How do you think the Sichuan economy "semi -annual report"?Developing toughness for the development of pressure is continuously enhanced

Chuanguan News reporter Zhang Yixi Shao Liangliang

On July 18, the Sichuan Economic "Half -annual Daily" was announced. In the first half of this year, Sichuan realized regional GDP 2617.647 billion yuan, an increase of 2.8%year -on -year.

"In the first half of the year, the province's economic pressure moved forward, the policy hedging effect appeared, and the development of toughness continued to increase." Said Zeng Junlin, deputy director and spokesman of the Provincial Bureau of Statistics.

See data: Growth continues to be higher than the whole country

Since the beginning of this year, the international environment has become more complicated and severe, and the slowdown of world economic growth has obvious. Domestic epidemics have been emitted, and sudden factors exceed expectations, which has caused a serious impact on the stable economic operation. Therefore, the 2.8%growth rate of Sichuan economy in the first half of the year should be observed from multiple dimensions.

"First of all, we must see that Sichuan has continued higher than the country's growth trend." Zeng Junlin said. In the first three quarters of last year, due to the influence of factors such as base effects, Sichuan's economic growth rate "runs" the national market. Until the fourth quarter, it only exceeded the national average of 0.1 percentage points throughout the year. In the first quarter of this year, Sichuan's economy achieved a steady start, with a growth rate of 0.5 percentage points higher than the country; the "Half -annual report" continued this situation higher than the country.

Looking at various data, many major economic indicators in Sichuan are also higher than the whole country. "The value -added growth rate of the first industry and the tertiary industry is 0.4 and 0.7 percentage points higher than the country. The growth rate of industrial added value, investment growth, and total retail sales of consumer goods are 0.2 and 1 respectively. , 1.3 percentage points. "

Zeng Junlin believes that from the data point of view, the effective growth of various stable growth policies to hedge the downward pressure on the economy is reflected. "For example, driven by policy effects, the province's infrastructure investment increased by 7.7%in the first half of the year. This is the first time that the data has surpassed the average investment growth rate of the province this year."

Taken together, Sichuan's economic development still shows strong toughness. "Although the growth rate of Sichuan in the second quarter has fallen, the fundamentals of Sichuan's economy have remained stable and the economic operation is strong." Zeng Junlin believes that the toughness is mainly reflected in the four "stability."

Fiscal and financial operations are stable. In the first half of the year, the general public budget revenue in Sichuan increased by 9.6%year -on -year, and the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits and loans of financial institutions maintained double -digit growth.

The supply of important livelihood products remains stable. The area of ​​wheat breeding has reversed for many years. Among the total production of summer grain, rapeseed yield increased by 4.6%, and the pigs' columns increased by 7.2%. "This is a faster growth rate." Zeng Junlin said.

Basic production factors are stable. Basic production factors such as coal power and oil and gas have grown in an all -round way. Among them, hydropower is increased by 25.1%, and the output of raw coal increases by 15%.

Market prices are basically stable. Resident consumer price index (CPI) gently rose 1.3%in the first half of the year, and industrial producers' factory price index (PPI) increased for 8 consecutive months.

Look at the situation: A positive signal of stable stability has been released

"Through the analysis of data, we found that the economic development in the first half of the year has released a positive signal of stability." Zeng Junlin said, especially the main indicators in June improved, the decline was slowed down Essence

If the keywords of the Sichuan economy in the first quarter were "stable start", the keywords in the second quarter were "falling and stabilizing". "It can be seen through the vertical comparative analysis of data. Since the second quarter, the growth rate of Sichuan's major economic indicators has shown a significant decline, which is consistent with the trend of the country."

Compared with the data trend in the second quarter, it can be seen that in April and May of this year, Sichuan's main economic indicators continued to fall, but by June, the decline of the main indicators slowed down significantly.

You can see a set of data. The growth rate of fixed asset investment was 4.9%in June, an increase of one percentage point from May, stopping the continued fall; the total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 0.4%in June, while in April and May, it was a decline. " It shows that the consumer goods market in June achieved a negative to positive. "In June, the Sichuan manufacturing procurement manager index (PMI) rose 0.6%over the previous month. it has been improved."

In addition, since June, the consumption of large commodities such as automobiles has been significantly recovered. Under the policy stimulus that stabilizes the economic market, corporate confidence has gradually improved.

See expectations: various measures will focus on the second half of the year

"Although in the face of many challenges, the Sichuan economy also faces many positive factors in the second half of the year." Zeng Junlin summarized the "three periods" -the series of steady growth policies to enter a centralized explicit effect period, the epidemic situation has gradually weakened the economic impact entry, and the new projects are newly built projects. Enter the release period of production capacity.

For example, Zeng Junlin said that many packages of Sichuan Province have been gradually introduced in the second quarter, especially in May and June, and these measures will be exerted in the second half of the year. At the same time, with the acceleration of the construction of the Shuangcheng Economic Circle in Chengdu -Chongqing region, it will bring a lot of investment and policy dividends.

"Under the influence of these positive factors, the inertia of economic recovery will be further enhanced, and market confidence will be further improved."

In the next step, Zeng Junlin focused on four aspects.

The first point is to make full efforts to promote the rise of industrial stability and put the stabilization industry in a more prominent position. "With key enterprises and new enterprises, to help enterprises in order to help enterprises reducing the amount, to stabilize the industrial chain and supply chain defense variables, promote industrial enterprises and industrial production as soon as possible, and Dara run quickly." Zeng Junlin said. At the same time, in the face of the challenges of regional differentiation in the first half of the year, Sichuan Province needs to focus on "grasping the middle of the two bands", that is, to enhance the development of the development function of key regional development functions, and at the same time strengthen the help of regions with a large impact on the epidemic and more natural disasters. Support, to take the symptoms of low -growth areas, and make every effort to promote steady growth.

"Promote the early landing project, start the project early, start the project early, and put into production early in the project." Zeng Junlin said that the third aspect is to increase the construction of major projects, highlight the key role of investment team growth, promote the formation of formation More physical workloads, effectively revitalize various types of stock funds, idle assets and stock resources.

In addition, another focus of economic development in the second half of the year is to focus on promoting consumption to continue to warm up and boost. Consumption has a long -lasting force for the economy, and it is also related to protection and improvement of people's livelihood. On the basis of refining and optimizing the normalization of the epidemic situation, Sichuan Province will promote the comprehensive recovery of the cultural tourism market, implement the difficulties in difficult industries such as accommodation, catering, cultural entertainment, and transportation, and promote consumption recovery and boost.

Despite the difficulties, Sichuan's economic stability recovers can still be expected. "In the second half of the year, we will go all out to fight for the economy and develop, and spare no effort, and keep the economy return to normal tracks, ensure that it is running in a reasonable range, and strive to achieve a good level of economic development." Zeng Junlin said.

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