[Party building a good story] How to view and respond to the world's great dilemma -according to the lecture of Wang Yongchang, Dean of Zhejiang Business Development Research Research Research

Jiang Xinfu, a party building a good story creation editing research (digital) center, was derived from June 18, 2022, "Yongchang Silites" No. 143

Editor's note: The owner of the WeChat public number of the "Yongchang Si Yi" and the president of the Zhejiang Party Construction Research Association, the dean of the Zhejiang Business Development Research Institute, and the former deputy director of the Standing Committee of the Zhejiang Provincial People's Congress, Wang Yongchang agreed and authorized, the People's Daily After the client "party building a good story", after the preliminary trial and organizing various forms of study and discussions, readers have affirmed the special works in the "Yongchang thinking". From today, this center (introducing Affiliated Tail) will officially compile the special works in the "Yongchang thinking", and give the manuscript reward that should be paid to the author to choose the form of red root vein books, and give it to Zhejiang Province Rural Cultural Cultural Hall and Farmers Book House, and Party Mass Service Center, mainly based on the 26 counties of mountainous areas. This article is a small entrepreneur forum that was invited to attend the "Creation and Co -Building" organized by the Jiang Business School of the Jiang Business School on May 20, 2022, and how should entrepreneurs and entrepreneurs should Looking at and responding to the uncertainty of the external world, he delivered a lecture. The lecture recording is sorted as follows.

Dear guests, ladies, gentlemen, friends:

good afternoon everyone! Just now, some comrades said that we have been away for a long time. We have not participated in such a scale forum activities for a long time, and rarely see a sunny and full smile as today. Some comrades said that it seems that how many difficulties in your company can see from everyone's faces! In fact, due to the epidemic and other reasons, many companies, especially SMEs, are extremely difficult to survive and develop now. However, preparing to carry the bags and go to the market at any time, this feeling of being willing to challenge difficult entrepreneurship is exactly the spiritual temperament of our Zhejiang businessmen!

First, is the world today's "Cold War" or "hot battle"?

This time, the theme of "Creation and Co -construction of Creation of Crossing the Dilemma" is very good. Before the meeting, I asked Dean Zhu Renhua, what predicament is it now? He said: "Because of the epidemic, the manufacturing industry is trapped in the industrial chain, the service industry is trapped in the passenger flow, etc.". But I think that our Zhejiang merchants are the world's Zhejiang merchants, and everyone should still be more open to see the dilemma. The "dilemma" at the moment is not only in front of it, but also in the domestic market environment.

Today, I do n’t talk much about the “dilemma” of the epidemic, because everyone is in it and has a deep feeling. Let ’s talk about the“ dilemma ”of the world. Now that we talk about the dilemma, we must also take into account the biggest dilemma and worldwide predicament. In this way, we can more deeply understand what the world is in a big change. I used to feel that the world has changed, but maybe I did not realize the extensiveness and profoundness of this change, as well as the correlation with the development of our enterprise.

Since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, I think that the world's big change has really entered the node of the drama change. Now, almost everyone thinks that the world has entered a new period of the Cold War. This view makes sense. However, as early as 2014, I took Crimea in 2014, and I thought that the world might have entered a new stage of the Cold War. At that time, I was studying at the Central Party School. Most people did not agree with my views. Teachers, including the Central Party School's international strategy, believed that it was not so serious. Although this incident had an important impact, it was only in the process of globalization and integration in the world. A episode. At that time, I faintly felt that the world began to change significantly. After the disintegration of the original Soviet Union, Russia has been daring after decades of lies. Although the economic development is not satisfactory, the military power and the vitality of the country have obviously rebounded. In addition, the United States -headed Western world forced, the new Cold War - That is, two or several international groups of international groups have begun to compete and conflict. At that time, I just felt that after the disintegration of the original Soviet Union, Russia fell to the West to a large extent (in fact, as one of the best countries in the world, Russia has never been fully poured to any group and country in the world), but in 2014 The Cromia incident means that Russia has begun to move towards the road of independence and independence that is disclosed with the Western world. They want to recover and establish their "protagonist" status in the world pattern.

