Pelosi may still visit Taiwan, pay attention to these risk points

Visit Taiwan from south to north from Singapore? When flying in South Korea and Japan, "Gasser"? After the visit of Japan and South Korea, "add drama" after the visit? Flying from the Philippine U.S. base to Taiwan? Forces "shrink and visit"?

Professor Qiu Yi, a professor at Taiwan Cultural University, issued a post on social media early in the morning to persuade Perosi: "It's so weird", he said that when Pelosi "may fly to Taiwan at any time," The results of the test results of Biden's new crown virus to yin to yang, and it is even more serious! Qiu Yi said: "Biden was calling for Pelosi to come back and give Pelosi a ladder. Peros of the old rivers and lakes should understand, look back."

On July 30, Pelosi silently boarded the US Air Force C-40C transport aircraft that tens of thousands of netizens tracked from San Francisco and Hawaii to Guam to SPAR19. It wasn't until Perosi ended its trip in Hawaii that Perosi's office issued a press release on July 31 that Perosi's visit to the Asia -Pacific region was Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan. The press release did not mention Taiwan, neither mentioned "may visit Taiwan" nor "not visiting Taiwan".

Pelosi's suspense continued to extend.

On Sunday, July 31, 2022, a man used a magnifying glass to read the Global Times' trip to Perosia in front of a newspaper in Beijing. (Picture of the Associated Press)

"Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives in the United States, has set off in Asia, but it is still a mystery to visit Taiwan." Singapore's "Lianhe Zaobao" said on July 31st, the former DPP "legislator" Guo Zhengliang speculated that Perlis first The station is in Singapore. Therefore, she can visit Taiwan from south to north from Southeast Asia to avoid the Taiwan Strait. If Pelosi travels from Southeast Asia to Taiwan, she may fly from east of Taiwan to Taipei Songshan Airport, so as to avoid the more sensitive west coast and East China Sea on the Taiwan Sea and avoid directly colliding with mainland China. He said that the benefit of this is that the US aircraft carrier "Reagan" is nearby and can keep driving for Pelosi all the way.

After the "Reagan" arrived at the Changi Navy base of Singapore on July 22, she appeared again last week to appear in the South China Sea.

Earlier, the outside world expected that Perosi would go south to Taiwan from Japan, and then continued to visit Malaysia and Singapore. However, if this route is adopted, it will include a sensitive route that passes through the East China Sea. Zhang Youyi, a Taiwanese media person, believes that mainland China in the Pingtan area of ​​Fujian means that the exercise area in Pingtan, Fujian means that if Pelosi visits Taiwan from south to north, she will not fly from the Taiwan Strait to Taiwan. The buses flew to Taiwan.

However, Guo Zhengliang said that he believes that mainland China will not take the route from south to north to Taiwan because of Pelosi, and "will not make a strong response." He said: "As long as Pelosi is landing, it is a sensitive event."

On July 31, a spokesperson for the PLA Air Force announced that the new generation of air refueling engine was carried out in the new era to prepare for military training. Experts believe that this is to declare that the PLA is fully capable of "reaching the eastern part of Taiwan Island" to fight.

Taiwan's "China -Guangzhou News Network" said on the 31st that although the official itinerary released by Pelosi's office did not appear in Taiwan, it was expected that she still had the opportunity to "suddenly visit Taiwan" during the trip. For example, Perlis transferred to Japan and South Korea after the Malaysian itinerary was over. This is the time to visit in the middle. The time is expected to fall on August 2 and 3. Wang Dingyu, the "legislator" of the DPP, speculated that at present, if Perosi visits Asia does not include Taiwan, "the itinerary does not need to be confidential to this extent, so the opportunity to visit Taiwan is still very high."

Shen Yi, director of the International Governance Research Base of Fudan University, analyzed on Weibo on July 31: "Pelosi takes off from Hawaii. In the direction of Singapore, the movement of this direction to visit Taiwan is enough; the second risk point is to end Singapore, Malaysia, and North Korea and Japan, and the middle naturally passes through Taiwan's surrounding airspace; the third risk point is Japan and South Korea visited At the end, do you add a show when returning; the fourth may be a replacement to visit? "

According to the French Radio International, sources said that Perosi "visited Taiwan by the Philippines Clark US Air Force Base on August 4 and met Tsai Ing -wen in Taipei. On the afternoon of the 5th, its special plane will land at Hengtian US Air Force Base in Tokyo, and then meet with Japanese Prime Minister Kishida.

(Source: Global Times)

【Edit: Wang Rongfei】

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