The European Energy Crisis is getting deeper and deeper: Sweden in July, the EU power export record of the EU is in danger?

According to local media reports on Saturday, in the context of the energy crisis in Europe, Sweden's electricity exports to EU member states in July reached a monthly record of 4 Taiwa Time (TWH).

In July, Sweden exported electricity to countries such as Finland, Denmark, Poland, and Lithuania, of which exports to Germany accounted for the largest proportion.

According to data from ENAPPSYS, Sweden surpassed France in the first half of 2022 and became the largest net exporter in Europe.

Due to the vigorous development of nuclear power, France traditionally is a net exporter of electricity, which can not only meet its own needs, but also have surplus power for exports. However, due to a large number of nuclear reactors in the state of suspension and maintenance, in the first half of this year, the country's power exports dropped sharply and turned to a net import country.

According to the International Energy Agency, Swedish electricity mainly comes from nuclear energy, hydropower and biomass fuel. In addition, wind power generation in the country has also increased.

Fall in danger?

However, with the rise in EU power exports, the people of Sweden are facing greater power cost pressure, especially in the southern region of the country. The electricity prices in southern Sweden are traditionally higher than the northern region.

Sweden's largest opposition party moderate party leader ULF Kristerson said last month that the average electricity price in Sweden in early August this year was 5 times higher than the same period of 2020 due to the lack of electricity price planning.

At the end of July, Niklas Damsgard, the chief strategist of Sweden's power grid operator Svenska Kractnat, warned that Sweden may face power outages this winter.

The European Energy Crisis is getting deeper and deeper

After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, the Western sanctions on Russia increased the layers of Russia, disturbing the supply of energy markets, leading to a sharp surge in European energy prices. After Russia recently announced that the "Beixi No. 1" gas pipeline was suspended indefinitely, the European Energy Crisis was further fermented.

The soaring energy prices have brought multiple risks to Europe: consumer cost pressure has risen, enterprises have reduced production, economic recession risks have increased, and energy companies are on the verge of bankruptcy.

Because the energy market is very turbulent, power manufacturers have carried huge margin for the transactions hedge their sales. Analysts warn that the European energy industry "Lehman crisis" is approaching. Recently, European countries have issued policies to bailout energy companies.

However, the scale of rescue in Europe may be just a lot of money. Equinor, Norwegian Energy Group, warns that European Energy Corporation needs at least 1.5 trillion euros ($ 1.5 trillion) to meet the requirements for additional margin (excluding British companies), otherwise European energy transactions may fall into a pause.

The Seventh Kingdom Group and the European Union have reached an agreement on the price limit of Russia's oil setting. In the future, the European Union may also limit all natural gas, including Russian gas.

However, Russia has vowed to stop supplying natural gas and oil to countries that implement limited prices. President Russia recently warned the Western energy limit to Russia's energy limit that the "ceiling price" in the West will become a "floor price".

Analysts also pointed out that it is against the law of Russia's energy limits in violation of market laws, the effect may be counterproductive, energy prices may rise to a higher level, and European countries may eventually eat their own fruit.

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