After the college entrance examination, why did Chinese couples like to divorce at these two times?

In July and August of the college entrance examination each year, a hot word appears- "Examination and the tide", which is said that many parents will try their best to maintain a broken marriage for their children. divorce.

There is also a peak of divorce- "Spring Festival Divorce". When I go home for the Spring Festival, some people are reunited, and some people are for divorce.

In the third year of the new crown epidemic in 2022, people re -examined life, re -thinking about the future, and the attitude towards intimate relationships have also changed significantly.

We are curious, what changes have happened to the current attitude of divorce? What factors can affect people's divorce behavior? When is it easier for people to mention divorce?

Here is the third issue of the daily character data news. This time, we will explore some new trends behind "divorce".

Text |

Edit | Zhou Wei

Design | Tian Wei

Operation | chestnut

Does the tide of divorce and the Spring Festival divorce really exist?

Statistics divorce rate, the most authoritative data source is the civil affairs department. We can see from the data bulletin of the Ministry of Civil Affairs that the national marriage rate in 2021 was 5.4 ‰, a decrease of 0.4 thousand points from the previous year; the divorce rate was 2.0 ‰, a decrease of 1.1 thousand points from the previous year.

Among them, the civil affairs department registered a divorce of 2.141 million pairs.

In the year, there are also peaks of divorce rates. Data from the Ministry of Civil Affairs show that in recent years, the fourth quarter of the year has been the highest divorce rate in the year.

Specifically, the staff of the counseling room of the Dongguan Marriage Registration Management Center stated that each year of July and the New Year is the peak period of divorce. After the college entrance examination in July, many parents came to divorce. The main reason was that the child was admitted to college, which was the "time" of divorce; divorce before and after the Spring Festival, more about "how many red envelopes to give for the New Year" and other issues such as the New Year. The fuse of divorce.

The staff of the Marriage and Family Counseling Office of the Beijing Civil Affairs Bureau said that some people have considered bad things that they do not bring to the New Year, and there are more people who come to divorce before the Spring Festival after New Year's Day. The "big leave" of May and Eleven ended, and many contradictions broke out.

In addition, some indirect data may also observe the time period of the emergence of divorce.

We lock the time in 2022 -the epidemic enters the normalization, and the college entrance examination, the Spring Festival, and various holidays are not falling -it can be seen that starting from January, there are two searches on the "divorce" search index: One is early February, and the other is mid -August. The first duration lasts for a long time, from late January to mid -February; the second one is shorter, and suddenly the head of the head in August.

This search index basically represents the attention and changes of users' attention to the topic of divorce. It can be seen that the so -called "test departure" and the trend of divorce of the Spring Festival are not groundless.

What do people who want to divorce this summer most?

In August, the "divorce" search index just appeared in August.

Most couples with divorce thoughts were the first time they got married, and they were really sparse about "how to divorce". Therefore, it is the first choice for search engines.

We organized a "divorce" search map and positioned time until August. It can be found that whether it is curious or really intended to divorce, the issues that users are most concerned about are honestly written in the search box.

In the issue with the highest degree of correlation with "divorce", practical practice is first. For example, what is the process of divorce? How to write a divorce agreement? Do I need to bring a account book? What is different from marriage? Do you want to give money? It seems that a divorce is not so simple.

Many people are also concerned about "how to go to the divorce prosecution process" and other related issues, and there are also "how the divorce party disagrees to divorce". These problems reflect the dilemma of a certain party after the marriage problem. Many people's divorce is not smooth.

At the same time, divorce needs to take into account the actual problems of divorce costs, property division, and even children's support. Especially under the epidemic, it is also necessary to consider the anti -risk ability of independent life, which also makes the divorce less simple.

The complexity of divorce has made many couples who were originally impulsive divorced, delayed divorce because of trouble and other reasons, and even chose to "persist" and continue to seek compromise in the original marriage.

Therefore, even if the husband and wife have the mind of divorce, they may not immediately implement the action, and many people will be more cautious before choosing to divorce. This is not difficult to see from the frequent appearance of the "divorce calm period". It is not difficult to see.

Where is the highest divorce rate?

Speaking of areas with high divorce rates, Sichuan -Chongqing and Northeast are hidden "kings". The peak of divorce rates since New China has been indispensable for these two areas.

A study in Northeast China found that high immigration rates, high social tolerance, high -urbanization rate, and low fertility rate have made the divorce rate in Northeast China have always been higher, and the marriage rate remained at a low level.

Sichuan -Chongqing is consistent with the consistent impression of the public. There are many "rake ears", women's status is high, social atmosphere is open, and divorced women have less discrimination. Women who are spicy in Sichuan and Chongqing dare to "leave".

The provinces with a lot of people who go out to work will also increase regional divorce rates due to problems such as gathered and more departure, children's support, and support for the elderly. The growth of personal wealth, the improvement of women's status and economic strength, and the update of marriage concepts are important reasons for the increase in divorce rates. The divorce rate of Tianjin, Beijing, and Chongqing is high. A phenomenon worthy of attention is that according to the data of the Supreme People's Court's divorce dispute on judicial big data, the national divorce dispute was concluded in the first instance of the national divorce dispute, more than 70 % of the plaintiff's gender of the case was female.

From the perspective of provinces and cities, the provinces with more than 100,000 pairs of divorce registered in 2021 are Henan, Sichuan, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Anhui and Hebei. It can be seen that the number of divorce registrations is strongly related to the total population of various places. Henan has the largest number of household registration population, so the number of divorce registrations is the first in the country.

More and more marriages can not be "seven years of itch"

Young people dare not get married; middle -aged people dare to divorce.

