The latest judgment of Wu Zunyou: The mighty epidemic in mainland China may be very small

On September 16, Wu Zunyou's Weibo released a long article responding that "whether it will appear in mainland China that is similar to the development trend of monkey acne epidemic in Europe and the United States". The full text is as follows:

After Chongqing reported on the first input monkey acne in Mainland China on September 16, everyone was very concerned about the trend and prevention method of the monkey acne epidemic. The issues that everyone cares about now is as follows.

Wu Zunyou Data Map Source: People's Vision

1. Recent trend of monkey acne epidemic

In Europe and the United States, the number of countries with the largest number of monkey acne, such as the United States, Britain, France, Spain, Brazil, etc., after reporting the "first case" of the country in May this year, the number of subsequent cases has continued to increase. Then rising rapidly. Will there be the development trend similar to the original monkey acne epidemic in Europe and the United States?

This epidemic phenomenon may be very small in mainland China!

First of all, the "first case" case of monkey acne reported by European and American countries has not recently visited the history of travel in the traditional epidemic area of ​​monkey acne. In other words, the "first case" of these countries' reports should be infected locally. They are not local "first cases" monkey acne cases, and the epidemic has been hidden in the local area for a period of time. The "first case" case reported by Mainland China was found in the country and found that there was a clear history of traveling from the country or region of the monkey acne epidemic in the new crown prevention and control observation observation.

Secondly, there is no local infection of monkey acne in mainland China. The epidemic is mainly entered by overseas. The "external prevention input" measures for the prevention and control of the new crown have played an important role in preventing monkey acne input.

Third, the World Health Organization divides the risk of global monkey acne outbreaks into three risks: high, medium and low. The global general level is medium -risk. Among them, the two regions of Europe and America are high risks. The three regions in Southeast Asia are medium risks, and the Western Pacific region where mainland China is located is low risk. With the decline of monkey acne outbreaks in the two high -risk areas of the Americas and Europe, it has reduced pressure on the input of foreign countries in mainland China.

Although there is no epidemic in mainland China recently, the possibility of sporadic cases is relatively large.

2. What are the experiences of monkey acne epidemic in Europe and the United States, you can learn from

The monkey acne epidemic with European and American countries as the main victimized country has declined significantly after more than two months of rapid growth. This decline is not the natural phenomenon of the popularity of monkey acne, but a key role in human intervention.

The two aspects of intervention played an important role. The first is that the World Health Organization has determined that monkey acne has ranged the alarm for global public health emergencies, giving the country with rising countries in the world, especially the rising monkey acne epidemic. Reports and propaganda have given everyone a clearer understanding of the epidemic of the monkey acne. These early diagnosis, early discovery and timely treatment of patients have played a positive role in promoting. At the same time, the main victims threatened by the epidemic of monkey acne, especially the male behavior of men, also consciously adopted action to reduce the occurrence of dangerous behavior of monkey acne spread. These have played a positive role in reducing the spread of monkey acne.

The second is to prevent the precise use of vaccines. At present, there is no targeted vaccine developed by monkey acne virus, but the vaccine prevention of smallpox can effectively prevent monkey acne infection. In 2013, the American Food and Drug Administration approved the ceiling vaccine to prevent monkey acne in terms of indications. The European and American monkey acne epidemic has adopted the prevention method of vaccination with the case of monkey acne and the vaccination of close contact with those in close contact, which effectively controlled the spread of the epidemic.

3. Monkey acne presence

(1) Passing of the carrier: There is no monkey acne virus in mainland China, and the infected people or animals are introduced from abroad, so that the spread of local monkey acne can be popular. Judging from the spread of monkey acne from several major European and American countries to other countries in the world, people have the greatest risk of transmitting transnational/transnational/cross -regional transmission as virus vectors. The first case of a monkey acne report also illustrates this. The sporadic cases that may occur in mainland China will also be introduced by people as a carrier.

(2) Source of infection: Foreigners or returned people who come to China from overseas acne popular areas are potential sources of infection, especially the main victims from the popular region of monkey acne or those who have close contact with the major victims.

Foreigners who have long worked in China for a long time, foreigners who have come to China more than 21 days of the most lurking period of the monkey acne and return to the country without the risk of spreading monkey acne.

Infection of monkey acne and clinical symptoms, especially on the surface of the skin, such as the face and hands, and the symptoms of acne, such as the face and hand, the role of acne in the symptoms of rash. It was found that it was found at the time of entry, or was discovered during the new crown prevention and control isolation, and it was difficult to cause social communication after entering the country.

The source of infection that is most likely to bring monkey acne virus into the domestic infection is those who are infected by monkey acne virus infection (especially more than 7 days), or asymptomatic monkey acne virus infections.

(3) Two scenes of local dissemination: the most likely scene of local monkey acne virus transmission occurred, which will be similar to the main communication methods of European and American countries. It is a case of mild cases or asymptomatic infections. People with similar sexual orientation and lifestyle are similar to the internal or lifestyle. It is a case of mild cases or asymptomatic infections, causing infections of family members in daily contact with family life. (4) Pollution propagation on the surface of the object: Only after the monkey acne epidemic reaches a certain scale, it can cause people to spread through the door handle and seat instruments through contact with pollution. At present, there is no community in mainland China, and the surface of the object is not contaminated by monkey acne virus. But developing personal hygiene habits is still important. Doing your hand hygiene can prevent digestive tract infectious diseases such as respiratory tract infectious diseases and dysentery such as new crown, and can also prevent monkey acne transmission. Pay attention to the use of public seats to prevent skin infectious diseases and prevent monkey acne. Therefore, cultivating and maintaining good hygiene habits will play a positive role in preventing monkey acne.

Source: Wu Zunyou Weibo

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