Now, I think that the world's big change today is not only the "polarization" of the original sense, but the "cold war" that has entered a major differentiation and reorganization stage. However, it is not so much a "cold war". After the "two poles" reached the relatively balanced power in the past, they have been in the "Cold War" state for a long time. Although there are local conflicts, there are no more and larger "hot battles". Now, pure poles are unlikely, and the possibility of tritinal or pole is more likely, at least China is a large "pole". In particular, the United States does not use Russia as its main opponent's current and future. Even if the Russian -Ukraine conflict that may change the world, especially the European political situation, the United States still believes that the real strategic opponent is China, not Russia. Right now, the world's original "Cold War" power pattern has long been broken, and the new internationalization force of the world's pattern is still quietly formed. The world is only accelerating differentiation and reorganization. The power of the world has not yet formed. In this way, between the world's major powers and international organizations, it will inevitably enter the "hot war" strategic game and friction period. At least it will be the strategic friction between the "Cold War" and "Navigation" that appears in the form of a new type of war. Continue for a period. In other words, it may not be possible to enter the "Cold War" period with a "cold war" period after decades of "cold war". 2. Modern war is a mixed new war

At present, this change will bring major changes in the entire international forces, international patterns, and the development pattern of various countries. This change is not only military, politically, but also a wide range of changes in economics, science and technology, culture, and concepts.

This change bureau has a close relationship with our Zhejiang business (enterprise). Since the occurrence of Russia and Ukraine, it has a great impact on the business of the enterprise, the new European line has been affected, the international trade of the enterprise has been affected, and the industrial chain, logistics chain, capital chain, and talent chain have also been greatly affected. From the international environment, the United States seems to be dealing with Russia and may also put a little bit of customs trade in China. However, in terms of high -tech development, the United States has further increased its efforts to suppress China. Not only will the United States not only hope that the Western world is "decoupled" with China. Relevant enterprises in China and the United States are trying to accelerate development and compete with each other. The more advanced you are, the more he suppress it. In this regard, high -tech enterprises must be fully prepared. From the perspective of international relations, in the future, the relationship between China and the United States, China and Russia, China and Europe, and other developed countries will be more sensitive. Trust. The United States is now based on strength and ideological values. It is trying to re -consolidate, expand, and weave its own alliances to suppress other countries and achieve its goal of dominating the world. It is difficult for us to predict the ending of the Russian and Ukraine conflict. We did not expect that Mr. Putin himself did not expect that this time Russia's special military action against Ukraine would be so long, and some Western countries would sanction Russia with so much, which can be said to have reached the point of reaching the peak. We can also see that today's war is a comprehensive and mixed war such as economy, politics, technology, culture, finance, and diplomacy, which can also cross time and space. The traditional military war is generally marked by the direct conflict between guns and troops. The form of modern warfare is not exactly the case. UAV, military intelligence, military command, remote strike, space satellite, etc. of. Therefore, the Russian -Ukraine conflict was not just a military war between the two countries.

Of course, Russia's goal of launching special military operations itself is also many aspects. The deepest strategic intention is not only to Ukraine, but to a large extent a strategic game with the Western world led by the United States. Just now, we mentioned that the traditional war was shot and shot. The current war is not necessarily a face -to -face sword. Many countries in the United States and Europe have actually participated in the Russia and Ukraine War. Either their high -tech weapons, military intelligence, and even conventional weapons. Do you say they have not participated in the war? From the modern hybrid war, their political, economic, diplomacy, finance, public opinion and other sanctions, you can say that you have not participated in the war. Some people will say that their people and troops have not went to fight. In fact, people have gone a lot. Since 2014, the United States and NATO have long passed and have made many layouts in Ukraine, what military facilities, what military training, etc., and so on.

3. The strategic game of China and the United States will further intensify

What will happen to Russia next? We can't simply say whether to win or not. China considers the statement in accordance with the comprehensive factors such as history and reality. We must safeguard international law and national sovereignty, and we must not encourage the acts that offend other sovereignty. Of course, Russia has an objective reasons for taking special military operations on Ukraine. It is not out of nothing. The previous factors of the consequences need to be considered. War is the continuation of politics. This is objective truth.

