China's economic operation is expected to gradually improve

On July 15, 2022, the State Council News Office held a press conference in the first half of 2022. The press conference pointed out that China's basic characteristics of strong economic toughness, potential, and long -term good are not changed; as a package of policy measures have been effective, the economic operation is expected to gradually improve.

In the first half of the year, due to the complicated and severe international environment and the impact of the domestic epidemic, economic growth was affected to some extent. With the joint efforts of all aspects, it was not easy for the economic maintenance in the second quarter to maintain positive growth. Judging from the next stage, the risk of global economic stagnation risks has risen, and there are still many unstable and uncertain factors in domestic economic recovery. With the implementation of a policies and measures in a package, the economic operation is expected to gradually improve.

The country's economy is tough

The epidemic has a great impact on the economy, but my country's economy is still considerable, and the strong material foundation and large market size have been obvious.

In the first half of the year, the total economic volume reached 56 trillion yuan, of which the industrial added value was close to 20 trillion yuan, the value -added of the service industry exceeded 3 billion yuan, the total investment in fixed assets exceeded 27 trillion yuan, and the total retail sales of social consumer goods declined. But it still exceeded 21 trillion yuan. These have increased our confidence and confidence in dealing with various risks and challenges.

Demand recovery has potential

From the perspective of investment, the stability of investment has continued to increase, the issuance and use of special bonds have been accelerated, major projects have accelerated, infrastructure investment has accelerated, and the key role of investment in stable growth is expected to increase. In the first half of the year, infrastructure investment increased by 7.1%year-on-year, 0.4 percentage points accelerated from January to May. From the perspective of advanced indicators, the total investment of new projects in the first half of the year increased by 22.9%year -on -year, maintaining a rapid growth.

From the perspective of consumption, with the improvement of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the offline consumption scenarios have gradually recovered. In addition, the consumption policy is expected to continue to recover.

From the perspective of foreign trade, my country's foreign trade imports and exports have strong toughness. The current Hong Kong and export logistics guarantee continues to advance. The import and exports of the Yangtze River Delta and other regions have recovered rapidly. In May, the total imports and exports in my country increased by 9.5%year -on -year, an acceleration of 9.4 percentage points from April; in June, the total import and export volume increased by 14.3%year -on -year, an acceleration of 4.8 percentage points from May.

Support for the rise of production

From the perspective of industry, in May, the added value of industries above designated size was the first to achieve a negative to a positive, up 0.7%year -on -year, and the growth rate accelerated in June to 3.9%. With the acceleration of the re -production and re -production of enterprises, the blocking point of the industrial chain supply chain is gradually connected, and the role of key industries such as automobiles and electronics is expected to further enhance. In particular, the accelerated recovery of production in the second quarter of the epidemic in the second quarter will help support the stable growth of the industry. In June, the manufacturing PMI returned to the critical point above the critical point. Among them, the expected index of production and operation activities rose to 55.2%, indicating that the confidence of manufacturing enterprises continued to increase.

From the perspective of the service industry, with the stabilization of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the service industry production index increased by 1.3%year -on -year in June, especially in the recovery of contact and clustered industries. With the accelerated recovery of production and life order, the needs of the service industry market has gradually recovered, corporate confidence recovers, and the service industry is expected to further improve. In June, the PMI of the service industry had risen to 54.3%, and returned to the expansion range. Among them, the expected index of the business activities reached 61.0%, which was rebounded for two consecutive months.

From the perspective of transportation logistics, the gradual flow of logistics transportation will help support the further recovery of production. In June, the logistics industry boom index was 52.1%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points from the previous month.

Innovative development increase

In recent years, my country's in -depth implementation of innovation -driven development strategies, vigorously promoting industrial transformation and upgrading, and effectively promoting the development and growth of new kinetic energy. Under the conditions of the epidemic, traditional industries have accelerated the extension of digital, network, and intelligent directions. The new industries and new kinetic energy continue to maintain a steady and rapid growth. The supporting role of economic development has continued to increase, which will help promote the continuous recovery of economic economic development.

In the second quarter, the value -added value of high -tech manufacturing above designated size increased by 5.7%year -on -year, 5 percentage points faster than industrial growth above designated size; the value -added of information transmission, software and information technology services increased by 7.6%, higher than GDP growth rate of 7.2 percentage points, which Essence

Macro policy guarantee

Since the second quarter, in the face of economic downward pressure, the Party Central Committee and the State Council promptly introduced 33 stable growth policies and measures in six aspects. Effective.

From the recent situation of economic operation, the investment in infrastructure has accelerated significantly, the consumption of commodities such as automobiles has been significantly recovered, the flow of logistics has become more unblocked, the company's expectations are gradually improving, and the stable growth policy is significantly effective.

In the next stage, policy effects such as large -scale tax refund, the issuance of special bonds, and the increase in financial support will continue to appear, which will help promote the continuous recovery of the economy and make good development.

In general, with the emergence of the epidemic prevention and control situation, the effectiveness of the policy, the advantages of my country's large economic volume, wide market space, sufficient development of tough development, strong reform dividends, and strong governance capabilities will be further exerted. The economy is expected to resume the development trend of development. EssenceOf course, we must also see that there are still many external instability and uncertainty factors. The domestic triple pressure still exists. It is necessary to stabilize the macroeconomic market and promote economic recovery.Source: Seeking.com

Planning: Li Haihua

Production: Li Haihua

Review: Wu Qiang

Produced: Wang Zhaobin

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