I thought it was a joke, but now it is true?Change the house after the epidemic, and the rental market is hot!
Author:Shanghai hotline Time:2022.06.20
During the epidemic,
Because of the epidemic prevention performance of each community,
Material distribution is very different,
Many citizens have joked, saying that
This will affect housing prices.
Unexpectedly, the joke is true now ...
Since June, the Shanghai property market has recovered comprehensive recovery
The leasing market from the suburbs to the city center
It is also changing quietly!
The biggest change is: rents rise.
Is the rental market suddenly hot?
Since the resumption of real estate transactions in Shanghai on June 1,
The leasing market has also recovered quickly.
Yang Yulei, chief analyst of Shanghai Chain Home, told us that according to the recent transaction of the chain family, the leased transaction area has returned to 60 % of last June. According to data provided by Shanghai Zhongyuan Real Estate, in early June, the company's leasing business increased by about 32%year -on -year, and the transaction volume increased significantly.
According to the statistics of the real estate self -media "really called Lu Jun" team, the lease list in the first week after the unsealing has caught up with the single volume of the whole month of June of the same year. The Jinhong Bridge plate and the ancient beauty sector are the most obvious increase. If it was sold for 5 sets a day, nearly 40 sets of transactions are now traded, which is 7-8 times before the epidemic.
Data Source 平 Pacific House
In response to the recent fluctuations in the rental market, Chen Jie, director of the Housing and Urban -Rural Construction Research Center of Shanghai Jiaotong University, conducted a survey: "A large number of transactions from the accumulation needs from the period of epidemic sealing and control, mainly including two types, those who want to improve and want to replace."
During the sealing period, young people who rented in the Baoshan Dahua section were constantly troubled. She lives in the Housing House's master bedroom, and she has to line up with the tenant to cook with the tenant during the sealing and control. After the unblocking, Xiao Wu immediately changed his room to a quiet room. There are not a few tenants like her, and the epidemic has spawned new leasing needs, such as replacing quality communities, or switching from group rental status to single -person rental.
In addition to the demand,
There are also many new demand.
Recently coincided with the graduation season, college graduates who stayed in Shanghai and workers from other places brought new demand for renting. In addition, many parents tend to rent a house near the school for children to go to school. Some intermediaries said that the increase in regional rent in some school districts may be around 10%.
"A few backlogs broke out in a short period of time, creating an atmosphere for the market, as if the rental market is very hot." Chen Jie believes that this is a short -term seasonal market impact, and the market fundamentals have not changed much. Lu Wenxi, chief analyst of Shanghai Central Plains Real Estate, also believes that "Compared with the continuous rental boom in the Spring Festival, the demand for the graduation season is relatively limited. It may be one to two months, and the leasing market will return to the conventional transaction volume."
Different rental products show uneven hot and cold. On the one hand, the independent complete sets of houses with good quality are very popular, but the "old -fashioned" minimalist room and rough house have a lot of vacancies; on the other hand, in long -term rental apartment products, centralized long -term rental apartments are well managed because of good management and business business. Yes, but the decentralized long -term rental apartments have a lot of retreat, and areas with poor market markets have begun to attract tenants to renew their contracts by renovation.
Compared with the changes in rent, the current Shanghai rental market is more obvious is rapid transactions. "Go to see the house at 2 o'clock, and let the intermediary go to the house at 4 o'clock. The house has been rented out." Some tenants said.
Renting rises, scare the tenants?
From the perspective of the actual transaction price,
Cancer in June and before this round of epidemic
It is flat.
Yang Yulei, chief analyst of Shanghai Chain Home, told us that according to the monitoring data of the chain home, Shanghai's current rent is maintained at 87 yuan/square meter, which is the same as the first quarter, a slight decrease from the same period last year.
At the same time, rents rose in some areas. A netizen said, "A family who lives in a house for a monthly rent of 4,800 yuan, and the landlord rose 300 yuan after the epidemic." Xiao Zheng, who lives near Century Avenue, also received a notice of price increase from the landlord, from 6,000 yuan a month to 6,800 yuan.
According to the data monitoring of Kerri rental sale, in May, Shanghai's personal housing rent was 102.51 yuan/square meter/month, ranking first in 55 cities across the country. There was rising, among which the increase in the top three in the country was ranked in the country.
From all regions,
The listing of the section of the Chinese and foreign ring is basically the same,
Nearly 60 % of the inner Central sector
Rental rises,
Among them, Huangpu District has the largest increase in rent,
Rising 15.18%.
Kerri Rental Selling Data
Li Jianlin, the director of research director of Kri Rent, told us that in the current Shanghai leasing market, personal housing is the absolute main body, accounting for about 95%. The rental changes in this part of the listing have a significant impact on the overall rent level. In April and May of the previous year, many college graduates left school and renting a house, which is a traditional node for rising rents. Affected by the epidemic, this demand was delayed in May and June.
In fact, the current increase in Shanghai's rent is not much. "From 2020 to July 2021, the rent of Shanghai has always risen, and some sectors may increase by 20%year -on -year." An intermediary told us, "Actually, the rent has risen once a year and a few hundred at a time. It is normal in Shanghai. However, due to the epidemic this year, everyone originally felt that house prices might fall, but now it has risen, which is very surprised. "
"Indeed, some landlords are clearly raised, generally from 2%to 5%, or even 5%to 7%." Lu Wenxi, chief analyst of Shanghai Zhongyuan Real Estate, said, but whether the market will agree with such prices to be observed. After all, the landlord's listing is only unilateral will, and only the actual transaction price is recognized by the market. A small institution agency around Century Avenue told us that the market's market is not very good recently. "Because the rent has risen, many tenants have been scared." After the unblocking, many people left Shanghai and chose to go to the country to develop, will it cause rents to fall? Experts believe that in the long run, rents in the entire market will not fall significantly. Shanghai maintains a high attractiveness across the country and has a large population base. Of the nearly 25 million permanent residence population in the city in 2021, more than 40%of the residence problems were solved through rent. The loss of a small part of the lease demand has little impact on the entire market.
Experts call for timely intervention in transaction heat
Expert appeal,
Although the transaction heat is a short -term phenomenon,
However, the regulatory authorities still need to intervene in time.
"Compared with the housing market, the rental market is more likely to have price fluctuations and mismatches of supply and demand. If not intervened in time, short -term transaction heat will evolve to rising rents, and local rent rises will be transmitted to the city." Chen Jie said that this is not only for rent for rent for rent The disadvantages of guests, landlords and leasing companies will also endanger the sustainable development of the entire leasing industry.
Do friends recently rent a house?
What changes in your area?
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