What does the US official Xuan Perosia do not include Taiwan?

Will Pelosi visit Taiwan? As the Speaker of the House of Representatives Pelosi led the Congress to the delegation to Asia on July 29, the mystery of danger has been hanging over the tight atmosphere. For this "unreasonable" interview, for a while, the world has been holding the trend of the real power of the US No. 3 real power, but Peros himself has silent and never confirmed.

On July 31, local time, the official website of the US Speaker's Office finally announced the itinerary of Pelosi, including Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea, and Japan, but did not mention the outside world Taiwan.

Analysts pointed out that no matter whether Pelosi was finally visited, the farce had touched the core interest of China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Also come to Asia to "make fun"

After the Bayeng government came to power, the road administration in the United States had to visit Asia. The Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Vice President, and so on, almost all went to Asia, and the legs and feet were still running out of diligence. In May this year, US President Biden also visited Asia during his opening.

Nowadays, the Assembly also comes to this area to "make fun", and it takes a similar route -ring seal and around China.

In the impression, Congress big guys are usually sitting in the country, and foreign visits are not common. This Asian trip may also be one of the few visits since Pelosi served as the Speaker in 2019. The visit was originally scheduled to be in April, and it was postponed to this day because of Perlice's infection with the new crown virus.

Before departure on the 29th, at the press conference, Pelosi said that Congress must be part of the Bayeng government attaches importance to the Asia -Pacific region. According to the Office of the Speaker, the bank will focus on the mutual safety, economic partnership and democratic governance of the Indo -Pacific region.

Analysts believe that when the Bayeng government promotes the "Indo -Pacific Strategy" in all aspects, this trip reflects the positive cooperation given by Pelosi, which belongs to the Democratic Party, and also shows that the White House of the administrative institution to the legislature of the legislature, the courtyard to work together In order to strengthen the "Indo -Pacific Strategy" to invest more resources.

Yuan Zheng, deputy director of the American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, pointed out that the four countries selected by Pelosi are all allies and partners in the United States. Japan, South Korea, and Singapore are even regarded as an important fulcrum in Asia by the United States. Officials have also visited many times before. Perosi also visited the United States to continue to strengthen the political, economic, diplomatic, etc. of the United States and these countries, assist in promoting the "Indo -Pacific Strategy", and at the same time displaying the values ​​of the Bayeng government.

"Although the speakers have greater the right to speak in domestic affairs, they generally do not assume specific duties to foreign affairs. However, because Congress has two key powers, namely the right to appropriation and the right to appoint government official The "Indo -Pacific Economic Framework 'and infrastructure plans, all need to control the" money bag "Congress to invest in real gold and silver to land. In this sense, Congress is also an inseparable part of US foreign policy." Yuan Zheng said.

However, compared with officials of the administrative departments, the delegation of the Congress delegation has stronger visits and more politeness, and echo the policies of the administrative departments such as the president.

Lan Jianxue, director of the Asia -Pacific Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues, believes that in addition to the "Indo -Pacific Strategy" of the government, consolidating the allies, and the partners of the regional partnership, the election situation is also Perosi visited Asia to visit Asia A major driving force. The mid -term elections are near, but the Democratic Party's election is worrying. Domestic inflation was "high fever", Biden's support fell to the bottom, and the Republican offensive was sharp. The Democratic Party urgently needed to vote for himself through foreign -related activities. In addition, for Pelosi herself, she is 82 years old and is about to retire. She also hopes to leave a wonderful career through a vigorous foreign visit.

What is the purpose of visiting Taiwan?

If it is only a farewell visit before retirement, Peros' Asia trip does not seem to pay much attention. However, when the foreign media reported that the "Gazai" Taiwan stopped, the situation quickly changed.

Once Perosi is successful, it will be the first visit to Taiwan since 1997. Peros has also been the highest -level official of Taiwan who has visited Taiwan over 25 years. And the opportunity to visit Taiwan in August was very sensitive, just to be in the same month as the Chinese Army Festival.

Under the high degree of attention from the outside world, this trip was immediately pushed to the forefront of public opinion. Sino -US relations and the situation of the Taiwan Strait seemed to be thrown down a "timing bomb", which was dangerous at any time.

However, the outside world is curious. What is the purpose of Perosi to visit Taiwan? Moreover, why should I deliberately tease the most sensitive nerves between the relationship between the two countries under the situation where China and the United States have been tense, and use the Taiwan issue to "fuel on the fire"?

Based on the analysis of all parties, in short, there are both strategic calculations and strategic considerations.

Judging from the strategic calculation, one borrowed the "Taiwan card" to lift the Democratic party's election.

Lan Jianxue pointed out that in the atmosphere of curbing China to become a political correctness, the Democratic Party tried to show that it was not lost to the Republican Party by playing the "Taiwan card" when the election was sluggish, and this was a shortcut for tickets.

Some commented that for Pelosi, planning to visit Taiwan is the starting type of election activities. Right now, whether it is the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, the election has not been recruited, so he raises the banner of "anti -China", and Peros is the extreme operation of "Top Taiwan Anti -China" as the Speaker.

