It's hot, it's cold again?

Author:Daily Economic News Time:2022.08.08

Photo source: Photo Network_501677815

The epidemic is repeated, and I am afraid that the "summer file" that will be expected to be expected will end early.

On August 8th, Hainan held a press conference notification that the epidemic situation in Sanya and other places continued to develop, and the number of new infections was still high; the scope of the epidemic situation was further expanded, and the province's total of 13 cities and counties reported infected. As of 7 o'clock on the same day, a total of 250 high -risk areas and 145 medium -risk areas.

Since it is announced that the implementation of temporary static management, how Sanya has placed "80,000 stranded tourists" has aroused widespread concern. Whether the semi -price discount of hotels can be implemented and whether nucleic acid testing can keep up with the same measures that can be projected on each individual. It seems to affect the reputation of this famous tourist city.

At the same time, many popular tourist destinations across the country are also impacting the epidemic.

Following the recent start of the "fuse" mechanism in Xinjiang and the suspension of cross -provincial team tour in Inner Mongolia, the Ali region and Lhasa in Tibet have also reported a total of 22 positives today. Coupled with Gansu and Guangxi, which have not been completely unsealed, the hard -to -recover tourism industry sweat again.

01

Sanya's "Static Management of the Global" made this wave of epidemic suddenly "upgrade".

On August 1st, the results of a personnel of a personnel found abnormal nucleic acid testing in Yazhou District, Sanya City, and was diagnosed with a confirmed case (light). On August 8th, Hainan held a press conference. Since this round of epidemic, a total of 1,507 positive infections have been reported, of which 1042 are confirmed cases, 824 cases of Sanya; 465 asymptomatic infections, and 419 cases in Sanya.

In 8 days, the number of diagnosis has exceeded 1500 cases, and the spread and spillover of the province have occurred, which shows that the situation is complicated and severe.

People line up in Sanya to do nucleic acid pictures. Source: Xinhua News Agency

Official news shows that the aggregation of the Sanya epidemic is obvious. Infected people are mostly related to fishing ports, fishing boats, fishermen and fishing markets. The spread chain is radiation in the fishing port of Yazhou Central.

Jin Yuming, chief expert of the Hainan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said that with a comprehensive analysis of experts, the poison strain in this round of epidemic is BA5.1.3, which is the Omikon mutant strain, which has nothing to do with the previous epidemic of Hainan. Fishermen traded and entered. It is reported that the strain is currently the world's most watched mutant strain, and it is also the first time that it has been detected in China.

From 6 am on August 6, the city of Sanya will implement temporary static management. Followed by large -scale flight cancellation.

Data from Fei Changzhun APP shows that on the 6th, Sanya Phoenix Airport canceled a total of 340 flights in and out of Hong Kong, and Haikou Meilan Airport canceled a total of 155 trips. On the 7th, the two places canceled 412 and 228 flights in and out of Hong Kong. On the 8th, the number of flights canceled reached 440 and 501 respectively.

According to He Shigang, deputy mayor of the Sanya Municipal Government, about 80,000 tourists stayed in Sanya this time, and the cases were distributed in Sanya Bay and Yalong Bay. He also said that the first two months were peak tourism, and millions of tourists entered Sanya.

This also means that in addition to 80,000 people, a large number of tourists rushed back in advance before the control.

Statistics from Fei Changzhun APP show that from August 1st to 8th, a total of 906 flights flew away from Sanya, of which 75 trains landed in Shanghai, the most; at the same time, 1293 flights took off from Haikou, of which 82 were landed in Shanghai. It is also the most.

In fact, the "influx" of Shanghai people is not a short -term phenomenon.

Ye Jialin, director of the Sanya Tourism Promotion Bureau, previously made it clear that "Shanghai and surrounding cities have always been one of the source of Sanya." In late June, Hainan relaxed the control of low-risk areas such as Shanghai and Beijing.