In fact, the biggest motivation of the Russian and Ukraine conflict is the United States. The deepest reason is that the United States has continued to expand the NATO organization. The biggest winner this time may be the United States, and the biggest losers are naturally Russia and Ukraine. Now, perhaps for sure, in the next or two decades, Russia and Ukraine will be weakened, and the power of NATO and the United States will be strengthened. For China, it will not intervene in the Russian and Ukraine conflict, but to promote the conflict between negotiation peacefully. However, this conflict is global, and it is the strategic "showdown" of the "two big poles" in the world pattern, which will have a profound impact on countries around the world, especially world powers. Among them, the treatment of the relationship between China and the United States will have a long -lasting extensive impact. This is the weakening and decline of Russia's power, the game of China and the United States may intensify. We hope to expand to the world and want to cooperate with the United States, but now the United States does not want to cooperate with you. In the international environment and future changes, China will further or more and more at the cusp of the world. Everyone must realize this. In the future, the world structure is largely a strategic game between China and the United States, which has a positive aspect and many unfavorable aspects for us. There is no doubt that strengthening our development strength is our most fundamental way of response. What's more, our strength is still very different from others.

Fourth, the world is the unity of certainty and uncertainty

Your event is to discuss "crossing the dilemma and creation and co -construction." Everyone generally feels that the current "dilemma" is too big, there are too many world variables, and the future prospects are too uncertain. I feel a little confused and confused, and I don't know how to deal with it. This is normal. The world dilemma and the change of the times are not what we can see through, it is even more difficult to control. What about it? The situation of economic development at home and abroad has always been in the "change" and "dilemma". A smooth sailing never exists, but the content, form, characteristics, and statements of the predicament are different. Enterprises are survived and developed in "dilemma" at home and abroad, and the market, and our lives have also come in countless "changing" and "dilemma". In the final analysis, we live in the contradictions of certainty and uncertainty.

From the perspective of philosophy, everything and human society are in the process of certainty and uncertainty. We always want to pursue the future certainty, the certainty of development, and the certainty of growth, because uncertainty means that we are unsatisfactory, which means unpredictable, which means risks and insecurity. Determination is the stability and continuity of the development of things; from the perspective of human body, we can understand it, predict it, grasp it, and change it. Control it. The uncertainty is the unstable, discontinuous or mutant of the development of things; from the perspective of human body, we cannot understand it, control it, or we do not know it enough. Or although they have awareness, they are unable to control it. In this way, the future of this thing is uncertain and controllable for us. This is the certainty and uncertainty in the philosophical sense. It is widespread. The development of all things and all the behaviors of human beings have this characteristic.

Everyone thinks that the development of all things in the world has developed in accordance with the rules of motion that is determined and uncertain? The world we live and face is always in the contradiction between certainty and uncertainty. For example: you are in love and get married. This object is his wife or husband, Zhang Sanli, which is certain. Prior to this, in the process of falling in love, it was not too sure. It was officially married. It is legal, life, and in fact, and the relationship between husband and wife is determined. However, today is a husband and wife, and it may not be tomorrow or in the future. This certainty will change with the development of time and space, and it is difficult to say that in the future must be determined. Maybe after three or five years of bad feelings, or the influence of other uncertainties, it has become an uncertainty. Everyone is loyal to love. If love changes, it can also change to uncertainty, from uncertainty to new certainty.

Friends are also business -oriented enterprises and investment projects. We spent our lives in certainty and uncertainty. For example, whether we are reading this school or other schools; whether we are engaged in this occupation or other occupations. Comprehensive factors determine. We are doing well now, what will happen in the future and whether it can be determined. This is difficult to say.

We can predict and control the future by certainty, and uncertainty makes us selectively and creative. The smaller the scope of time and space, the more we can know and grasp it. For example, we can definitely come out tomorrow (sunny and cloudy) under the certainty of high probability (sunny and cloudy days). But if you give me a very large space -time span, can it be determined? It's difficult. According to the cosmic doctrine, after how many billion light years, the sun will explode and disappear, and we humans will not exist. Today we will have the sun tomorrow, but changing a larger space is likely to rain. Of course, in the long time and space, the existence and operation of the sun are regular and certain, and there will always be in the sun.

Fifth, the key to the uncertainty of the world depends on your own certainty

For our subject, more certainty and uncertainty are more. Today and tomorrow's companies can be sure of existing, what operating performance is, that is the uncertain change of every year. Your company will have a lot of uncertainty in the future, and it is often difficult to grasp.

So, how to deal with this uncertainty? There are many ways. The most important fundamental method is to rely on ourselves and the way. Because, we are usually difficult to change the world, we can only adapt to the world. It is more changes in the world, not how much we can change the world. What we can really change is ourselves, we are more of our own certainty to respond to the uncertainty of the external world. Therefore, I suggest that you continue to improve your quality and ability to improve the probability of success in the uncertainty of the external world. For example: You are studying here to study, to armed yourself and improve yourself, that is, to improve your own certainty to respond to the possible risks of the outside world and the future, that is, more uncertainty is certain.

