The end of the Scholars of the Greater Bay Area Chief Economist Forum "steadily grow" to achieve a 5.5%growth rate in the second half of the year

Cao Yuan, a reporter from Southern Finance and Economics, reported that "the next breakthrough in the future development of China's economy, the strategic position of the Guangdong -Hong Kong -Macao Greater Bay Area is very important.

On July 24, the two -day 2022 Greater Bay Area Chief Economist Forum ended. Professor Xiong Wei, Dean of the Academy of Economics and Management of Shenzhen Higher Financial Research Institute and the Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen), said that under the context of the repeated epidemic, the economies of various countries still face severe challenges: the supply chain crisis is still continuing, energy prices are high, And inflation also caused "stagnation" concerns. At the same time, developed countries have entered the interest rate hike period, and developing countries such as China also face hot money outflows.

The forum was co -sponsored by the Shenzhen Institute of Higher Financial Research and the Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen). The former chairman of the China Banking Regulatory Commission Liu Mingkang said in the keynote speech that facing the new driving force of social and economic development, professional thinking and research are an important task. "Internationally, the" resonance "formed by the trend and speed of the currency policy adopted by inflation is the biggest challenge formed today." In the face of these pressures, Liu Mingkang believes that he needs to find another way. "Developed countries are embracing the digital era. U.S. stock market performances have recently risen in FAMG+and semiconductor and biological science stock markets. Since this year (YTD) has risen 5%-7%. Actual work, I want to take this path to be able to adapt to the current complex situation changes, and it can adapt to the needs of customers' needs. "

In Liu Mingkang's view, digitalization is changing the society. How to use ESG's biggest mechanism and strength to cognition and cope with the changes and impacts brought about by digitalization is very necessary. The coordinated construction and in -depth discussions of digital transformation and ESG will help solve the three major difficulties or work points: First, design the organization, the rule of law and mechanism structure, and promote people's thoughts and ideas at the government and enterprises. Change. The second is the construction and landing of culture. Third, there must be a system of scientific and sound determination goals, sequencing, judging process, and focusing on results.

Liu Shijin, deputy director of the Economic Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and former deputy director of the Development Research Center of the State Council, shared his views on the current "steady growth" of the national economy. "The priority is to strive to return to a normal running track as soon as possible. Maybe a goal can be proposed, that is, strive to achieve a 5.5%growth rate in the second half of the year, so that the average annual economic growth should be around 4%." To achieve the goal of growth in the second half of the year, the most important uncertainties are the epidemic. However, it is still necessary to strive to form a comparative, expected, and general economic operating environment.

In addition, Liu Shijin emphasized that in the short term or medium and long term, the foothold of the steady growth should be placed to the structural potential of stimulating the supply side. He proposed a structural potential framework of "1+3+2" in the medium -speed growth period. "The so-called '1' is the development of the urban circle urban agglomeration as the leader. Probably China for a long time in the future, at least 60%-70%of the new growth momentum is within this range. The so-called '3' is supplement The three major shortcomings: the basic industry is not high, the scale of the middle income group is not large, and the basic research and development capacity is not strong. The so -called '2' is the new economic growth momentum. I call it two "wings", the digital economy and green green Development. "He also said that steady growth needs to persist in continuously deepening reform and opening up, stabilizing expectations, and release of structural potential.

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