The Fed announced the 75 basis points of interest rate hikes, Powell released the pace of interest rate hikes or slowed down signals
Author:Securities daily Time:2022.07.28
In the early morning of July 28, Beijing time, the reporter Chu Lijun announced that the Federal Reserve announced 75 basis points to raise interest rates, raising the federal fund interest rate to 2.25%to 2.5%. Fed Chairman Powell said that he did not think that the United States had fallen into a decline, and the Fed will decide the range of interest rate hikes in the future based on the upcoming economic data, but at the same time pointed out that as interest rates tighten, slowing down interest rate hikes may be appropriate. Market analysts generally believe that the interest rate hike meets market expectations. Affected by the news, on July 27, local time, the three major indexes of US stocks rose collectively. Among them, the Dow Jones Index rose 1.37%to 32197.59 points; the S & P 500 index rose 2.62%to 4023.61 points; the Nasdaq index rose up 4.06%, at 12032.42 points, the largest single -day increase since April 2020. In terms of individual stocks, technology stocks rose 7.74%, Google -C rose 7.6%, Microsoft rose 6.69%, Amazon rose 5.37%, Apple rose 3.42%; Chinese stocks rose and declined, New Oriental rose 7.03%. The road rose 4.73%, Bilibili rose 4.49%, Vipshop would rise 2.51%, Tuniu fell 3.17%, daily fresh fell 4%, and rooms fell 5.26%. Regarding the market performance of US stocks, Chen Li, chief economist and director of the Institute of Sichuan Cai Securities interviewed by a reporter from the Securities Daily, said that the interest rate hike was 75 basis points in the second consecutive month of interest rate hikes. On the whole, the Fed did not adopt a more aggressive interest rate hike policy this time. Fed Chairman Powell even released a signal of interest rate hikes or will slow down after the meeting. The US stock market rebounded significantly after the meeting. "From the resolution of this meeting, it can be seen that the US economy has recently showed a signal that has slowed down. The Fed began to consider the negative impact of tightening monetary policy on economic growth. From the perspective The interest rate hike will depend on key data such as future inflation, economy and employment. From the speeches after the Fed's chairman, the possibility of the Fed's continuous interest rate hike is less likely, and the possibility of raising interest rates in September is 50 50 rate hikes 50 in September 50 The base point is expected to remain at about 3.5%at the end of the year. In terms of inflation, the price of global grain and commodities in the world has shown a trend of shocks. In the quarter, American inflation will fall. On the whole, the Fed's signal released the signal of pigeons to a certain extent relieved the panic of the market. U.S. stocks may have room for repair in the short term. Increasing stress and core inflation have not been eased, "Chen Li further pointed out. Regarding the US stock market outlook, "If the market expects, the Fed's 75 -basis point of interest rate hikes has not impact on the US stock market, and the three major indexes have increased significantly after clarifying the interest rate hike. The level of inflation changes, but the subsequent interest rate hike may have declined. For more than a month, U.S. stocks have proved the bottom of the market interval, and the market will also have a rebound performance in the interest rate hike cycle. At the end of the year, the market risk of the US stock market needs to control the position in the second half of the year. "Yin Xinxin, the founder of Benniu Investment, told reporters. Li Jinlong, general manager of the Reagan Fund, believes that after the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) resolution, the market is eased in concerns about growth. U.S. stocks also rebounded sharply, and the statement of pigeons reduced investors' expectations of market decline. The US economy is facing the risk of stagflation or even decline. The stage of large and intensive interest rate hikes is passing. The follow -up rate hike rhythm may slow down. Therefore, it is expected that the short -term rebound of US stocks should continue, but the risk of operation will increase. Liu Youhua Liu Youhua, deputy director of the Wealth Research Department, holding a cautious point of view, said in an interview with the Securities Daily reporter that the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike boots landed, which met market expectations, which led to the rise of U.S. stocks. At present, the US inflation is high. The US CPI increased by 9.1%year -on -year in June, the largest increase in more than 40 years, which means that the Fed ’s interest rate hike process has not ended, but the Federal Reserve’ s interest rate hike will cause economic recess Therefore, U.S. stocks will have a high probability to enter the stage of killing. And according to past experience, the bear market caused by this round of economic recession is not enough, whether the adjustment time and the adjustment of adjustment. U.S. stocks may need to wait until the fourth quarter, that is, after the Fed's suspension of interest rate hikes, this paragraph, this paragraph, this section may In time, US stocks will show a weak trend as a whole.
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