Second, consolidate personal prestige and stick to personal resumes.

Regardless of how to cheer up, the outside world predicts that the Democratic Party is likely to lose the control of Congress in the midterm elections. This means that the new parliament will open next year, and Pelosi will no longer be the speakers. Analysts pointed out that from this perspective, Pelosi's personal political career has entered a countdown. She tried to visit Taiwan as a member of the Speaker before leaving, to "add" her resume "in person to resist". Lan Jianxue believes that no matter whether Perosi visits Taiwan, she has fired this topic to achieve the purpose of improving her exposure. From a strategic consideration, it is intended to strengthen Taiwan as an important position of the United States as the "Indo -Pacific Strategy".

Yuan Zheng said that Taiwan has been regarded as an important part in the layout of the "Indo -Pacific Strategy" of the Bayeng government. The United States has increased support for Taiwan in many areas such as economy and military. Especially after the outbreak of the Russian -Ukraine conflict, the United States uses the Ukraine crisis to set the Taiwan issue to develop the so -called "asymmetric combat power" and enhance the US military deployment in the region. "These show that as the United States defines China as the biggest strategic opponent, the motivation of Taiwan has become increasingly strong. Moreover, the Democratic Party also focuses on strengthening the relationship with Taiwan from democracy, human rights, and values."

In addition, foreign media guess that Peross plans to visit Taiwan with her husband's scandal. A few weeks before the U.S. Congress will vote for a chip -related bill, Pero's husband purchased a semiconductor manufacturing company with more than one million US dollars. It was suspected that her husband could start in advance because of the leakage of Pelosi. In order to shift his eyes, Perlis stated his trip to Taiwan so that people no longer stared at their scandal.

In short, Pelosi is 82 years old and is about to retire. "In this case, is she who provides support from Taiwan out of her clear intentions, or is it a 'political performance'?" BBC asked.

Do you have to look at the action after the official announcement?

China has made a clear position on Perlis's plan to visit Taiwan, and expressed firm opposition. When China and the United States had a recent call, China's top leader also warned the United States with a strong wording of "self -immolation" by "playing fire".

In fact, the Biden government was not worried about this. Earlier, Biden interviewed "not a good idea." U.S. State Department spokesman Kury recently said that "no reason" has exacerbated a tension with China because a Chinese policy in the United States has not changed.

There are also rational voices in American public opinion. The Washington Post published an editorial that Pelosi plans to visit Taiwan at present. The New York Times published a joint signature article by Grairi, a well -known American expert Grandi and a senior researcher at the American Institute of Enterprise Research, pointed out that the situation in the Taiwan Strait is becoming increasingly tense, and a spark may upgrade this situation to military conflict, and Perlus's visit to Taiwan may be this spark.

Even former US President Trump shook his head, saying that Perosi would "only make things worse."

As Pelossi may visit Taiwan, the tension coefficient is also being upgraded further.

On Saturday, China held a real -bomb exercise in the waters near Fujian Province, which was considered "warning."

It is also reported that the U.S. military will escort Pelosi's itinerary. At this sensitive moment, the US "Reagan" aircraft carrier battle group has left the South China Sea and entered the waters of the East of the Philippines.

According to the US media, although the Pentagon has long said that there has been this plan, as a preventive measure, the Ministry of National Defense sometimes transfers military assets to areas that are closer to high -level leaders and officials.

Lan Jianxue pointed out that Pelosi's adventure has caused the situation in the Taiwan Strait to end the crisis and increase the risk of military conflict in the region. Judging from the situation of the tension between the Bayeng government before, its control capabilities and the ability to deal with geopolitical crises are significantly declined.

Faced with the "top" opposition of the Chinese side, the questioning and persuasion of public opinion, would Pelosi insist on visiting Taiwan?

At present, the itinerary announced by the House of Representatives does not include Taiwan, but public opinion believes that it also depends on practical actions.

Yuan Zheng believes that the official announcement itinerary does not include Taiwan, and it has indicated that the Chinese side has repeatedly warned that the United States has to worry about the United States and reduce the irritating factors.

"Regardless of whether Pelosi visits Taiwan, this incident has touched the core interest of China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity. China has been prepared for anything possible." Peros can also see that Taiwan has been hit to the extreme, and the space for playing cards in the future will become smaller and smaller.

Yuan Zheng also pointed out that from the previous former US officials and senators visited Taiwan to the farce of Perlus to visit Taiwan, a huge warning was given. The United States not only repeatedly violated the three joint communiqués of China and the United States, but even the so -called so -called the United States themselves. The "Relationship Law with Taiwan" is also breaking through. The latter stipulates that only non -official relations such as the development of economy, culture, and society in Taiwan. Although the Assembly is not an official official, as the leader of the legislature, the official color is very strong. Its intention to visit Taiwan shows that the United States is moving towards Taiwan's diplomatic relations in Taiwan, and constantly vagueness and emptying a China principle.

Liberation Daily · Shangguan News Original manuscript, reprinting without permission

Author: Liao Qin

WeChat editor: Miss Pi

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