Zhang Wenzong: East Asian countries need to be alert to Taiwan's provocations in Taiwan

The US Speaker Pelosi has caused more deterioration of Sino -US relations and cross -strait relations, and the Taiwan Strait and Pingxin have further damaged. The United States did not reflect on the danger of the principles of the middle of the country in the future. Instead, it was brewing a new "Tingtai" trick, trying to increase the efforts of "Taiwan to make China", and continue to build a surrounding stroke. Unlike the first half of the Cold War, the United States curbing policy has benefited from Japan, South Korea and ASEAN countries. Today, in East Asia that has formed a community of destiny, the US dangerous policy will not be stopped, and all countries in East Asia will become victims. The regional state restraint or at least not cooperate with the US error policy has become an important factor in maintaining peace and stability in East Asia.

During the period from the outbreak of the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union to the normalization of Sino -US relations, in order to curb the Soviet Union and China, the United States supported Japan and South Korea economic and military. The "North Korea's special need" produced by the Korean War rescued the Japanese economy, and the Vietnam War stimulated the high -speed growth of the Japanese and South Korean economies. Aid, defense contracts, huge markets and technology transfer provided by the United States are huge dividends for Japan and South Korea. In order to curb the expansion of "communism in Southeast Asia", the United States supported the establishment and expansion of ASEAN in the 1960s and 1970s. Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines were supported by more or less.

But now, the United States has unreasonably curb the suppression of China, including playing "Taiwan cards" more unscrupulously, which is seriously threatening regional peace and stability. When the United States is in the cycle of hegemony, its allies and partners can enjoy the dividend of "ride -hailing" and gain benefits from security guarantees and free trade. However, when the United States is in the cycle of hegemony, its obedience and utilization of the allies and partners is far greater than possible.

The United States is for its own private containment to suppress China and Russia. Its allies and partners are forced to contribute to the United States to maintain hegemony, bear greater risks in security, pay more economically, and even continue to "blood transfusion" for the United States. If the United States provokes and intensifies the game of China, under the framework of the "US -Lord Sunday", Japan will be the front desk that will be pushed by the United States to fiercely confront China and Russia, and bears greater security pressure than the United States. South Korea has long maintained difficulty and subtle balances in the complex relationship between China, the United States and Russia, and Russia. Once it is involved in the game of China, it will fall into a bad predicament. If the ASEAN countries are wrapped in the camps that are wrapped in the United States, they will not only face the risk of division internally, but also the role of the leaders of East Asian cooperation will also be completely lost.

Unlike the first half of the Cold War, other East Asian countries cannot benefit from the confrontation with China. One of the main factors is that China has deeply embedded and led the East Asian economic circle. China's huge economic scale, strong production capacity and external investment capabilities, the huge markets and increasingly advanced technologies and standards provided have large extent that they have become the Dinghai God needle in the East Asian economic circle. The confrontation upgrades of the two major powers will seriously impact and destroy the East Asian industrial chain and economic community. East Asian countries will not have winners. Those countries participating in the United States will also face the risk of losing the support of the Chinese market and supply chain. In the worst case, once the Taiwan Strait broke out, different from the United States that are relatively secure and might be in the United States, every country in the region will become victims.

In the context of continuing to actively participate in and integrate into globalization and East Asia as an important engine of global economic engines, all countries in East Asia have become the community of destiny for the Communist Party. China is not only the largest trading partner of most countries in East Asia, but also is committed to solving the territorial and marine rights disputes with neighboring countries, and providing public products developing and securely to regional countries. Japan, South Korea, China, and ASEAN have formed a highly complementary industrial chain and supply chain. All East Asian countries have benefited from China -Japan -South Korea economic cooperation and ASEAN -centered "10", "10+3" and "10+6" mechanism. Essence The effectiveness of the "Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement" (RCEP) has made East Asia further one of the economic circles with the North American Free Trade Zone and the European Union. At the same time, the highly open East Asian economic circle also integrates with other economies in the United States and the world to jointly create the basic form of the international economy in the era of globalization.

Like most East Asian countries, China wants a stable and peaceful development environment. The outbreak of the Taiwan Strait was divided by the intervention and noise of East Asia due to the intervention and drumming of the forces outside the territory, which did not meet the interests of all East Asian countries including China. Therefore, China insists on promoting the peace and reunification of the motherland on the issue of Taiwan, and at the same time does not give up to curb "Taiwan independence" and external interference as the final option. And some American politicians continue to be obsessed with "controlled by Taiwan" and are becoming the biggest destroyer of peace in the Taiwan Strait. Under the background of the Taiwan Strait and East Asian situation, the regional countries still actually have a huge space to play a positive role, and have the ability and wisdom to determine their destiny.

Without the support of allies and partners, the United States' provocative policies for stressing China will largely become the air tower. Some countries in East Asia are allies and partners of the United States, but in the final analysis, they are "East Asian countries" and China is a neighbor that cannot move away. Faced with the United States's collapse and coercion, Japan and South Korea need to take a lot of serious consideration of the consequences of Sino -US confrontation, and to express their positions and contain the impulse to the United States. China supports the construction of the ASEAN community and a regional cooperation structure centered on ASEAN. The expansion and deepening of ASEAN expanding and deepening cooperation with China fully meet the interests of ASEAN countries. It is very important to promote the tension of Asian unity to prevent the tension of East Asia and even fall into conflict.

The relatively declining United States is trying to weaken China and Russia through conflict between manufacturing and incite conflicts.At present, the Ukrainian crisis, the United States and Europe and the new cold war between the United States and Europe have caused European countries to bear the consequences of economic recession, social tightness, and unsafe.When the half of the world fell into the New Cold War, it prevented Asia, especially East Asia, to fall into a new Cold War or erupted for military conflicts, which complied with the interests of all East Asian countries.East Asian countries solve the problem is not to follow or obey the United States to "control the Chinese", but to do their best to restrain or at least not cooperate with the dangerous and selfish behavior of the United States.Adhering to the principle of China, vigilant and opposing "Taiwan independence" elements and external forces to connect evil, that is, to maintain the peace and stability of East Asia.The fate of East Asia should be in its own hands, "offshore balance", "divide and rule" and even "agent war" and other wrists.Historical garbage dump.(The author is the Deputy Director of the American Institute of the Institute of Modern International Relations)