In June, the output cycle exceeds 20 months.

In 2019, Wang Xu (a pseudonym) bought a house in the second ring of Shijiazhuang for nearly 2 million yuan. Get more. "

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, since October last year, the sales price index of Shijiazhuang's new house decreased by 4 months in a row. By February this year, it stabilized. The month of the month decreased by 0.3%and 0.2%, respectively. On the whole, compared with two years ago, the price index of Shijiazhuang's new house decreased by 6.5%year -on -year, a decrease of 2.4%from 5 years ago.

Zhuge's house data also shows that in February this year, the transaction price of Shijiazhuang's new house has risen, reaching the highest point in the first half of the year, which is 15,866 yuan/square meter; the overall decline in the overall decline in May, among which the lowest point in the first half of this year this year is the lowest point in the first half of this year this year. That is, 12540 yuan/square meter; although there was a slight recovery in June, the price level was not as good as March, and it also decreased by 3.11%compared with the same period last year.

"Since the fourth quarter of last year, the price of new houses in Shijiazhuang has performed relatively low." Liu Aiqin, deputy general manager of Shijiazhuang Company of the China Finger Research Institute, said in an interview with WeChat reporters on Daily Economic News on July 27 that the turnover of Shijiazhuang's new house market in June declined It is still large, but the volume and price rises from the previous month. The new housing market has gradually stabilized under the bottom of the policy. The market is expected to stabilize in the second half of the year, and the market is expected to slowly recover.

House prices fell to more than 10,000 yuan

Wang Xu is a broker of Shijiazhuang Chainjia. In 2019, he had two years of experience at that time. He chose to buy his first house in the second ring.

"At that time, the average price of Shijiazhuang's new house was the average price of 17,000 yuan/square meter at the highest price in 2017, a decrease of 2000 ~ 3,000 yuan/square meter." On July 27, Wang Xu told the "Daily Economic News" reporter that he was at that time that he was at that time. The house I bought is considered a good location in Shijiazhuang. The highest price can reach more than 20,000 yuan/square meter. "But after the preferential discount of developers and our platform at that time, it was about 18,000 yuan/square meter."

Public information shows that due to the overall hotness of the national property market at that time, Shijiazhuang housing prices began quickly in 2016. At the beginning of the year, the average price of projects in the second ring road in the urban area was only 7,000 ~ 8,000 yuan/square meter. The price turned over, reaching 15,000 yuan/square meter, and even some high -end projects sold to 25,000 ~ 30,000 yuan/square meter.

In order to curb the rapidly rising house prices, Shijiazhuang introduced the property market regulation policy for the first time on March 17, 2017, requiring non -household registration residents to purchase a house restriction, and it needs to provide a continuous payment of 12 months and above for the past two years. Certificate of income tax tax or social insurance payment certificate.

However, the purchase restriction policy failed to cool the market, and the house prices of Shijiazhuang continued to rise. On September 23, 2017, Shijiazhuang introduced a stricter property market policy again, stipulating that non -family residents' households restricted a house for household registration, and must provide a personal income tax certificate of personal income tax or social insurance payment for 24 months and above in the past 3 years. Prove; all newly purchased housing (including new commercial housing and second -hand housing) shall not be listed and traded within 5 years.

Strict purchase and sales restriction policies quickly freeze the Shijiazhuang property market. 58 Anjuke data shows that in October 2017, the average price of the new house of Shijiazhuang reached 17734 yuan/square meter, and then opened the continuous decline mode: the average price in 2018 was about 16,000 yuan/square meter shock, and 2019 was in 2019 at in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019, in 2019 It wandered about 15700 yuan/square meter, stabilized at about 15,300 yuan/square meter in 2020, and fell to 13344 yuan/square meter in 2021. The latest data shows that as of June this year, the average price of Shijiazhuang's new house was 13408 yuan/square meter.

"At that time, I decided to start, that is, considering that it has been dropped for two years, Shijiazhuang's house prices should not have dropped." Wang Xu told reporters, but what he did not expect was that the house prices could drop so much in the past two years. "If" if You buy the first house or improve the demand, and it is very suitable to buy a house at this stage. "

In Wang Xu's view, the house prices in Shijiazhuang are more friendly now. As a provincial capital, compared with other cities in the surrounding cities, it is not actually high. "At present, the average prices of cities such as Hengshui, Xingtai, Handan, and Baoding are close to 10,000, and now many projects have discounts, and it will be a lot cost -effective." In the case of certainty, it is recommended to start with caution. "

"As a provincial capital city, Shijiazhuang has obvious advantages. The first has many people. The continuous construction of the second city infrastructure has also injecting vitality for the development of the real estate market. However, under the impact of the epidemic factors and the impact of policy rotation, the overall fluctuations in the housing market fluctuations are large. "Liu Aiqin said that according to the data index of the middle finger hundred city, since the fourth quarter of last year, the price of Shijiazhuang's new house has performed relatively low. Compared with October 2021, the price of new houses fell 0.11%.

