Domestic refined oil prices welcomes "three consecutive declines" and full box of 92 gasoline province 12 yuan

Author:Securities daily Time:2022.07.27

Reporter Du Yumeng

Affected by the broad shocks of international crude oil prices, during this round of pricing cycle, the rate of change in crude oil continued to operate in the negative interval, and the retail price of domestic refined oil was reduced again. On July 26, the National Development and Reform Commission announced that since 24:00 on July 26, 2022, domestic auto and diesel prices (standard products, the same below) have been reduced by 300 yuan and 290 yuan, respectively. , No. 95 gasoline, No. 0 diesel reduced 0.24 yuan, 0.25 yuan, and 0.25 yuan, respectively.

"After the retail price of this round of refined oil is reduced, the cost of consumer consumers in the short -term residents will fall again." Zhuo Chuang Information refined oil analyst Wang Luqing said that taking a house with a fuel tank capacity of 50L as an example, full box 92 is full. The number of gasoline will spend 12 yuan less than before.

The reporter noticed that with the implementation of the policy to reduce the policy, the first "three consecutive declines" of the retail price of refined oil will be reached. At that time, the cumulative decline of gasoline and diesel will be 980 and 945 yuan, and the folding price 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline, and No. 0 diesel will be reduced by 0.77 yuan, 0.81 yuan, and 0.80 yuan, respectively.

From the perspective of this year, after this price adjustment, the retail price of domestic refined oil products has undergone 14 adjustments, that is, "ten rises and four declines". After the rise and fall, the cumulative steam and diesel have risen a total of 1,740 yuan/ton, 1,675 yuan/ton, respectively. The folding price 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline, and No. 0 diesel are 1.37 yuan, 1.44 yuan, and 1.42 yuan, respectively.

Huang Qianqian, an analyst of Zhongyu News Oil Oil, said that during this round of pricing cycle, the international crude oil market was uncomfortable. First, the US dollar strengthening, weak prospects for demand under the epidemic, and slowing global economy worry that it has exacerbated the price of oil, and the international crude oil has declined sharply; then due to factors such as the depreciation of the US dollar, international crude oil prices have risen slightly, but the overall decline is still falling.

Wang Luqing also said that although the market questioned Opec's large increase in production, under the influence of multiple factors, international crude oil prices showed a "resistance" decline as a whole. Essence

Looking forward to the market outlook, Xu Na, an analyst of Zhuochuang Information refined oil, believes that in the future, the market will mainly focus on the Federal Reserve's interest conference and the final result of the OPEC+conference. If the supply side cannot be effectively released, the strong trend of the recent natural gas is superimposed or driving market emotions. It is expected that the trend of international crude oil prices to decline and continue to decline; but on the other hand, the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike and shrinkage will make the category make the major category. Falling assets may become a general trend. Comprehensive analysis, it is expected that international oil prices or overall will show a weak shock in the short term.

In an interview with the Securities Daily reporter, Liu Siyuan, the chief analyst of Lingxiu Finance, said that the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike supported a strong US dollar strategy. In addition, the panic of the market has gradually faded, or the price of international crude oil will return to about $ 100/barrel. On the whole, short -term international crude oil prices will fluctuate near $ 100/barrel, and from the medium -term perspective, it may even be adjusted to nearly $ 80/barrel.

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