Most Macron's ruling prospects for losing parliament are complex

Xinhua News Agency, Paris, June 20th (International Observation) Lost Most Macron's ruling prospects for the loss of parliament is complicated

Xinhua News Agency reporter Tang Yan Xu Yongchun

The second round of the French National Assembly Election ended on the 19th. According to the statistical results released by the French Ministry of the Interior on the 20th, the number of seats obtained by President Macron's intermediate alliance supported by President Macron did not reach an absolute majority.

Analysts pointed out that the loss of absolute majority advantages in the National Parliament's election means that Macron will face more resistance in the next five years. At the same time, the rise of the left -wing alliance and the extreme right -wing parties in this election reflects that the current social contradictions in France have intensified, and society tears is becoming more and more obvious.

Never get absolute majority

According to statistics from the French Ministry of the Interior, the intermediate alliance "together" obtained 245 seats, which is lower than the 289 seats that occupy the absolute majority of the National Assembly. The biggest opposition to the party; the "National Alliance" led by Marina Le Pen also achieved historic breakthroughs and won 89 seats; the traditional right -wing party Republican Party won 61 seats.

The French National Assembly election is also called legislative elections. Whether the ruling party can occupy an absolute majority in the National Assembly will affect the appointment of the new French Prime Minister's candidate and the government. It also has an important impact on the ruling party's future governance. The loss of absolute majority of seats means that if Macron wants to implement the next series of policies, he has to seek support from other political parties outside the parliament, which means that he will make concessions in many policies.

In addition, Minister of Health and Disease Prevention Brigitte Birkinion, Ecological Transformation and Land Coordination Minister Amery Demon Sharan, and the State Secretary of the State Secretary of the Prime Minister's Palace Jostina Banan, etc. Government officials elected by parliamentary elections are lost. French media believe that this will also affect the Macron camp in the future. According to the government's previous regulations, government officials participating in parliamentary elections will resign once the election is lost. Therefore, the government will face large -scale reorganization after the parliamentary election.

Government is facing stress

French Prime Minister Elizabeth Borne's internal parliamentary election delivered a speech saying that the current situation "constitutes risks to the country." Analysts here believe that the Macron camp will seek the next step with other political parties, especially the Republican Party, to obtain an absolute majority. Sources said that in the next few days, the Macron camp will be negotiated with the Republican Party.

French media analysis believes that if other camps are not supported, Macron can refer to the historical precedent, abandon the absolute majority of parliament, maintain the current status quo, and continue to let Borne serve as the prime minister.

The French "Echo" pointed out in the report that in 1988, the left -wing Socialist Party Mitterrand was re -elected as the president, but the Socialist Party failed to obtain an absolute majority in the National Parliament's election. Prime Minister. Since then, the government has repeatedly used the provisions of Article 49, paragraph 3 of the Constitution, that, that is, passed the draft law without submitting a vote of the National Parliament. Although the government's use of the constitution to bypass the parliament may trigger the opposition to condemn the motion and strive to overthrow the government by absolutely votes, this situation has not occurred during the time of Rakar as the Prime Minister.

However, the "Echo" article also pointed out that since the constitutional reform in 2008, Article 49, paragraph 3 of the Constitution has been restricted in use, and is currently only applicable to the draft laws such as financial or social security financing. If Macron chooses to imitate Midorng's approach, in the future, if he wants to pass the National Assembly in the National Assembly, he will not be able to bypass the parliament, and he must strive for the support of the absolute majority of parliamentarians. This will undoubtedly make him face greater resistance in the reform process.

French society tears

Analysts pointed out that the parliamentary election of the French political arena has a new pattern of the extreme right and the extremely left -wing political parties, which represents the interests of the middle and lower levels, and reflects that the confrontation between the establishment of the system and the anti -construction camp is more serious.

In this parliamentary election, although the left -wing league where Melangxiong is located has not won the absolute majority of the parliament, it has become the largest opposition party against the parliament. The rise of the extremely right -wing party in the parliamentary election has also attracted public opinion. Maryner Le Pen not only won the re -elected member in the selection of the Canadian Strait Province, but the number of seats she led by the "National Alliance" she led can be established for the first time. The requirements of the parliamentary party.

French political scholar, Terram St. Mali, pointed out that the rise of this parliamentary election left-wing alliance and extreme right-wing parties is a turning point in French politics, reflecting the tear of French society. He pointed out that Macron did not fundamentally reform in the first five -year term. Instead, the class solidification further deepened. The opposition between the people and the elite class of the French at the bottom of France continued to intensify, and social contradictions continued to ferment.

It is worth mentioning that the second round of the National Parliament's election is the same as the first round, and there is also a problem of high abandonment rate. In the first round of parliamentary elections held on the 12th, the abandonment rate had reached 52.49%of the historical highest level, and the abandonment rate of the second round of voting exceeded the first round, reaching 53.77%. Some analysts pointed out that the two rounds of voting encountered a high abandonment rate to a certain extent the people's disappointment of France's current politics. (Participate in reporters: Liu Fang, Xing Jianqiao)

- END -