In 2015, the Nanjing University Social College and the School of Social Sciences of Peking University jointly completed a study: Investigators have calculated the divorce risk index of Chinese couples since 1980, and found that with the development of socio -economic development and conceptual concepts Continuously updated, the divorce risk index of Chinese couples is rising, and time is constantly advanced.

The "seven-year itch" that everyone often said is mainly in this period of 2000-2010. Since 2010, the time of divorce between Chinese couples has actually become "five years of itch" and "three years of itch".

Judicial big data shows that in the first trial of the national divorce dispute, the high incidence of marriage is 2 to 7 years after marriage.

▲ The horizontal coordinates are the duration/year of marriage, and the vertical coordinates are the number of cases/pieces of the first instance of the national divorce dispute. The statistical time is from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2017. Figure / Judicial Big Data Research Institute

Many husbands and wives are generally disagreeable when they divorce, including inconsistent personality and three views. Judicial big data shows that 77.51%of couples applied to the court for discharge of marriage due to emotional discord. What is worth paying more attention is the second place: 14.86%of the reason for divorce is "applying to the court to the court to terminate the marriage relationship due to domestic violence."

Whether in China or Western countries, "no mistakes divorce" and simplified marriage procedures are allowed to divorce more simply. More importantly, the rapid development of the mass media has also made people see more possibilities of life. Open Douyin's fast hand, and the wife trapped by the marriage sees the "Nala" in the distance. The frustrated husband sees the possibility of cheering and gives up a frustrated marriage.

More and more young people don't want to get married

After people's attitude towards divorce is increasingly ordinary, another worrying issue has emerged: more and more young people are unwilling to get married.

In 2020, a total of 4791 marriage registration agencies and venues across the country, including 1085 marriage registration agencies, 8.143 million pairs of marriage registration in accordance with the law throughout the year, a decrease of 12.2 % over the previous year.

The World Marriage data predicted by the United Nations Population Division predicts that by 2030, the proportion of people in the marriage state in 20-29 in my country will be 69.2%, which will decrease by 8 percentage points from 2013. Further analysis found that women's willingness to get married is significantly lower than men, and women say that the number of people who "not get married" and "uncertain whether they will get married" account for 43.92%, which is 19.29%more than men.

In addition, the proportion of young people in economically developed regions accounted for 14.4%, which is 7.7 percentage points higher than small cities. The provinces with the lowest marriage rate in my country are Shanghai and Zhejiang Province with more developed economies. With the improvement of economic development, young people who are willing to marry and love may continue to increase.

The survey of Guangming Daily shows that some young people are unwilling to get married:

Based on individualist values, some young people attach too much attention to the pursuit of personal value;

Based on Internet fragmentation cognition, some young people have disaster -ized thinking on marriage and love;

It is derived from the squeezing of modern living space and space, and some young people have a sense of weakness to find a friendly partner;

Based on the mate selection view of "rather than abuse", some young people have high expectations for marriage matching;

本 The cost of marriage and childbirth, some young people adopt a rational avoidance of marriage risks;

Based on "mother -in -law punishment", some women have resistance and hesitant to marriage.

▲ Figure / Vision China

However, it is necessary to clarify that my country's divorce rate is still a low level worldwide, which has a certain relationship with the imbalance of economic development and the low divorce rate in some areas.

Vowbate, according to the divorce rate data of the United Nations Statistics of Population Statistics, China's divorce rate has increased from 0.9 ‰ in 2002 to 2 ‰ in 2010. The internal divorce rate has increased significantly with the economic development significantly rising. In recent years, it has even reached 3 ‰. But compared with Japan and South Korea, which are also in the East Asian cultural circle, China is still a "universal" country.

According to data released by the United Nations in 2015, 47.10%among Japan's 30-34-year-old men are in an unmarried state, which is 3.3 times that of Chinese men; 34.60%of women among women, 5 times that of Chinese women.

But the hidden worry is still there. With the development of the economy and the intensification of internal volumes, the marriage of young men and women in China may have a tendency to continue to decline. (Intern Wang Xinming also contributed to this article; Note: The divorce rate mentioned in this article refers to the general divorce rate)

Reference materials:

1. The Ministry of Civil Affairs: The Statistics of Civil Affairs in 2020 and 2021

2. Baidu big data: "Divorce" search index

3. Gu Yu data: 2020 latest divorce map: Where is the highest divorce rate?

4. Xu Qi, Qiu Zeqi, Li Jianxin: Is there really "seven years of itch"? Research on the divorce mode of Chinese couples and their changes

5. Gao Chengzheng: Research on Factors Influencing Factors in Northeast China

6. Guangming Daily: Youth Marriage and Love Investigation: What are young people worrying about in the face of marriage?

7. National Bureau of Statistics: 2020 China Statistics Yearbook

8. China Judicial Big Data: More than 7 divorce proceedings are proposed by the woman

9. Population and Society: Research on the Influence of Popular Media on Marriage Stability

10. Liu Yiping: Sociology analysis of high divorce rate in the context of contemporary Chinese society

11. Beijing Daily: "Seven -year itch" has changed? For raising disputes, 60 % of their parents are less than three years old

12. Exploration and Contention: Are Chinese people really not getting married? From the perspective of the queue, the Chinese are married and not married

13. Xu Yan: Research on Factors Influential Factors under the rapid development of my country's economy

14. Liu Beibei and Yuan Yongsheng: Analysis and prediction of influencing factors of China's divorce rate -research based on VAR model and cluster analysis

15. Liu Wenrong: Analysis of the trend of change of divorce and social reasons

16. United Nations: Population Statistics Yearbook

The article is original for daily characters, and infringement must be investigated.

- END -