Report: China's energy transformation requires low -carbon, toughness, and inclusive development

The 21st Century Business Herald reporter Li Dchangyu intern Cui Jingmeng Lu Xinyi Beijing reported that energy transformation was an important measure to slow climate change.

"Energy consumption carbon dioxide emissions are the most important sources of greenhouse gases. Therefore, the development and establishment of clean, low -carbon, safe and efficient energy systems have become an important countermeasure for our current sustainable development of global sustainable development. It is also the current trend and trend. "He Jiankun, chairman of the China National Climate Change Expert Committee and chairman of the Academic Committee of China Energy Model (CEMF), said at the recently organized zero -carbon think tank forum.

At the same time, the China Energy Model Forum (CEMF) also released in -depth report "Low -carbon, Toughness, and tolerance of Energy Transformation" (hereinafter referred to as "report").

The transformation of the energy industry is the key

At the press conference, Wu Mouyuan, deputy dean of the Economic and Technological Research Institute of PetroChina Group, and strategic research expert Wu Mouyuan summarized the road to my country's low -carbon transformation: "carbon reduction, carbon, carbon, buried carbon". He said that during the entire energy transformation process, there are many options for traditional energy companies to participate.

According to the report released this time, under the "double carbon" goal, China's energy low -carbon transformation needs to form a clean, low -carbon, safe and sustainable energy system with new energy as the main body. Among them, all departments need to focus on improving the proportion of non -fossil energy demand, the proportion of non -fossil energy power generation, the significant improvement of the level of electrification of the terminal department, and the improvement of energy efficiency in industrial and transportation departments.

The report pointed out that the real time and heavy task of achieving the "double carbon" target. The transformation of the energy industry is the key to China's low -carbon development. In the new situation, the changes in international geopolitics and energy supply and demand patterns, as well as frequent occurrence of extreme weather, have brought many new challenges to energy transformation. There is a complex relationship between the energy system and the economy, society, and environmental systems. Therefore, energy transformation is not only a change in energy systems, but also a systematic change of economic and social.

The CEMF team's research on carbon neutrality and implementation path shows that the policy portfolio of high -intensity electrical replacement, renewable energy development and energy efficiency improvement can be used to drive the transformation of energy low -carbon, which can help my country achieve the goal of macroeconomic development. On the whole, the economic cost of carbon neutrality is small, and the trend of fluctuations in the later period. Therefore, high -efficiency, high -speed, high -quality reaches and depth reduction as soon as possible will reduce the cost and difficulty of achieving carbon neutrality in the middle and long term.

Energy low -carbon transformation is a long -term process.

He Jiankun pointed out how to achieve the safe supply and operation of the energy system? Some technical problems have not been solved well in this regard. For example, we need to have a strong energy storage method, and we need to carry out energy and power peaks of different times or seasonal daily at different times or seasonal.

Sequoia China Investment Partners, Li Junfeng, executive director of the China Energy Research Association, said, "The low -carbon target of energy transformation is established, and its security toughness is also established. For example, this year, the problem in Sichuan is not a problem of energy transformation. It is brought about by the vulnerability of the energy system itself. This summer, the problem of tight hydropower supply in Sichuan also sounded an alarm for energy transformation, that is, our energy transformation toughness includes several aspects and dimensions. The changes in nature must also consider changes in the economy and various situation changes.

A strong and tough energy system should have the ability to respond to the risk in advance and respond, the ability to respond quickly and flexibly when being disturbed, and the ability to quickly recover and adapt to the future risk pattern after the interference is over. To achieve the tough development of energy transformation requires a systematic construction framework for systematic energy transformation, and provides important support for the toughness of the energy system's preparation, perception, response, recovery, and adaptation during the comprehensive improvement of the energy system.

Formulate differential plans to ensure inclusive development

CEMF studies have shown that extreme weather increases the demand for flexible power systems for power systems. Realize the diversified power supply structure of traditional thermal power generation, renewable energy power generation, and other energy power generation. A centralized, distributed, and mobile multi -type power supply mode, and the application of energy storage technology can strengthen the toughness of the power system. Before the energy storage technology fails to apply large -scale application, the role of thermal power guarantee is indispensable. In addition, strengthening the toughness of the power system also needs to build a large -scale transmission system to support cross -regional power transmission.

It is worth noting that energy transformation is related to the national and civilian livelihood, and related subjects are very complicated, including all companies and practitioners on the government, the energy industry's industrial chain, and the majority of people relying on the production and life of the energy industry. The interests of these subjects in economic benefits, social development, and ecological environmental protection may have completely different demands. Therefore, they will make different choices in the process of energy transformation based on their own interests, affected and locations, which will affect the process and results of energy transformation.

Only by achieving the tolerance development of energy transformation can we balance the interests of different subjects, eliminate the adverse effects that may have caused by uneven distribution on energy transformation, and reduce the possible resistance of energy transformation. Li Junfeng said that tolerance is very important. If there is no tolerance, there is no cooperation. Cooperation tolerance is the key to the successful global energy transformation and the key to the success of China's energy transformation.

The report believes that the tolerant development of energy transformation needs to be based on the principle of people -oriented, build a regional differentiated energy transformation plan, and formulate a regional economic diversified development plan; Upgrade and other arrangements; fully estimate the impact of energy transformation on different people, provide more policies and funds for disadvantaged groups; establish a coordination mechanism of interests to ensure fair distribution of transformation costs and income; establish a transparent and inclusive decision -making execution mechanism , Including the government, enterprises, research institutions, public and other widespread participation in the process of formulation and implementation of the plan; establish long -term people, society and regional development tracking mechanisms, make good information and data records, and provide support for scientific decision -making. At present, many local governments have realized the importance of toughness and tolerance in energy transformation, and actively promoted related work. In November 2021, Beijing issued the "Guiding Opinions on Accelerating the Construction of Tough Cities". In recent years, Shanxi Province has initially implemented the concept of inclusive development on the issue of laid -off workers in the coal and steel industry. Data show that in 2016, Shanxi Coal and Steel ’s production capacity involved a total of 25 coal mines and 1 steel enterprise. A total of 31,662 employees need to be resettled. As of December 31, 2016, 31,586 people have been properly resettled, with a resettlement rate of 99.76% Essence The development of toughness and tolerance has begun to take shape.

In order to accelerate the development of low -carbon, toughness and inclusive coordination of energy transformation, the report suggests that the relevant decision -making departments and decision -making support agencies need to carry out related work as soon as possible, such as establishing a detailed roadmap for the coordinated development of the three to give full excavation and exert the synergy effect. The system builds a framework for energy transformation and development, strengthens research on energy risk patterns, establishes an evaluation indicator system for energy transformation tolerance development, and is included in the assessment indicators, formulated differentiated energy transformation strategies for different regions, improved the social protection mechanism, promoted various interests Participate in the relevant parties.

Ensuring toughness and inclusive development is of great significance to energy transformation. In He Jiankun's opinion, through strengthening technological innovation and promoting energy transformation, it is the only way to achieve economic, social, energy, environmental coordination and sustainable development, and to promote the construction of global ecological civilization.

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