Chinese Men's Football Promotion Foreign Cup prospects: Line without play!The most realistic quota for the top 6

On August 1st, Beijing time, the Asian Football Federation officially announced the number distribution plan for the Asian team in the 2026 World Cup. With the completion of the World Cup, the number of places in Asia's promotion of the World Cup will also increase to 8.5. For the Chinese men's football that has been eager to return to the World Cup stage, this will undoubtedly greatly increase the possibility of the team's promotion. However, considering the strength of the national football team, the prospect seems not too optimistic.

According to the Asian Football Union's plan, the National Football Team will start from the second stage group stage. At that time, 36 teams in Asia will be divided into 9 groups, and the top two of each group will be promoted directly. The competition at this stage is relatively easy, and the pressure on the line is less than the finals of the previous session. However, it is worth noting that the number of "fish" teams in this stage may not be as good as the top 40 of the last 40s, such as the Guam and Maldives in the last 40s of the previous 40s.

Under such circumstances, once the grouping situation is not ideal, then the national football team is not the possibility of turning over the ditch. After all, this situation has appeared during the preliminary preliminaries of the 06, 10, and 14 years.

In the 18th stage, 18 teams will be divided into three groups, and the top two of each group will be promoted directly. Theoretically, the top 8 teams in Asia (Japan, South Korea, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Australia, Qatar, the UAE, Iraq), at least two will be divided into the same group as the national football team. Considering the level of the country's current stage, it is basically hopeless to break through this 2+1 or even 3+1 situation.

Fortunately, as long as you can avoid the bottom of the group competition, you can participate in the fourth stage. At this stage, the six teams will be divided into two groups to compete for the last two places to advance to the World Cup. For the National Football Team, this will be the most critical test of qualifying. At this stage, the opponent's strength should be regressed compared to the top 18, and it will not maintain the advantages of crushing the national football team. Therefore, if the national football team wants to participate in the World Cup, it is necessary to make a difference at this stage; if not, the national football can only win 0.5 outline places and compete with other continents teams, and the possibility of qualifying will be greatly reduced.

According to the latest ranking of FIFA, the Chinese men's football team ranked only 11th in Asia. In other words, even if there are 8.5 outlets in Asia, it is still difficult to fight for the ability of the national football team. In fact, the results of the preliminaries in the last World also confirmed this. The national football team ranked only among the top 12 teams. It was divided into teams such as Syria and Lebanon. What's more, there are teams such as Uzbekistan and Thailand.

Therefore, although the World Cup expansion has increased the hope of the National Football Team to advance to the World Cup, as competitors have risen, the real test of the national football team has just begun.

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