In addition, the number of flights such as Changsha (61 trips), Chongqing (58 trips), Guangzhou (49), Chengdu (48 trips) and other cities such as Changsha (61 trips), Chongqing (58 trips), Chongqing (58 times), Guangzhou (49 trips), and Chengdu In the flight from Haikou, the cities with more landing are Guangzhou, Changsha, Shenzhen, Beijing, etc., all of which have more than 70 trips.

02

This "summer vacation" is not only Hainan affected.

Beihai Yizhou Island Picture Source: Photo Network_501280785

On July 12, a symptom -free infection was found in Beihai, Guangxi. Two days later, the A -level tourist scenic spot of Beihai City suspended the opening of the outside world, and the Yaizhou Island Tourism Zone suspended the reception of tourists to go to the island. For more than ten days, local infection cases have increased rapidly.

On July 17th, a press conference reported that more than 2,000 tourists stayed in the North Sea and would conduct service and guarantee work to ensure that the demands of the stranded tourists were conducted in response to the problems reflected by the detention tourists to ensure that the demands of the stranded tourists were actively responding and dealing with it.

Beihai officially said on August 7 that according to the current situation of the epidemic prevention and control, the creation of the "non -epidemic -free grid" will be carried out, one strategy is determined, and one strategy will be implemented. The economic and social operation is normal.

This seems to confirm the concerns of local tourism practitioners -the tourist season that Beihai just started in early July, ending in advance.

The northwest, which has always been popular in summer, has also been "broken".

On July 9, the number of receptions in the Mogao Grottoes of the Dunhuang during the peak season exceeded 10,000. However, with the upgrading of the surrounding epidemic around Lanzhou, more stringent prevention and control measures have been adopted. As of July 22, a total of 186 A -level tourist scenic spots in Gansu were closed due to the epidemic. According to the latest notice, there are no new confirmed cases in Gansu on August 7th to 24:00. There were 3 newly addeds infected. The above -mentioned asymptomatic infected people have no social screen screening. After a month of "war", Gansu saw the hope of "normal operation".

Going north, Xinjiang Tour is facing the "big test" in the fire this year -as of 19:00 on August 8th, Ili Prefecture, Aksu area, Kashgar area, and Urumqi have divided 45 high -risk areas, 34 medium -risk areas 34 There are 9 low -risk areas.

Among them, there are 63 high -risk areas in Yili Prefecture, which are regarded as the "storm eye" of the Xinjiang epidemic in this round.

According to the Baidu migration platform data, Urumqi, Ili and other places ushered in the highest peak of the annual relocation index around July 10.

Picture source: Baidu Migration Big Data Platform

According to the statistics of the Xinjiang Cultural Travel Department, the average daily reception of tourists in the 5A -level tourist attractions in the district increased in June in June. The actual number of ticket purchases such as Sili Muhu and other scenic spots is more than 10,000 every day.

However, since two cases of non -symptoms were added in Yining in Yili Prefecture on July 30, this wave of tourism had encountered "cooling". On August 2 and 4, the Xinjiang Cultural Travel Department issued a notice on the implementation of cross -provincial tourism "melting" mechanisms for the implementation of cross -provincial tourism "melting" mechanisms on Yining, Yining County, Nilk County.

Picture source: Baidu Migration Big Data Platform

Just on August 8, the Ali area of ​​Tibet reported that four positive infections were found in conventional nucleic acid tests on the 7th. Later, Shigato announced the implementation of silent management throughout the city. Lhasa also reported on the evening of the 8th that 18 new crown nucleic acid tests were found in key personnel nucleic acid tests on August 7. Prior to this, Tibet had no new cases for 920 days in a row, and it was the longest province in the country to maintain the longest outbreak.

Since August 3, Inner Mongolia has also stopped cross -provincial team tourism and "air tickets+hotels" business in many places such as Erlianhot City.

