Who is expected to become the next Prime Minister in the UK?Analysts: Will face three major challenges
Author:Jinan Times Time:2022.07.12
According to the campaign rules announced by the British Parliament's next Council Conservative Party Member Group, 1922, the final result of the first election of the Conservative Party will be announced on September 5. This means who will be announced that day who will be the next Prime Minister.
After the British Prime Minister Johnson announced the resignation of the head of the party's conservative party and the position of Prime Minister on the 7th, 11 people have announced the election of the party's first. At present, no candidate has an absolute advantage. Former Minister of Finance, Rich Sunak, temporarily led the polls. Analysts pointed out that no matter who as the Prime Minister, a series of challenges will face a series of challenges such as rebuilding government reputation, boosting the economy, and bridging the internal differences of the Conservative Party.
Election process opening
The Conservative Party selected the first part of the new party in two stages: the first stage was voted by the 358 Conservative Party's lower house to lock the two final candidates. The second stage was voted by all the Conservative Party members. Essence The first round of the first round of voting was scheduled to be held on the 13th, and two candidates were locked before the Summer of the parliament on the 21st. In the second stage, members of the Conservative Party will choose the new party's first party by mailing votes.
The "1922 Committee" is composed of ordinary members of the lower house of the Conservative Council, playing an important role in determining the party's leadership and the candidates of the Prime Minister. According to the new rules issued by the committee, candidates need to be supported by at least 20 conservative party members in order to be nominated as candidates to participate in the first stage to run. This threshold was originally supported by eight members, and the new rules aim to accelerate the campaign process.
At present, those who have announced the participation in the campaign include Sunak, the Minister of Sanitation Said Javid, the Financial Secretary Nazim Zahavi, former Foreign Minister Jerry Hunter, Tom Tu Tom Tom Tom Gentat, former Defense Minister Penny Montet, Foreign Minister Elizabeth Tellas and so on. According to the statistics of the British Sky News Channel on the 11th, only Sonak, Togentert, and Moditter were supported by more than 20 members of the above -mentioned election, of which Sonc received more than 30 members support.
Analysts believe that during the first election of the Conservative Party, the British government's ability to move will be limited. Ian Berg, a professor at the European Institute of London Political Economics, said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency on the 9th that many new government measures in the government are expected to be put on hold in the next two or three months. "Johnson still serves as the Prime Minister, but does not have much ability to implement any major measures."
The party's first competition is getting stronger
British media analysis believes that no candidate has an absolute advantage at present, and Sunak, who has triggers the Johnson government's "tide of departure", temporarily leads the polls, and Tellas and Modit are relatively optimistic.
Sunak is 42 years old. He serves as a pre -political industry in the financial industry. He was elected as a member of the Hospital in 2015. He served as the Financial Minister since February 2020. He resigned on the 5th of this month. When he announced his election decision, he said that Britain was facing "huge challenges" and "I want to lead the country to develop in the right direction." Sunak has received the support of Conservative MPs such as Mark Spencer, the leader of the conservative party of the parliament and the resignation of the Conservative Chairman Oliver Dadden.
Tellas has served as Foreign Minister since September 2021. He has previously served as the Minister of Education and the Minister of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Modatt currently serves as the Ministry of International Trade. He has previously served as Minister of International Development and Minister of Defense. He has been regarded by the British media as the "dark horse" of the party's first campaign.
Hunter and Zahawi also attracted the attention of the British public opinion. Hunter had previously served as Minister of Foreign Affairs and Minister of Health. He competed with the Johnson Party in 2019. He is the chairman of the Health and Social Health Council of the lower house of the parliament. Some media believe that Hunter has not worked in the Johnson government, indicating that he is far away from many scandals that Johnson and the Conservative Government have recently been involved in, which is a major advantage.
During the new crown epidemic, Zahawi was appointed as officials in charge of the new crown vaccine vaccination project, and since September 2021, he has served as the Minister of Education. According to media evaluation, Zahawi's performance in the period of vaccination and serving as the Minister of Education was its "bonus points".
Facing three major challenges
Analysts pointed out that no matter who replaced Johnson as the head of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister, they will face the challenge of rebuilding government reputation, boosting the economy, and bridging the internal differences of the Conservative Party.
Johnson himself was trapped in the "party gate" scandal and therefore became the first prime minister in British history to illegally, and its impact on the Conservative Party and the United Kingdom will have long -term existence. Brownwen Madox, director of the British Think Tank Government Research Institute, pointed out that the primary task of the next Prime Minister is to adjust the government's practices in terms of integrity and moral standards as soon as possible to restore the public's confidence in the government.
Yang Fang, an associate researcher at the European Research Institute of the Chinese Institute of Modern International Relations, said that the first thing that needs to be rebuilt by the Conservative Party's first party is not only the trust of the voters, but also the trust of British politics, and the outside world's trust in Britain.
Recently, British food prices have continued to rise sharply, gasoline prices have broke down, and the cost of living in the public has continued to increase. How to lead the country out of economic difficulties is another challenge facing the next Prime Minister. According to the economic outlook report released by the Economic Cooperation and Development Organization in June, the economic growth rate of Britain this year was expected to be reduced to 3.6%, and it was zero -growth in 2023. In April, the International Monetary Fund lowered the UK's economic growth expectations to 1.2%in 2023, "bottom" in the country of the Seventh Kingdom Group.
At the same time, maintaining unity within the party will also be the first task of the New Party.Stewart Wilker Hig-Hig-Hig-Higga-Higgi-Higga-Hig-Higga said in an interview with Xinhua News Agency: "There are obvious differences in the internal reality of the Conservative Party. Recently, it has become united because everyone opposes Johnson.Differential will definitely appear, which will constitute a challenge for the new party. "Source: Xinhua News Agency
Edit: Weekend
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