International Observation 丨 The National Assembly Election will be frustrated by Macron in power or restricted in the next five years

Cover Journalist Yan Lei

On the evening of June 19, local time, the preliminary statistics released by the French Ministry of the Interior showed that in the second round of the French National Assembly election on the day, the intermediate alliance where President Macron was "together" was "together", but he failed to get it. The National Assembly is absolutely major seats.

Macron camps have not received an absolute majority in the parliamentary election

According to the preliminary results announced by the French Ministry of the Internal Council after completing the 97%voting statistics, among the 577 seats in the National Assembly, the intermediate alliance "together" won 234 seats, which is lower than the 289 seats that the absolute majority of the National Assembly. The left -wing league where the party leader "French" leader Mei Langxiong was 124 seats; the "National Alliance" led by Marina Le Pen was 89 seats; the right -wing Republican Party received 61 seats.

The preliminary statistics also showed that the abandonment rate for the second round of voting for the National Parliament was 53.11%of the total number of registered voters.

Compared with 2017, the number of seats won in this National Parliament's election decreased significantly. In June 2017, the joint camp led by Macron led by the Republic of the Republic won 350 seats in the National Parliament election, occupying an absolute majority.

The French National Assembly election is also called legislative elections. Whether the ruling party can occupy an absolute majority in the National Assembly will affect the appointment of the new Prime Minister's candidate and the composition of the government, and it also affects the direction and efficiency of the ruling party's future governance.

Among the 577 constituencies in France, 1 National Parliament was generated in each constituency, which was voted directly by voters in this constituency for 5 years. In the first round of voting, candidates can be elected by getting more than half of the votes; candidates who have not obtained half of the votes but received 12.5%of the registered voters in this constituency entered the second round of voting, and the highest votes were elected. The first and second rounds of the French National Assembly elections this year were held on June 12 and 19, respectively.

Many important figures in the Macron camp lost in the election

French Prime Minister Borne delivered a TV speech across the country that night: "Considering the challenges facing our country now, this voting result makes our country risk."

Borne itself successfully saved a seat in the election in northern Calvadas and defeated the challenger from the left. But some ministers defeated in the second round of voting.

According to French public opinion analysis, in order to ensure the smooth progress of the legislative agenda, the French ruling party camp may have to seek to form a ruling league with other parties.

According to CNN, once the Macron camp cannot obtain an absolute majority in the second round of voting, Macron will become the first French President who failed to win the parliament since the election reform in 2000.

Reuters pointed out that this will force Macron to seek union with the right -wing party to reach an agreement. In addition, 15 ministerial officials also participated in the parliamentary election. If they were defeated in the election, they would have to resign from the cabinet position, which may lead to reorganizations that have just been established.

Preliminary votes showed that many important figures in the French ruling party camp lost in the election, including Ferlanson, the current National Parliament Speaker of the National Parliament, and Castana, chairman of the National Parliament's ruling party group.

Impact: The results of this voting may shake the foundation of the EU

Some analysts said that the vote will be decisive for French President Macron's administration in the new term and may even shake the foundation of the European Union.

Agence France -Presse said that the voting was decisive for Macron's new term of office. The 44 -year -old president needed to obtain half of the seats to promote the agenda of tax cuts, welfare reforms, and improved retirement age.

"France has fallen into the vortex of democratic fatigue." The French "World News" reported on the 19th that although the Macron camp is likely to win the most seats, it cannot guarantee that the parliament is dominated. Public opinion generally believes that if the "together" alliance cannot obtain a majority of parliamentary seats, because the governance plan is similar, Macron's most likely cooperation target will be the first round of voting.

According to French media, no matter what the final election results, the left -wing alliance will become a pivotal force in the French political territory. Without the majority of the party to become a parliament, the left -wing alliance may become the target of all parties to compete for union. Melangxiong may be selected as the Prime Minister of the Cabinet, and will start the fourth "left and right governance" situation in the fifth Republic of France.

However, the "Voice of Germany" believes that the unity between Paris and Berlin is critical to formulating and implementing the European Union's joint policy. In addition, Melangxiong also promised to re -consider the qualifications of NATO members in France. When the Russian and Ukraine conflict and the new crown pneumonia bring the EU unprecedentedly unprecedented, a French government led by Melangxiong may shake the foundation of the European Union.

(Some information are based on the Global Times, Xinhua News Agency, etc.)

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