The supply and demand has shrunk significantly, and the price of real estate companies exchanged the price of Guiyang with real estate "helping the down payment"

Although before the "May 1st" this year, Guiyang issued the new policy of the "4 · 28" property market. Through five major categories and 17 new regulations, it continued to optimize and enhance the business environment in the real estate field to better meet the people's reasonable demand for house purchase, which led Both ends of the supply have risen to varying degrees in the short term, and the average transaction price is steadily rising.

However, multi -party data shows that the supply and marketing of commercial housing in Guiyang in the first half of this year appeared "double decline" year -on -year.

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of new commercial housing in Guiyang in March and April this year has briefly rose, but then returned to the decline in May and June.

"Guiyang belongs to cities with weak population flow. The demand for housing for the development of the property market is low, the industry coverage and diversity are low, the population has an outflow tendency, or the housing price is insufficient to a certain extent." Zhuge finds the data of the house Research Center Analyst Guan Rongxue told the Daily Economic News reporter through WeChat on July 27.

Guiyang is a picture of the real estate vision in Guiyang

The core area of ​​the core area is stable

"Compared with the previous two years, the house prices in Guiyang have indeed decreased. The average places such as Jinyang, Nanming, and Yunyan have dropped by about 1,000 to 2000 yuan per square meter. On the day, Zhang Ping (pseudonym), a broker of Guiyang Chain Home, told the reporter of the Daily Economic News on the phone.

Taking the Poly Poly Kingdom in Jinyang as an example, the average price of high -rise transactions in the project in 2019 was maintained at about 11,000 yuan/square meter. However, there are currently a small amount of tail -to -end listings left, and the average price of the current house is 9,500 yuan/square meter.

"The price reduction situation depends on the location and floor of the property." Zhang Ping said that the price reduction rate of 1,500 yuan per square meter is not large. "The house prices in these places are basically about 20,000 yuan/square meter. However, compared to 40%~ 50%of the price reduction of Gui'an, Huaxi and other places, the price of houses in the core area is relatively stable. "

In fact, since this year, the Guiyang property market still has a "price exchange". Real estate promotion content covers the down payment installment, total price discounts, parking spaces, and property fees, such as Wanda Ecological City, Yunyan Fu, China Resources Jiuyue In the first half of this year, the projects chose to discount sales.

"Affected by the epidemic, in order to pull the sales, some real estate companies also repay the payment as soon as possible, and there is also a low down payment." Zhang Ping held an example that if the total price is 1 million yuan in some projects such as Huaxi, Economic Development Zone, and Wudang. According to Guiyang's New Deal in April this year, the lowest down payment is calculated by 20 %. Buyers should down payment of 200,000 yuan, but some projects will disguise the price in disguise in the way of "help buyers pay the down payment".

The so -called "help payment of the down payment" is that buyers only need to pay 10 % or 20 % of the down payment. No house buyers need to be returned. As for why this measure is taken, Zhang Ping said, "The government has stipulated that the sales price cannot be lower than a certain percentage of the filing price." However, she also said that there are only a few real estate operations in this way. "And generally speaking, it is a real estate with relatively biased locations and smaller projects."

However, compared with exaggerated promotional methods such as the "50 % off" and "buy one get one free" that appeared last year, it is much more rational.

According to data from Guiyang Zhenghe Agency, in the first half of this year, the supply and transactions of the new houses in Guanshan Lake District exceeded 300,000 square meters, leading the Guiyang property market; while Huaxi, Economic Development Zone, Wudang and other areas, regional sales have expanded to 30%~ 50 month -on -month %, The transaction volume of Wudang District fell to the bottom. In addition, Qingzhen, Gui'an New District, Longli and other areas have shown a trend of volume and price plunge.

According to Zhuge's house data, in the first half of this year, the number of new houses in Guiyang was 22,590 square meters, a year -on -year decrease of 29.1%; the transaction area was 279 square meters, a year -on -year decrease of 22.8%.

In addition, data of the National Bureau of Statistics also show that the same period year -on -year, Guiyang's house prices fell 0.2%; compared with June 2019, Guiyang's second -hand house prices fell 11%.

In fact, since 2018, the Guiyang property market has brought a high price that does not match the current regional development due to the rise in housing prices, and the regional differentiation trend of the return of buyers: the hot spot area rises, and some sectors have begun to decline in declines. Essence

Especially in 2021, affected by factors such as the launch of the "three reforms" of Guiyang, the thunderstorm of real estate companies, and the epidemic, Yunyan, Nanming, and Guanshan Lake became the supporting area of ​​anti -decline and price in the Guiyang property market. The price replacement is in sharp contrast.

Guiyang property market supply and demand shrinks

It is worth noting that in the four southwest provinces (cities), Guiyang lags behind Chengdu, Chongqing and Kunming in terms of transaction area and house prices.

Specifically, the price of the National Bureau of Statistics shows that in 2020, the prices of new houses in Chongqing, Chengdu, and Kunming rose by 12%, 10.2%, and 1.8%respectively, while the house prices in Guiyang fell 0.2%; It shows that in the first half of this year, Guiyang's commercial residential residential transactions were 1.58 million square meters. In contrast, Chongqing was 6.49 million square meters, Chengdu was 8.5 million square meters, and Kunming was 19.139 million square meters.

"The real estate market of the four southwestern provinces and cities has become more obvious. According to the data index of the hundred cities in the middle of 2022, Chengdu -Chongqing Shuangcheng has risen significantly compared with June 2020, but the reasons for the rise of Shuangcheng are different." On the 27th, Dai Xiaohong, deputy director of the Research Institute of Zhongzhi Research Institute, told the Daily Economic News reporter via WeChat. Dai Xiaohong further stated that Chengdu has strong market toughness and relatively good market volume and price performance. Chongqing is mainly affected by product structure adjustment, driving rising house prices. "Guiyang and Kunming have relatively poor performance. Among them, Guiyang's house prices have increased the smallest than two years ago. On the one hand, they are affected by the epidemic and real estate companies, and the market confidence is insufficient. On the other hand, the urban purchasing power is relatively insufficient than the remaining three cities, and the demand end has shrunk significantly. "

In addition to the transaction of commercial housing, there are also land markets. According to Zhenghe data, the total supply of land and Gui'an land in the first half of the year was 4.45 million square meters. Compared with 5.9976 million square meters in the same period in 2020, it decreased by 25.79%, and the 8.3149 million square meters in the same period in 2021 decreased by 46.47%.

However, despite such a low supply situation, the transaction volume of Guiyang in the first half of the year was only 1.439 million square meters, accounting for 32.33%; it decreased by 67.21%and 71.45%from the same period in 2020 and 2021, respectively. The land transaction amount of 2.783 billion yuan accounted for only about one -fifth of 2020 and one -tenth of 2021. Among the few transaction plots, the platform company is still the main force of land.

In addition, in the first half of the year, the number of land ancestors that Guiyang terminated the transfer was 9, with an area of ​​about 871,900 square meters, of which there were high -quality plots such as Guanshan Lake and Baiyun.

"There are two main reasons for this phenomenon: first, the high amount of land in Guiyang in the past few years, and the market inventory is large; the other is that due to the low market volume and price transaction, the company lacks market confidence." Dai Xiaohong analyzed that in real estate investment Although Guiyang's real estate development investment has grown relatively rapidly, the growth rate in the first half of 2022 has actually narrowed significantly compared with last year.

Daily Economic News

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