"Price change" becomes the norm

In fact, the Shijiazhuang new house market has continued to undergo pressure since this year.

According to the data of Zhuge's house finding a house, from January to June this year, the number of new house transactions of Shijiazhuang was 1778 sets, 1176 sets, 1655 sets, 2112 sets, 2154 sets and 2898 sets; the transaction area was 20,300 square meters, 136,300 square meters, 192,100 square meters, 244,900 square meters, 251,900 square meters and 343,000 square meters. Judging from the data of each month, in the first half of this year, Shijiazhuang's new house transaction area in January alone increased by more than 350%compared with last year, and the transaction area of ​​the remaining months fell by more than 40%year -on -year. In March, it declined more than 60%. "5. In June, the transaction volume rose, which was mainly affected by the stimulus of Shijiazhuang New Deal at the end of April." Wang Xu told reporters, but this wave of quotes did not last long. Recently, the transaction of Shijiazhuang's new house market has shown an upward trend, which is not related to the price reduction promotion of multiple projects. "

According to Wang Xu, many projects in Shijiazhuang have given prices in the name of liquidation and retreating listings since this year. Some projects have given the first visiting customers to give a discount of 20 % of the record price.

"The project is now mainly promoted to the house. On the basis of the original total price, the maximum performance discount is 450,000 yuan, and at the same time, it also enjoys the same two 99 % discounts of the same type." On July 27, the reporter of "Daily Economic News" as a buyer as a buyer. Locked a real estate hotline located in the North Second Ring Road in Shijiazhuang. The project consultant said that the project is currently mainly pushed 88-141 square meters. Meter.

In addition, the reporter also learned that many real estate projects such as Zhongye Daxian Royal Mansion, Longhu Tianyi, and Zhengdingxi Lake 3 have different levels of preferential measures.

“受市场环境影响，基本上每个项目都有一定程度的优惠，价格比较合适，加上房贷利率也比较低，近期确实是购房的好时机。”在采访中，多位石家庄当地经纪人和Real estate real estate consultants told reporters.

According to the data of Zhuge's house finding a house, in February this year, the transaction price of Shijiazhuang's new house has risen, reaching the highest point in the first half of the year, which is 15,866 yuan/square meter. From May to May, the overall decline is declining. Among them, the lowest point in the first half of this year is that in April 12540 yuan/square meter. Although it rose slightly in June, it was less than the price level in March, and decreased 3.11%compared with the same period last year.

"In fact, after the policy, although the market is still increasing, the price reduction is relatively small." Wang Xu told reporters that especially some projects with obvious advantages in geographical location and product design, such as Zhonghai Yunjin, Poly · · · · The prices of Reading Territories and Vanke some projects have risen, "and after rising, it is better to sell."

"Since last year, it is expected to become weak, insufficient internal demand, and other factors have led to the sluggish consumption in the real estate market, and the living environment of real estate companies has become increasingly difficult. Housing companies urgently need plenty of cash flow to resist the risks brought by the downward market. Based on this, It is also a fact that Shijiazhuang's property market has become the norm. "Liu Ainqin told the reporter of" Daily Economic News "that since April this year, the regulatory policies have been introduced intensively in various places, which aims to stabilize price, housing prices, and expected; The year -on -year decline in volume is still large, but the volume and price rises from the previous month. The new housing market has gradually stabilized under the bottom of the policy. The market is expected to stabilize in the second half of the year, and the market is expected to slowly recover.

According to Kerry's data, as early as the end of July 2020, the broad inventory of Shijiazhuang had exceeded 100 million square meters. By the end of June this year, this scale still reached more than 100 million square meters.

According to the data of the Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, the monthly destocking cycle of Shijiazhuang in the first half of this year (the inventory of the newly -built commercial housing in the month/the average value of the new commercial residential transaction area in the past six months) is 10 months and above. The destocking cycle has reached 20.2 months.

Daily Economic News

- END -