On the last day of "San Fu", I was awakened by thunder in the middle of the night!40 ℃ High temperature finally "turn off"!
Author:Voice of Zhejiang Time:2022.08.24
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Did you hear the thunder in Hangzhou this morning?
In the morning, under the topic of#早 早 早#
Netizens have left messages:
What a big thunder! Finally cooled!
Yesterday was a summer solar term. Today (August 24) is the last day of Sanfu Tian. The horn of cooling has sounded!
@Zhejiang weather prediction this morning: Hangzhou is cloudy to overcast today, sometimes there are showers or thunderstorms; tomorrow is sunny to cloudy, and there will be decentralized thunderstorms in the afternoon. The highest is 32 ° C today, and the minimum tomorrow is 27 ° C. High temperature ease.
From the perspective of the whole province, there are clouds to overcast in northern Zhejiang today, with some shower or thunderstorms; other areas are cloudy to cloudy, and there will be decentralized showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon to night. Tomorrow will be cloudy to overcast in southern Zhejiang and coastal areas, with some shower or thunderstorms; other areas are cloudy, and there will be decentralized thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tomorrow, the cold air will be removed, and the impact of the typhoon circulation will also weaken further. The weather will return to the situation of the high edge of the vice edge. The temperature in Hangzhou may have a small rebound, reaching 36 ° C.
Enter the weekend, under the influence of weak cold air and low altitudes, there will be obvious thunder shower, and the temperature will further lower.
This year is the coolest year in the next 10 years?
The atmosphere of the Chinese Academy of Sciences responded
On August 22, a topic named#8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 The topic of the year in the next 10 years has received widespread attention from netizens. The topic reading has reached 527,000. Netizens are worried about high temperature weather in the future.
The picture shows some topics of some media released. Picture source: Weibo screenshot
According to the recent monitoring and evaluation of the National Climate Center, comprehensively considering the average intensity, scope and duration of the high -temperature heat wave incident, the comprehensive intensity of regional high -temperature events that has been from June 13 this year has reached the strongest meteorological observation record in 1961. It has the characteristics of long duration, wide range, strong strength, and strong extremes.
In order to confirm the views of the future of the summer, some media have cited the views of the experts of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in June 2020 in the views of the "Nature · Communication" magazine papers.
On the evening of the 22nd,@2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 "This year is the coolest year in the next 10 years". It is the interpretation of the original meaning of the paper.
The full text is as follows:
Our scholar published in 2020 in "Nature-Communication" entitled "Emerurs Constrains on Future Projects of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High". It focuses on the high temperature room gas emissions (RCP8.5), which is concerned. By 2100, the possible changes in the high -pressure high -pressure northwest Pacific subtropical. The work of this paper is not related to the occurrence and prediction of extreme high temperature events in the near future.
To estimate the long -term climate change at the end of this century, the climate model must be used, but due to the level of science and technology development, the current model results still have uncertainty. In terms of climatic estimation, it reflects the differences in the response of different modes to the same greenhouse gas forced, such as the 35 climate model of the "Fifth International Coupling Model Comparison Plan" (CMIP5). As a result, each other is very different. In order to reduce this uncertainty and give more accurate long -term change estimates, this paper uses a method internationally called "Emerurs Constraint". The reliable physical connection between the current climate state and the future state uses the current rich observation data to make a correction of the deviation of the original estimated results of the climate model.
In summary, this paper does not involve the temperature prediction of temperature in the next 10 years, nor does it propose, nor does it support the conclusion that "this year is the coolest year in the next 10 years". The method of the Weibo public account is the interpretation of the original intention of the thesis, which is hereby explained.
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