Compete "2000 kilometers of clubs", more than the "third city" that Guangzhou wants

Photo source: Photo Network_501581219

In the past two days, Guangzhou has ushered in two heavy plans.

On August 2nd, the Guangzhou Municipal Rule of Railway was announced to the "Guangzhou Rail Transit Line Plan (2018 ~ 2035)", and a urban rail transit system with a total scale of 52 and 2029 kilometers was drawn.

It is worth noting that the previous round of Guangzhou plan was "Phase III Construction Plan for City Rail Transit (2017 ~ 2023)" approved in 2017. Among them The total mileage of Guangzhou Metro will be stretched sharply by 1004 kilometers.

Last year, in the scale competition in the urban subway, Guangzhou and Chengdu have experienced several times of confrontation, and the attack on the "Third City" continued to be staged. After the release of this plan, compared with Chengdu's previous target of 1666 kilometers of long -term planning line network, the location of Guangzhou's "Rail Trade Third City" seems to be a bit stable.

How can the subway build a new mileage of 1,000 kilometers in Guangzhou, which once fell into a slow speed? In this regard, the plan gives a dual "answer": one is to create an independent network of the Nansha sub -central center, and the other is to use the two centers of the central urban area of ​​Guangzhou to set up 60 minutes directly with the city center of the Bay Area. Foshan and Dongguan's 30 -minute can reach the traffic network.

The movement of Guangzhou south to construct the urban skeleton is more than that. On the 3rd, the "Guidelines for the Coordination and Coordination of the Land and Space Planning of the Guangdong Metropolitan District in Guangdong Province" announced by the Guangdong Provincial Department of Natural Resources showed a "Guidelines for the Rail Transit Structure of the Guangzhou Metropolitan Circle". Among them, Guangzhou Station and Nansha Station extended two horizontal lines to both sides, respectively, and constructed the basic skeleton of the Urban High -speed Railway Network of the Bay Area.

To a certain extent, the traffic accelerated southward, and Guangzhou was further lifting the center of the Bay Area.

Break

Picture source: Guangzhou Metro

Although the "1000 -kilometer club" is still waiting, including Guangzhou, a few cities have put their attention on the vision goal of "2000 kilometers+".

In 2018, the Development and Reform Commission issued the "Approval of the Construction Plan for the Third Phase of the Urban Rail Transit of Shanghai (2018 ~ 2023)". According to the plan, the total length of the network in 2035 is about 2200 kilometers, of which 1043 kilometers of the subway line and 1157 kilometers of urban railway 1157 kilometers Essence

At the end of last year, the draft of the Beijing Rail Transit Line Planning of the Beijing Rail Transit Line "2020 ~ 2035" announced that the total mileage scale of the planning line network was about 2673 kilometers.

Compared with the existing level, the three cities in Beishangguang have basically planned more than doubled. According to the data released by the Ministry of Transport, as of July this year, the mileage of rail transit operation in Shanghai was 825 kilometers, while Beijing and Guangzhou were 783 kilometers and 609.8 kilometers, respectively.

Picture source: WeChat public account of the Ministry of Transportation

This also means that Guangzhou may smoothly open the gap with Chengdu -Chengdu's current mileage is 557.8 kilometers, and the gap with Guangzhou is only about 50 kilometers. According to the vision plan, the Chengdu rail transit mileage is 1666 kilometers. Expand to nearly 400 kilometers.

Photo source: Guangzhou Municipal Rules Self -Bureau

In fact, the competition of the third city of the national rail transit was once anxious -at the end of 2020, Chengdu opened five subway lines in one breath, with a one -time new operating mileage of 216.3 kilometers, reaching a total mileage of 557.8 kilometers, and "squeezed down the weak advantage" squeezed down "Guangzhou, with a total mileage of only 553.2 kilometers.

It is worth noting that among the five new lines in Chengdu, only one or two stages of Line 18 and the total length reaches 69.39 kilometers, contributing more than 30%to the new mileage. As the subway line continues to extend to the periphery of the city, the lines are continuously extended, and a line can often change the ranking between cities.

Last year, in Chengdu, there was no new operating mileage in Chengdu, and Guangzhou once again exerted its efforts, an increase of 40 kilometers to 590 kilometers at one time. This is mainly due to the official opening of the first section of the Guangzhou Metro Line 18. This line is connected to the central and Nansha Free Trade Area with a running speed of 160 km/h.

Right now, there are still 10 rail transit lines in Guangzhou, and there are 9 in Chengdu. The ranking of the two may still exist in the short term.

However, according to the previous approval of the Development and Reform Commission, by 2023, the total leadership of the Guangzhou Rail Transit Network will reach 792 kilometers, while the total mileage of Chengdu from 2024 will be about 692 kilometers.

After just 2 years, the gap between the two may be opened to more than 100 kilometers.

Start accelerate

The construction of the Guangzhou Metro has entered an acceleration period.

In 1997, the Guangzhou Metro Line 1 was officially opened. By 2010, when Chengdu opened the first subway line, Guangzhou had opened the first section of the first Guangfo subway, becoming the first in the country to help the "neighbor" to repair the subway. City.

Picture source: Photo Network 501632646

However, in the next ten years, when cities in various ways chased their heads, the Guangzhou Metro began to involve questioning because of "not fast".

