[Solution] Johnson, "The game is over!"

Johnson resigned.

The "British Trump" who led Brexit in the past, after experiencing the "party door" scandal, the defeat of the conservative party election, and the "salty pig hand" deputy party, eventually the pressure of dozens of cabinet officials "resigning" Next, I announced the first position of resignation of the Conservative Party.

On July 7, Johnson's resignation speech seemed unwilling. He said, "in the face of an important moment when the economic situation at home and abroad is becoming increasingly difficult, it is light to replace the government." It is driven by the "group instinct" of the parliament to "have to leave." But Johnson will also stay as the Prime Minister until the Conservative Party selected the new party.

On July 7, local time, Johnson left in front of the official residence of the Prime Minister of Tangning Street. Picture source: Xinhua News Agency

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Johnson's "abdication" path is about a few steps:

The first step was last year's "party door" scandal. During the epidemic, the British people needed to abide by the social distance limit order, but Prime Minister Johnson held a party in the Prime Minister's Office in violation of regulations and was issued by the London Police Department. This made him the first prime minister in the history of British history.

The British "Party Gate" survey report revealed photos of violations during the epidemic of the Prime Minister. Picture source: Foreign media

This incident brought a lot of pressure on Johnson, and both inside the opposition and Conservative Party asked him to resign. Although a month ago, Johnson was in danger in the "unbelievable voting" of the Conservative Party and was able to stay at the head of the Conservative Party and the British Prime Minister's position.

The second step is the defeat of the Conservative Council election. The "gathering door" scandal has not dispersed, and the Conservative Party has been frustrated in the local elections in May and the lower elections of the next council in June. The Conservative Party's then chairman Oliver Dadden resigned, and the voice of Johnson's steps down in the party was further rising.

The third step is the sexual harassment scandal of the deputy party whip, Krisopher. The senior official in the party who was appointed by Johnson himself, remained molested two men after being drunk, and was also exposed to many harassment male members. You know, the responsibility of "party whip" is to maintain the discipline of the party, and Johnson knows that Pingchou is not good, and let him be the deputy party whip.

The British "Financial Times" said, "People outside the UK may be confused about the allegations of seemingly insignificant in the Prime Minister, but a series of events show his arbitrary disregard of the rules and the truth."

On the afternoon of July 5, Johnson apologized for "improper employment", but it was too late. Since the 5th, the Minister of Health Javid and the Minister of Finance, the Minister of Finance, resigned the first shot, and then more than 50 cabinet officials resigned. Originally, Johnson also stated toughly that he would not resign and would "continue fighting", but the development of the situation obviously exceeded his expectations.

"The game is over" - The front page of the Times uses such a title.

"Times" front page comment article: game ends

Xu Ruike, an associate professor of the British Research Center of Beijing Foreign Languages ​​University, told the island girl that the Conservative Party cares about the quality of the leader. Johnson's sexual assault scandal shelter the deputy party whip, involving personal quality issues, and has a loss of private morals. In addition, before Johnson's "party door" encountered disliked voting, scandals were superimposed, officials resigned, and the government could not operate normally. He had lost his leadership.

Xu Ruike said that Johnson had the possibility of staying in office, but the opportunity was slim. He can exercise the power of the Prime Minister and order the early election (the next election of the British Parliament in 2024), in order to "shuffle", but the early election must be consent to the queen. Essence

In any case, it is inevitable that once the ruling party is exposed to scandal and is not trusted labels, losing the hearts of the people is inevitable. For example, in the 1960s, the then British Minister of War Promoco had a good future, but was caught in extramarital affairs, and the lover of extramarital affairs was the Soviet spy. Pruo Fumo lying down the House of Representatives, in the end, he couldn't hold the fire, and Prove Funmo resigned. A month later, then Prime Minister McMilun also resigned for this scandal. Within a year, the Labor Party defeated the Conservative Party in the national election.

Today, Johnson, who is not equipped, has no choice.

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"If there is any moment in the UK who needs a capable and trustworthy leader, that is now." On July 7, the Financial Times wrote in the social review entitled "Johnson must step down".

Some analysts believe that forcing Johnson's abdication is a conservative party "abandoning the car and the handsome". Only by calculating the bad state of Britain's economic and politics to Johnson and removing the "negative assets", can the Conservative Party may recover the negative image of recent time and consolidate its governing position.

Right now, British inflation is high, the pound has fallen, the economy declines, and the cost of life has soared. In a few months, the heating season came, but since the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Britain took the lead in joining sanctions against Russia, and subsequent oil and gas supply may still be unsolved. Last winter, some people in the UK responded to the government's call for "tightening pants belt" and even dining in charitable institutions just to save the gas costs at home. Further impact the conservative party's governing status.

Recently, the Conservative candidates have lost their elections in the two members of the British Parliament. After the defeat of the British local parliament, the Conservative Party was hit again. At that time, only two of the party could be launched in the party: Prime Minister Johnson and former Financial Minister Sonak. With this background, and Johnson's long -standing style of doing so and not following the common sense, the "betrayal" who resigned like a tide -like tide of the cabinet official is not surprising. In this sense, Sonak stepped down on July 5th to act as a double carving: to a certain extent, but also drove the "forced palace" to completely push Johnson to the opposite of most conservatives.

On July 6, local time, Johnson was questioned at the lower house of the parliament and rejected the resignation request made by the members. Picture source: surging image

After Johnson resigned, who would be a successor?

At present, Sunak is a candidate with a high voice of the party leader in the Conservative Party. British media believe that he is "low in odds", but he responds to slow inflation response, extravagant personal life, and even Indian identity. Essence The polls released by British analysis company YOUGOV on July 6 showed that the current Minister of Defense Wallace is most expected to be the next -time conservative party leader.

(Source: YOUGOV's official website)

In this situation, the Conservative Party is likely to fall into internal fighting.

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Johnson's abdication board, what will happen to British politics in the future? Can the political and economic problems facing Johnson be solved by Johnson's steps down?

The Reuters column article states that behind the government's "rebellion farce", deeper national differences are hidden, and the expedition to Johnson will only highlight the contradictions. After Brexit, there are many basic issues and disputes in the UK that have not been resolved. The measures issued by the government have many contradictions: the British government pursues state intervention and free trade; Since the 1950s, the highest share of GDP; while advocating to relax financial supervision and intervening power, the acquisition of enterprises ...

The Bank of England predicts that at the end of this year, the British inflation rate will reach 11%. In addition to high energy costs, it will generate the second largest squeezing in Britain's actual household income for nearly 60 years. Johnson's successor will also face a series of tricky issues including public debt, high energy costs, and Northern Ireland protocols.

The victory of Johnson's 2019 election is largely due to his ability to persuade the two sides of the debate. However, his successor will find that three years have passed, and the development of Britain is more serious and difficult to solve.

Text/Cloud Song

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