Will unmanned delivery vehicles replace takeaway delivery offers and courier?

Recently, the Social Science Literature Publishing House and the China Automobile Industry Association and other jointly released the "Blue Book of Automobile Industry: The Development Report of the Chinese Commercial Automobile Industry (2022)". According to this report, the end -of -end delivery car of the autonomous driving will develop rapidly in the next five years. It is estimated that by 2025, China's autonomous driving end distribution market will reach 60,000 vehicles.

The Blue Book pointed out that the end distribution refers to the logistics distribution service directly facing consumers, which mainly includes service scenarios such as express delivery, items transportation, and takeaway food delivery. Then, a problem occurs. Will the rapidly developing unmanned delivery vehicles replace takeaway delivery and courier, or in the field of takeaway and courier, will "machine substitutions" occur.

In fact, informatization and intelligence are the general trend of future industrial development, as well as takeaway delivery and express delivery. It's just that "machine substitution" is not achieved in the entire industrial process overnight. In reality, the "replacement" approach is often realized with the upgrade of the industry. The result of "replacement" may not be reduced, and sometimes the demand for employment will increase with the upgrading of the industry. Take the takeaway and express delivery, the current booming development is originally achieved through "machine replacement". The front desk of the restaurant that originally answered the phone became an information terminal, and the original manual sorting became machine sorting. The bicycle on the delivery road has become an electric vehicle, and it is also equipped with navigation. These technological progress has greatly improved the distribution efficiency while reducing labor intensity. It also brings the income of practitioners while promoting the development of the industry.

From the current perspective analysis, the application attempts of unmanned delivery vehicles are still concentrated in the logistics end distribution with less complex scenes, not the entire distribution process. After all, in the actual application of autonomous driving commercial vehicles, many problems still need to be resolved. These issues include legal levels, such as road management, responsibility identification, road conditions, and industry standards, as well as supporting facilities, such as communication networks and road facilities, of course, also include technical levels. In other words, before these problems have not been completely resolved, it is difficult to fully realize the entire process.

However, this does not mean that the "machine substitution" of the takeaway and express delivery industry in the delivery process is completely the air tower. In fact, such "replacement" has been progressing step by step. For example, during the epidemic, some isolation agencies have achieved robot delivery meals and medicines. Essence

In other words, in the foreseeable future, some more closed and secure local areas are likely to achieve unmanned distribution, such as hotels, office buildings, hospital campuses, industrial parks, etc. Of course, transport express and food to closed areas For robots, people still need to be done. From this perspective, for a long time in the future, takeaway distributors and courier will not be completely replaced by unmanned delivery vehicles, but their labor intensity may be reduced due to the application of unmanned delivery vehicles. At the same time The overall delivery efficiency will be improved.

In the process of "machine substitution", the value of the machine is limited, depending on its many technical parameters, it is difficult to change, but people have subjective initiative, can make choices, and can be improved by continuous learning. Because of this, when unmanned delivery vehicles show a popularization trend, what industry practitioners need to do should make their own ability and informatization more adaptable and even advanced.

(Source: Workers Daily)

【Edit: Shang Pei】

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