the reliance on Russia. Therefore, they turn their attention to the Middle East countries with rich oil and gas resources. Analysts pointed out that due to multiple factors, the Middle East's energy supply to Europe is difficult to increase significantly in the short term, and it is impossible to fundamentally alleviate the energy crisis currently facing Europe. On the other hand, the changes in the international situation have made the importance of the Middle East energy producers highlight. With the increase in the status of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries in the geopolitical pattern, its foreign policy autonomy is also increasing.

Shuoerz's interview is difficult to solve "qi shortage"

Tsumarz talks with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed on the 24th, and the two sides focus on discussing the issue of energy cooperation. To visit the UAE in the second stop here, the two parties announced the signing of strategic cooperation agreements on ensuring energy security and accelerating industrial growth, and discussed issues such as renewable energy cooperation. During the meeting between the leaders of Qatar and Qatar, the two sides focused on strengthening cooperation in the fields of economic and energy.

According to Germany, as one of the results of this visit, the UAE will supply the German's first batch of LNG of 137,000 cubic meters this year, but this number is not as good as connecting the "Beixi-1" natural gas pipeline of Russia and Germany at the beginning of this year this year. Time delivery volume. Bloomberg reported that Tzuz has only obtained "a batch of liquefied natural gas and an unreasonable energy agreement" from the UAE, which is far from alleviating the "gas shortage" of Germany.

France also actively sought energy cooperation in the Middle East. Da Dal Energy Corporation and Qatar Energy signed an investment agreement at Doha on the 24th to become the first foreign partner of the Qatar Northern Gas Field South Expansion Project. Earlier, Daodal Energy Corporation signed an agreement in June this year to invest 2 billion US dollars to participate in the East Expansion project of the northern Gas Field of Qatar. French President Macron visited Algeria in August this year and announced that he had to rebuild his partnership. The purpose was to strengthen energy cooperation.

Energy cooperation disorder

Analysts believe that due to the constraints of multiple factors, the energy cooperation between the Middle East and Europe has limited room for short -term improvement, and cannot fundamentally alleviate the energy crisis facing Europe.

Qatar economist Nabile Hassan said that Germany and other countries have recently accelerated the pace of energy cooperation with the Middle East countries to seek expanding energy imports, especially from Qatar imports of natural gas, but it is difficult to achieve this goal.

First of all, Qatar is more willing to export natural gas to Asian countries and have doubts about exporting to European countries. Because the natural gas imported from Asian countries is completely commercial, without political purposes, and European countries often have political behavior, which is linked to issues such as "democracy".

Secondly, although Qatar hopes to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with Germany, it is doubtful to the policy of the Gulze government. Because, after the stage came to power, the former Prime Minister Merkel's relatively independent foreign policy was changed, and he followed the United States blindly, especially the "Beixi-2" natural gas pipeline project that had been completed without consequences, which caused Katar's vigilance.

In addition, Qatar's current production capacity of natural gas fields has almost reached its peak, and its production capacity has limited production capacity, and most of the natural gas export quotas have corresponding long -term supply contracts. Even if the new gas field is developed, it is difficult to put into production in the short term. Therefore, the card party is currently unable to export natural gas to European countries.

Gulf countries enhance diplomatic autonomy

Analysts pointed out that the European energy crisis highlights the importance of the Middle East energy production countries, especially the Gulf countries, in the global energy pattern. Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries are expanding their political influence and enhancing the autonomy of foreign policies with their abundant resources and financial resources.

Based on energy diplomacy and regional diplomacy, Saudi Arabia improves relations with Iran and Israel, around the United States and Russia, and continuously improve its influence. Shortly after the US President Biden visited Saudi Arabia this year, Saudi Crown Prince Muhammad talked to Russian President Putin, and Saudi Arabia recently planned to restore diplomatic relations with Iran. Recently, under Saudi Arabia, Russia released a group of foreign mercenaries employed in Ukraine, including citizens of Britain and the United States.

The UAE's autonomy in improving foreign policies such as Iran is also increasing. In August this year, the UAE announced the re -resident ambassador to Iran. In September, the UAE's ambassador to Iran, Saisha Mohammed Zati, returned to Tehran more than 6 years to resume his duties. The UAE's Dubai has gradually become more and more regional headquarters and even the global center of multinational companies, and its influence is increasing.

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