03

The summer peak season was disrupted, and the tourism industry in the difficult recovery was once again shaded. Judging from the housing fees withdrawn from some interviewed homestays, the loss is less than 100,000 yuan, as many as millions of yuan. Some practitioners said, "Even if they recover, the tourist season has been missed."

In June 2022, Sanya International Duty Free City Picture Source: Xinhua News Agency

Earlier, the market had expected a wave of small climax in August -the former "Duku Highway becomes 'blocking roads'", the latter "half Chinese crowded Dali", coupled with the tourism sector on the capital market, which continued to continue To strengthen, many views in the industry believe that the summer tourism market is ushered in a "inflection point".

No one expected that from deserted to lively, it stopped so suddenly.

Yang Yanfeng, director of the Beijing United University Online Tourism Research Center, said in an interview that several popular tourist destinations have been greatly affected and will also affect consumer plans and expectations. "At present, it is more than half of the summer. Seeing this situation will dispel long -distance travel? It is likely to cause a suppression of the choice of travel."

For those areas that take the tourism industry as the pillar, someone needs to come, overnight, consumption, output cultural tourism products, and increase tourism income. This physical "arrival" is necessary.

Take Sanya as an example. From January to May this year, it received 6.718 million tourists overnight, a year -on -year decrease of 40.9%. Among them, overnight domestic tourists were 6.6731 million, a year -on -year decrease of 41.0%; 450,000 people entering the world of overnight, a year -on -year decrease of 22.9%.

During the same period, the total revenue of Sanya's tourism was 22.763 billion yuan, a year -on -year decrease of 40.1%. Among them, domestic tourism revenue was 22.649 billion yuan, a year -on -year decrease of 40.2%; tourism foreign exchange income was 17.7335 million US dollars, a year -on -year decrease of 17.5%.

Picture source: Sanya City Statistics Bureau

In comparison, in 2020, Sanya received 17.144 million overnight tourists, a year -on -year decrease of 25.3%, and total tourism revenue was 42.474 billion yuan, a year -on -year decrease of 26.9%;

By 2021, Sanya received 21.6204 million overnight tourists, an increase of 19.7%year -on -year, and achieved total tourism revenue of 74.703 billion yuan, an increase of 65.2%year -on -year.

Although compared with 23.933 million people who received overnight tourists in 2019, there is still a gap between the reception volume, the income is 11.384 billion yuan higher than the income. It is necessary to say that the new policy of Hainan's islands for exemption is two years, which has a significant role in local economic development.

As stated in the statistical bulletin, in 2021, Sanya's "outlying island tax -free sales achieved retail sales of 38.171 billion yuan, an increase of 76.4%year -on -year, accounting for 70%of the retail sales of consumer goods in the city, driving the retail sales of consumer goods in the whole society by 43.4 percentage points, and the contribution rate was as high as as high 100.7%. "

But outside Hainan, it is more difficult for tourism to create income.

Take Dali City as an example. In 2021, it received 13.895 million tourists, a year -on -year decrease of 2.94%, and achieved total tourism revenue of 18.437 billion yuan, a year -on -year decrease of 23.85%.In 2019, this set of data was 20.622 million, an increase of 11.76%, and revenue of 40.134 billion yuan, an increase of 12.63%.Some people summarize that "the crowds of sparse and tighter wallets" are the "typical scenes" of the Dali tourism industry in the past two years.Another set of data can also see the difficulties--

In 2019, there were 72 travel agencies in Dali, with 1546 practitioners, and a total of 2,993 guest rooms.By 2021, there were 78 travel agencies in the city, 727 employees, and a total number of star hotel rooms.

Not only is popular, but also consumption.This is a common challenge in front of many tourist cities.

Yang Yanfeng mentioned that from the perspective of disposal, the force majeure of the epidemic staying will become a normal job facing tourist operators. "Considering that some local governments can contract, some local governments have insufficient financial resources."It will become a standing option.

Daily Economic News

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