Stunning!In the next 10 years, this year is the coolest?Latest response →

"Hot Bird" ...

This summer's topic about high temperature has not been broken, and the highest temperature records were broken again and again, which made people "unbearable." Recently, a hot search#This year may be the coolest year in the next 10 years#is even more frightened by netizens.

It's so hot, and it will be hotter in the future?

This is how to do?

Self -media: "Hot is just a beginning"

According to the media, this year's high temperature is just the beginning.

According to the papers published by the Chinese Academy of Sciences in the future, it will be hotter! And bring the topic:#This year may be the coolest year in the next 10 years#has attracted widespread attention from netizens. As of August 24th, the topic reading reached 2.525 million.

This feeling is like a hard time to get off work, and was notified to work overtime, making people cry without tears.

However, in fact, similar claims have appeared in 2019. For example, "2019 is the hottest year in history, and it may be the coolest year in the next hundred years." However, through data from the National Climate Center, it can be seen that in 2019, the national average temperature was 10.34 ° C, and in 2020, it was 10.25 ° C.

Obviously, there is no prediction!

The Chinese Academy of Sciences rumors: The original intention of the thesis was interpreted

This year, the continuous high temperatures across the country have made the public very much concerned about the trend of climate change. The source of the news from the media articles is the paper published in the "Nature · Communication" magazine in the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. In this regard, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences through official Weibo to rumors. The thesis studied the relationship between greenhouse gas and climate change. The conclusion of the coolest year ".

Special explanation again, the paper focuses on the high temperature room gas emissions (RCP8.5). By 2100, the possible changes in the high pressure of the northwest Pacific subtly; Essence

The Chinese Academy of Sciences has timely rumors, and netizens should be able to let go.

In fact, this year's high temperature evaluation and future climate trend are more suitable for referring to the point of view of the National Climate Center.

Regarding the future trend of climate change, the National Climate Center has not made a judgment of "this year is the coolest year in the next 10 years". The WeChat public account of the National Climate Center summarized an exclusive interview with many experts in the center, and some content talked about future trends. From the content of the interview, experts from the National Climate Center generally believe that from the long run, human activities mainly based on greenhouse gas emissions are not only the main cause of climate warming, but also greatly increased the extreme high -temperature heat wave incident and strong water drop incident. The probability. Similar high -temperature heat will appear frequently in the future.

confirmed! The intensity of the heat wave event this year is the strongest intensity

However, although the saying "this year is the coolest year in the next 10 years", there is no basis, but this year's heat is indeed true.

The river mussels of Poyang Lake were "dried", and the eagle heat stroke was "hot" falling into the river ...

The National Climate Center stated on August 17 that the comprehensive intensity of my country's high -temperature heat wave incident has reached the strongest since 1961.

According to the National Climate Center, according to recent monitoring and evaluation, comprehensive consideration of the average intensity, scope and duration of the high -temperature heat wave event, the comprehensive intensity of the regional high -temperature event since June 13 this year has reached the complete weather observation records since 1961 in 1961. The strongest.

Data can prove that as of August 15, the high temperature incident has lasted for 64 days, the longest duration since 1961, and the coverage of high temperature above 40 ° C is historically the largest. Day) The average number of high temperatures in the country is 12.0 days, 5.1 days more than the same period of the same year. It is the most history since 1961.

Experts point out that the current global greenhouse gas has a very strong effect. In the context of global warming, the high -temperature heat wave incident will become a new normal. At the same time, another feature brought by climate change has begun to appear: the features of high temperature starting early and long duration will become more and more significant. For example, this year's high temperature appears earlier than the climate value, and it is expected that the end time is later than the climate.

Finally, in response to the above trend, experts from the National Climate Center suggested that in addition to actively adopting action to slow down global warming, it is necessary to formulate adaptive strategies early to reduce or avoid risks.

Specifically, in the future, the research of changes and mechanisms of extreme high temperature and strong water reduction needs to be further strengthened; improving the monitoring, early warning and forecasting of extreme high temperature and strong water downside incidents; enhanced the disaster risk assessment of extreme high temperature and strong water reduction incidents; scientific planning; scientific planning And layout social and economic activities to improve regional adaptability; formulate scientific and effective emergency plans and response measures in advance.

Fortunately, the difficult Sanfu Tian is finally over today. Is there a cool place there?

(Changjiang Daily Da Wuhan client product Source:@（（Institute of Atmospheric Physics, China Environmental Client, CCTV, Beiqing.com, Shangguan News Editor integration: Zhao Ke)

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