In 2017, some local media found that although the mileage of the Guangzhou Metro Line network ranked third in the country, the intensity of passenger flow far exceeded Beijing, Shanghai and other cities and ranked first in the country. At that time, the data given by Yu Junyan, the deputy chief engineer of the Guangzhou Metro Group Corporation, was that from January to August 2017, the average daily passenger flow of the Guangzhou Metro was 7.51 million, and the highest passenger traffic in a single day reached nearly 9.08 million. Times every kilometer every day. Some analysts point out that the population scale of Guangzhou is equivalent to Beijing and Shanghai, and the interaction of Guangfo is closely interactive. Many Foshan people work, live, shopping, etc. in Guangzhou. The population of the two cities exceeds Beijing and Shanghai. About half of Shanghai, naturally overwhelmed.

Until last year, the situation improved slightly, but it was still not optimistic. According to the "Annual Statistics and Analysis Report of Urban Rail Transit 2021" released by the China Urban Rail Transit Association, last year, the average passenger strength of the Guangzhou full -system comprehensive line network was 131,000 per kilometer per day. The second in the country, second only to the first place in Shenzhen.

Image source: "City Rail Transit 2021 Annual Statistics and Analysis Report"

One of the reasons is that the line construction is not fast enough. At the beginning of this year, the Guangdong Development and Reform Commission adjusted the completion time of the second phase of Line 12, No. 14, and Line 18, all of which were delayed from 2023 to 2024. According to media reports, the progress of the above -mentioned line construction is "unsatisfactory", which eventually causes the situation that is difficult to complete as scheduled.

In addition to the impact of the epidemic, the Guangzhou Metro itself also has a problem of construction.

On the one hand, Guangzhou's geological conditions are complicated. Due to unique and complex geological, structure and hydrological conditions, they are called "Geological Museums". Crossing fracture bands and crushing flood -rich stratum caves may bring geological disasters. A report in 2009 showed that there were 677 hidden dangers of geological disasters in Guangzhou. Among them, 32 collapses were collapsed by planning and subway construction at that time. Safety promotion construction will inevitably require more cautious investigation and prediction, which may bring higher investment.

On the other hand, the industry has a voice pointing out that the construction of the Guangzhou Metro has a greater dependence on finance, especially compared with cities such as Beijing and Shanghai, the enthusiasm of the introduction of social capital seems to be not high enough. Sales may be higher. Data show that from 2011 to 2020, Guangzhou's finances have arranged a total of 161.82 billion yuan in rail transit construction funds, including 85.619 billion yuan in fiscal funds and 76.201 billion yuan in government bond funds.

South

Under the new round of planning, the attitude of the Guangzhou Metro has further improved the problem of congestion.

He Chongming, a first -level investigator of the Guangzhou Planning and Natural Resources Bureau, mentioned that after the implementation of the plan, the mileage of the million population in Guangzhou will reach 101 kilometers. Among the first -tier cities, it will be second only to Beijing 109 kilometers, and it will exceed Shanghai. 88 kilometers and Shenzhen 77 kilometers.

Picture source: Photo Network 501631961

How can the Guangzhou Metro achieve rapid transcendence? Start with the problem first -compared with the multi -center structure of Beijing and Shanghai, Guangzhou's "strong center structure" is more obvious. Regardless of work or leisure, a large number of people will guide the central area. In Guangzhou with a public transport share of up to 61%, the pressure of imbalances in urban structures was borne by the subway, which is inevitable to be congested.

Creating a central diversion will effectively avoid the problems brought by excessive "tie". Judging from the new round of planning, Nansha is the location of the new center.

Overlooking the Guangdong -Hong Kong -Macao Greater Bay Area, the Nansha District of Guangzhou is located in its geographical geometric center. Nansha is 38 nautical miles in Hong Kong and 41 nautical miles in Macau. Within 100 kilometers, all 11 cities of the Guangdong -Hong Kong -Macao Greater Bay Area and the busy international airports such as Guangzhou Airport, Shenzhen Airport, Hong Kong Airport, etc.

The geographical geometric center represents the congenital endowment of the city, but it is necessary to continuously improve the infrastructure in order to turn Nansha into a transportation center and then grow into a functional center.

The new round of planning focuses on Nansha from two aspects, comprehensively enhances the hub function of Nansha's uninhabited external landlord: on the one hand, it is to build a high -speed subway in the city, to shorten the time and space between Nansha's sub -center, peripheral urban areas and central urban areas, and support urban space pattern Essence On the other hand, it is to create an independent rail transit network of Nansha sub -center, quickly link Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Zhuhai -Macao, and support Nansha and Hong Kong and Macao to comprehensively cooperate.

In the "Nansha Plan" released in June this year, Nansha has given Nansha's exploration task of "establishing a benchmark for development of high -quality cities". With the accelerated construction of Nansha's "Bay Bay Area, Coordinated Hong Kong and Macau, and Facing the World", it will also bring policies and resources to the construction of the Guangzhou Metro.

Song Minhua, vice president and secretary -general of the China Municipal Rail Transit Association, pointed out that as the orbit of the city center has become a net, as intercity rail transits connecting the urban circle and urban agglomerations, it will usher in great development.

Image source: "Guidelines for the Coordination of Land and Space Planning of the Metropolitan District in Guangdong Province"

Among the 43 rail transit lines included in Guangzhou this plan, 15 (end) points were extended to the "old partner" Foshan outside the city of Guangzhou. The rest will be connected to Shaoguan, Zhongshan, Dongguan, Huizhou, and further connect with Shenzhen and Zhuhai.

On the basis of strong centers and Nansha, Guangzhou will also further stand up to the center of the Bay Area through the Lianwan District.

Daily Economic News

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