The most important thing to improve our own certainty is that we are strong. How to make the main ability of yourself? How to strengthen your company's competitiveness? How to make more resources you can master and mobilize? We must use the certainty of the resource we can mobilize to deal with the uncertainty of the external world. It is the greatest certainty capital. Therefore, we must continue to learn knowledge to armed ourselves, including the cooperation between students, which are all ways to improve our own certainty and competitiveness, and reduce possible risks.

In short, everyone should not be confused about the external world. The key is to make ourselves, improve ourselves, strengthen our subject, and make our "limbs" develop, develop our heads Classmates and friends are a little more and bigger, and the circle of friends is larger. There are more people who are a staff member for you. Dohaies, can embrace more brilliant sunshine and a beautiful future!

thank you all!

[Attachment: Research (Digital) Center (Digital) Center of Party Construction of the Story of the Party] The Study Edit Study of the Party Construction (Digital) Center is a professional institution of the book "Story of the Party Construction" of the People's Daily Press. , Sorting, editing, researching, publishing, promotion and all -media, rural digitalization, urban and rural intelligence, and other expert teams that are integrated with blockchain and blockchain. Persons, promoters. The party and mass service center standardize the operating team of more than 70 party and mass service centers such as West Lake Scenic Area and Fuyang District, which shows the window. The path of revitalizing the countryside of Qiandong Village, Lin'an District is one of the resource integration and digital wisdom governance models in the "Good Story of the Party"; the role of the inheritance hall of the Lanting District instructor in the Caqiao District, which is deepened by the instructors of the village instructor system, is played. Good Story is one of the topics that are rich and improved and planned in this way.

Party building leads a strong brand. In recent years, focusing on how to strengthen grass -roots party building work, solidly promote the practice of educational practices of the theme of the theme of the minds, and in mind the implementation of rural revitalization strategies, build Zhejiang as the national common prosperity demonstration zone, promote civilized cities, strengthen non -public enterprise party building and other fields The major topic of the topic has completed the core content of the theme of the production of red root inheritance. The Story of the French 108 "" The Standardization of the National Grassroots Women's Federation "," We walked through those years -the party building leads to the development of the listed company "," The youth of struggle -talks with the young employees of listed companies "," Flower Bohlavia's silent fragrance Far -to read the "Chinese Good Man" in Zhejiang ", and" Zhejiang Story of the Zhejiang Story of the "Leadership" of the "Leadership Spirit" of "Village and Villages" and other batch of readers with more than 3 million words. Among them, Sanmen County, Taizhou, Zhejiang Province The four units and individuals including the West Village Party Committee and Zhang Xinjian, as the representatives and masters in the work, became typical of the country to commended the central leadership of the country when they were established for a century.

The red story is a matrix. In order to show the "Chinese Story", especially the "Zhejiang Spirit", the center of this center as the "State -owned Enterprise" magazine of the State -owned Enterprise Specialty Committee of the National Party Construction Research Association, the State -owned Enterprise Network Zhejiang Channel's editorial board station, and the party building positions are consolidated during the expansion. " The Story of the Party Construction "Zhejiang Government Affairs Short Video Alliance is the product of the center and Zhejiang Audiovisual Publishing House to optimize the platform. The only newspaper network integrated "Character Weekly. The Story of the Party Construction" Yangtze River Delta Creation Research Center, the Center and the well -known writers inside and outside the province teamed up to provide readers at home and abroad with the models of "positive energy, good voice" character models. Masterpiece. At present, the "Yingfeng Cup" shared and co -organized by the Qiantang River Cultural Research Association of Zhejiang Province and co -organized and co -organized by this center shared the rich and beautiful Zhejiang short video contest. Since the launch of May 28, 2022, the participating units and video enthusiasts have enthusiastically contributed. The momentum is good! Jiang Xinfu, director and editor -in -chief of this center, and all colleagues, sincerely thanked the party committees and governments at all levels for their care and support, especially the guidance and cooperation between the leaders of the group work front and the understanding of the majority of party members and cadres. The central work gives concern.

Grassroots party building "Zhejiang First Story Book"

Attending 2022. "Yingfeng Cup" -

Leaders and experts who share together and beautiful Zhejiang Short Video Contest at the launching ceremony

Jiang Xinfu in front of the game poster

- END -