Some elites in Ukraine have no hope for the battle?

Ukrainian Guoan Director Bakanov (left) and Ukrainian Attorney General Weine Jiktova (right)

Straight News: Ukrainian President Zelezzki relieved the chief prosecutor Wineykitova and the national security director Bakanov, on the grounds that some employees of the department were suspected of linked to Russia. What are the analysis of this?

Kang Jie, an associate researcher at the Eurasian Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues: The scandal of the Wufang Intelligence Department recently exploded to some extent implied that the management and control of Ukraine's intelligence department for their own personnel have been almost out of control. Especially the news shows that nearly 60 Urban agents serve Russia in Russia. In fact, these Wufang agents sent to the Russian theater should be the main task of the Russian army, but they have made double -sided spies. It has reached the edge of the collapse, so Zelei Ski made a decision to dismiss the SBU (Ukrainian Intelligence Department).

Direct news: The occurrence of large -scale rebels and rivals appear in Ukraine. What do you think of this indicates what changes on the battlefield?

Kang Jie, an associate researcher at the Eurasian Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues: This incident implies that a considerable number of people have no hope of the current battle in the elite of Ukraine, especially with the current battle situation. Long -term, the Wudong battlefield has gradually reached a situation of stalemate and consumption war. In fact, Ukraine is now increasingly dominant. Ukraine's existing defense industry has almost completely collapsed. Get assistance from the West.

If the West assisted these weapons and ammunition of Ukraine, the logistics costs and time costs paid were actually several times or even dozens of times higher than the Russian army. If only the economic and logistics accounts of the war are counted, this war consumption is also very unfavorable to Ukraine. In fact, there is such a controversy within Ukraine. It is only forced by some politically correct issues. They dare not publicly suggest that the Zelenezhi government go to the rapid off -war. Therefore, some Ukrainian intelligence personnel choose to use this way to cooperate with Russia to express their disappointment with the current war situation.

Direct news: The Russian -Ukraine conflict has lasted for nearly 5 months. Russian Defense Director Shogu visited the front line and ordered the troops to launch the next stage of offensive purpose?

Kang Jie, an associate researcher at the Eurasian Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues: In fact, after a period of rest for a while, Russia took the initiative to stop the offensive. Then after restoring the offensive, its main attack focus is still on the Wudong battlefield, and still in several major railway hubs in Donetsk, that is, Bach Murut, Slavzusk, Kramatosk Waiting for these major railway hubs, this is actually about several important focus of Russia and Ukraine for the next two months.

Because these cities are actually very important railway hubs in eastern Ukraine. Whether they are Russia or Ukraine, they maintain war. The logistics of their wars need to rely on the railway. It is also the transportation of Western military aid in Ukraine, which actually depends on these railway hubs.

Then, if the Russian army occupies these railway hubs, it will further disrupt the logistics of the entire Ukraine on the Wudong battlefield, and then thoroughly weaken the Ukraine's ability to carry out lasting battle on the Wudong battlefield. At the same time, for the Russian army, obtaining these railway hubs can also be used as a springboard for the next step.

So for the Ukraine, these railway hubs are actually the most important cutting edge of its long -term resistance to Wudong, and seeking counterattack.

Therefore, it is foreseeable that in the next two months, both Russia and Ukraine will be on this front on this line formed on this line. Very fierce competition.

Direct news: Russia has always threatened to liberate the East Donbass region. What do you think is the focus of the future Russia and Ukraine games?

Kang Jie, an associate researcher at the Eurasian Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues: In fact, the focus of the two sides is in the line of Slavicank, Clarmatusk and Bachmum. Both sides have some advantages and disadvantages, so in Russia's main advantages, the first is that its logistics supply line is relatively short, and then it has obvious advantages on the Ukraine in the inventory of heavy artillery and shells, but Russia There are also relatively shortcomings of the army. For example, it does not have an advantage in the scale of troops, which will relatively restrict it and launch a large -scale offensive in the future.

At the same time, because of Ukraine, the long -range rocket launcher systems assisted by the United States and Western aid have now begun, such as Hamas, such as M270, etc., then these remote rocket systems will be Points and logistics nodes to conduct a remote blow, which will also restrict the efficiency of the Russian army's future progress to a certain extent.

Author 丨 Kang Jie, an associate researcher at the Eurasian Research Institute of China International Institute of International Issues

Edit 丨 Liu Liping, Shenzhen Satellite TV Direct News

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