2035 Discontinue fuel vehicles, can Europe do it?

Zhao Dongxue, a special reporter in Germany and Austria

Thirteen years later, Europe, as the birthplace of the internal combustion engine, may not sell fuel vehicles. The European Parliament passed a proposal on June 8. Since 2035, it has stopped selling new fuel vehicles in the European Union, including hybrid vehicles. The proposal eventually became unanimously approved by EU member states. Recently, the EU has accelerated the transformation process in the energy field. The "judgment" of the internal combustion engine is one of the key contents of the EU's package emission reduction plan "Fit for 55", which aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. After the proposal was voted, it caused controversy. Some members believed that the European Union should show certain flexibility in the process of implementing climate goals, and cannot engage in "one -size -fits -all". Industry media believes that the EU "traffic revolution" is a good market opportunity for China with the advantages of new energy industry chain.

Germany's opposition is loud

The European Union's ban on fuel vehicles caused Germany to oppose it. According to the EURAACTIV website, the German Automobile Association said that the decision was too ambitious and costly, running counter to the market and the wishes of the people. Mueller, chairman of the German Automobile Industry Association, believes that the European Parliament's actions are too early, and Europe does not have enough charging infrastructure to support the ban. Mueller said, "This will increase consumer costs and put consumer confidence in risks."

The German Minister of Transportation Fortevin has publicly opposed the "internal combustion engine ban". "Many work depends on internal combustion engines," he told Dexin News Agency that he would strive to strive for an exception for engines using synthetic fuel. At present, Verity has been supported by German Finance Minister, and he said that the German government should work to change the EU's plan. The German "Ogsburg Report" said that people are worried that the expansion of charging infrastructure cannot keep up with the pace of increased electric vehicles. The German Automobile Industry Association predicts that by 2030, about 1 million public charging stations will be needed, from 41,000 to about 60,000 from early 2021 to now.

The pace of promotion of new energy vehicles in EU countries is also inconsistent. German car expert Dudenhofv said that Norway will prohibit the sale of fuel vehicles from 2025. As of the end of 2021, the proportion of electric vehicles in the new Norwegian car sales share was close to 83%. However, the proportion of electric vehicle sales in some regions of Europe is less than 12%. The construction speed of charging stations in various countries is also inconsistent. According to statistics from the European Automobile Industry Association, within the scope of the 27 EU countries and the United Kingdom, by 2025, only the British, French, and Germany can build more than 1,000 comprehensive charging stations.

Alexander Berne Hubel, a member of the European Parliament of the Austrian People's Party, said that this goal is "ambitious". The EU should show certain flexibility in the process of implementing the climate goals. Essence Roman Hyde, a member of the European Council of the Austrian Liberal Party, said that the European Commission's plan was "completely immature and not environmentally friendly." The plan will have a serious impact on the Austrian economy. Stopping the use of internal combustion engines will make cars more expensive, which will seriously crack down on low -income people and people in rural areas.

In addition, according to the forecast of international accounting institutions, Europe's promotion of electric vehicles must also be prepared to strengthen power grid facilities. In the next ten years, European power demand is expected to increase by 30%per year.

The attitude of car companies is different

Data show that in 2021, European electric vehicles sales reached 2.3 million, an increase of 66%year -on -year, accounting for 19%of all new vehicles. Due to the launch of subsidy policies in many countries, Europe has surpassed China in 2020 to become the world's largest market for electric vehicles. However, as the subsidy policy gradually weakened or even canceled, the increase in sales of electric vehicle was slowing down, and it was overtaken by China in 2021, ranking the second largest electric vehicle market in the world.

Oliver Czez, president and BMW CEO of the European Automobile Industry Association and BMW, said that the German automotive industry is vigorously promoting electric vehicles, and new models are also being launched steadily. Ten years of long -term policies are too early, "Capes added." In order to clarify the target after 2030, a transparent review needs to be performed. "

The largest car company in Europe has not clearly stopped selling fuel vehicles. But Volkswagen said that the trend of turning to electric vehicles was "irreversible." The new models released by Volkswagen's Audi plan to release after 2026 are all pure electric versions, which have stopped production of internal combustion engines from 2033. Mercedes Benz also announced that since 2025, all new models will be driven by power. Swedish car manufacturer Volvo will no longer produce fuel vehicles from 2030. The Italian-French Auto Group Strandis hopes to sell only electric vehicles in Europe since 2030. Sub-company Obress will say goodbye to gasoline and diesel earlier. Ford Europe has announced that the passenger car product line will be converted into pure electricity by 2030. Neither auto companies in Japan and South Korea have clearly stated that fuel vehicles in the European market exit the schedule.

European media are worried that electric vehicles will bring more challenges to Europe. Europe must accelerate the localization of battery manufacturing. The increase in electric vehicle production has led to rising raw materials. These will make production costs higher and make the European Union fall into material supply dependence.

Good opportunity for Chinese companies?

"We will see more Chinese cars on the European road." June 8 reported on June 8 that China's car exports to Europe are growing rapidly. According to GlobalData data, China's exports to Europe in 2017 were hovering at a level slightly less than 30,000 units, but by 2020, China's automobile exports to Europe would increase more than 106,000 vehicles. In 2021, it turned around to 200,000 vehicles. It is estimated that Europe will import more than 245,000 vehicles from China in 2022. This number will reach 400,000 by 2025, and will be close to 500,000 by 2029. According to the information released by the European data center, in 2021, due to the surge in production capacity, China's electric vehicle exports increased by more than 550,000 units, of which about 40%were absorbed by Europe. Chinese electric vehicles have accounted for total European electric vehicle sales volume 10%. Europe has become the main destination of "Made in China" electric vehicles.

"In the EU's electric vehicle strategy, the European Union's dependence on the Chinese automobile industry will be strengthened." Switzerland's "A glance" believes that Europe and China lead the trend in the rapidly developing electric vehicle market. But in terms of charging infrastructure, China is one step ahead.

The "Global Electric Vehicle Outlook of 2022" released by the International Energy Agency pointed out that in 2021, the sales of European electric vehicles increased by about 66%to 2.3 million vehicles. However, if the battery installation volume is statistics, 75%of the global electric vehicle power battery installation volume in 2021 comes from Chinese companies. According to data from market research institutions Sneearch, in the first quarter of this year, the top ten companies in global power battery vehicles were Asian companies, with a total market share of more than 90 %. At the same time, the West is also planning to plan many large battery factories, but in terms of necessary material processing, no country can be compared with China. ▲