Russia loses half of the European, and the problem of dying in Europe: "How do you live this winter?"

[Global Times Special Reporter in Russia Sui Xin Global Times Special reporter in Germany Aoi] "If Russia cuts off its natural gas supply to Europe" -This assumption seems to be more and more likely to become a reality. Russia's Natural Gas Industry Co., Ltd. (Russia Gas) announced on the 25th that due to technical reasons, the supply of gas supply from the "Beixi-1" natural gas pipeline will drop from the 27th to half, that is, 20%of the maximum gas supply. Ukrainian President Zelezki immediately accused Russia of launching a "open natural gas war" against Europe, calling on Europe to strengthen sanctions against Russia. On the 26th, the EU member states held a meeting to decide to "make a pre -system" and reduce the use of Russian natural gas to reach a "political agreement". It is worth noting that the Russian natural gas has not been touched in the six rounds of sanctions from Russia issued by the European Union, because Russia is an important source of the energy of many EU countries, especially Germany. The natural gas losing is considered by Russia's "sprinkle" by Russia. After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine conflict, the price of natural gas in Europe this year has almost tripled. The actions that have repeatedly reduced the supply of gas to the EU will not achieve the goal of storing enough natural gas before the winter comes. "How do you spend this winter?" Become a problem facing many European countries.

Russia gives reasons for action

The "Beixi-1" pipeline is connected to Russia and Germany. It is currently Russia's major gas pipeline against Europe. The full load gas supply is about 160 million cubic meters per day. Recently, Russia and the West have carried out multiple rounds of contests around the return of turbines, natural gas supply and sanctions. In mid-June, Russia's Siemens Company did not repay Russia's renovated turbine in a timely manner, and the natural gas supply to Germany will be reduced by nearly 60%through the "Beixi-1". cubic meter. The turbine was sent to Canada for repair. On July 11, the "Beixi-1" suspended gas transmission and launched annual routine maintenance. On the morning of the 21st, the gas supply was restored, but the gas supply was only about 40%of the full load capacity.

Therefore, when Russia announced on the 25th that it once again reduced the supply of natural gas loss, almost immediately caused a shock in international media. According to the Russian statement, in view of the end of the maintenance interval and the technical condition of the turbine, another turbine machine of the "Beixi-1" pipeline will be forced to stop operation. Wanlian meter. The statement also stated that although the Canadian side agreed to return to the Russian turbine by Germany, the Canadian license documents did not eliminate the risk of sanctions and would "cause more problems." Russia requires Siemens to provide necessary documents and instructions to avoid turbines from being taken away tomorrow.

After Russia announced the news, the German Ministry of Economic Affairs soon issued a statement saying that Russia had nothing to do with technology, but punished Europe. The New York Times reported that observer believes that Russian's move is intended to use Russia's energy export as a means to punish and split Europe. Good, because it can manipulate the market and strengthen geopolitical influence. "

Reuters said on the 26th that Russia's loss of natural gas in the European Union was too low to meet the EU's storage goals before the winter. As a whole, the European Union plans to increase the natural gas storage capacity to 80%by November 1 to provide a buffer for the peak of winter demand. Data show that so far, European natural gas storage capacity is 66%.

"Winter is here, we don’t know how cold it will be"

On the 26th local time, the Energy Minister of EU countries held a meeting in Brussels to discuss the EU Commission's previous natural gas plans. EU member of the EU, who is responsible for energy affairs, said before the meeting that Russia's reduction of the supply of European natural gas is "out of political motivation", "we must prepare for this. Strategy".

According to a German TV report on the 26th, the EU countries reached an agreement on the winter of this winter. The EU's rotating chairman of the Czech Republic confirmed this. The draft resolutions approved by the meeting on the day stated that the EU member states will do everything possible to voluntarily consume the natural gas consumption from August 1st, 2022 to March 31, 2023, which is at least 15 than the average natural gas consumption in the same period of the previous five years in the first five years of the first five years. %. "All member states should save natural gas to help countries that rely on Russia's natural gas, such as Germany." The main purpose of the plan is to reduce the risks that the Russian natural gas supply is completely interrupted. Gagold, State Secretary of the Federal Economic and Climate Protection Department of Germany, was very satisfied with this. He wrote on Twitter: "Most countries support the European Union, only Hungarian opposition." The EU's plan completely ignores the interests of the Hungarian people and is "irreplaceable."

According to media reports, the "political resolution" adopted by the European Union on the same day was the result of compromise in all parties. Some member states such as Ireland, Cyprus, Malta, and Spain and Portugal all were "exceptions" and no need to comply with relevant regulations. The United States CNN said that considering the different degree of dependence on Russia's natural gas and the level of storage of Russia, the opposition from some countries has prompted the EU to make significant concessions in the past few days. Minister of Industry and Trade Sikela said at a press conference on the 26th that countries have reached a "satisfactory compromise". "Winter is here, we don’t know how cold it will be." Share in pain ". Europe is divided into "two camps"

The Associated Press said on the 26th that the draft agreement reached by the European Union on the day was to "coordinate" the natural gas consumption of various countries. It is reported that a sign is that the Energy Minister canceled a clause in the draft, which gave the European Commission to the power of voluntary operations from various countries to compulsory action. The new draft ensures that any decision on compulsory measures is in the hands of EU member states. The ownership of each country decides to announce the emergency state of natural gas, not the European Commission.

Russia's "Moscow Communist Youth League Member Daily" reported on the 26th that the sharp decrease in Russian natural gas supply has divided Europe into two camps. According to the article, the European Union's original plans tried to force countries to reduce natural gas consumption, and European countries led by Spain and Portugal have raised objections, because these countries and EU's natural gas pipe networks are relatively isolated. Spanish Deputy Prime Minister Ribella said last week that her country was required to make "incomparable sacrifice" and Portugal's "completely opposed" proposals. Greece also opposed the 15%goals set up by the European Union, saying that it had a heavy burden on the Greek economy and consumers.

As the largest economy in the European Union and the country with the highest degree of dependence on Russia, Germany is particularly difficult. According to Germany, this winter, Germany must save more natural gas than other countries to prevent Russia from stopping natural gas supply to the German economy. The Director of the German Federal Network Administration Miller and others called for about 20%. Only in this way can the worst situation be avoided.